Philadelphia Union vs New-England Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔉 Heading into the Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution match, neither side carries any particular urgency in terms of their league position: the hosts sit in mid-table, while the visitors are placed higher but are equally without a pressing objective. As the MLS season draws to a close, the two teams are showing contrasting form - Philadelphia Union are on a confident unbeaten run, while New England Revolution have been alternating between wins and defeats. The key contrast in this match is Philadelphia's high-scoring record at home against the visitors' cautious approach away from home.
Philadelphia Union consistently find the back of the net.
New England Revolution beat Philadelphia Union 2-1 in their last MLS meeting on 09 May 2026, having trailed 0-1 at half-time. Philadelphia Union edged the shot count 11-10 and had the better xG, 1.22 to 0.92.
📊 Across 49 official meetings, Philadelphia Union hold the upper hand: 28 wins to New England Revolution's 11, with 10 draws. The difference is particularly pronounced at Philadelphia Union's ground, where they have won 17 of 25 matches. Philadelphia Union are on an 11-game head-to-head scoring streak.
Head-to-head statistics Philadelphia Union - New-England
Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
Philadelphia Union drew 2-2 at home with Charlotte in their last MLS match 17 October 2026. Despite having 40% possession, they had the better of the shooting - 21 shots to 13 - and their expected goals figure was 2.61 against 1.14.
Philadelphia Union stand out for their consistency in recent rounds - they have gone ten matches without defeat, winning eight and drawing two. In their last five games, they have won four and drawn one. The scoring numbers are impressive over that run: they have averaged 3.1 goals per game while keeping their defence reasonably solid, conceding an average of 1.1. Despite having nothing significant to play for in the table, their form has allowed them to attack with confidence and control matches against most opponents.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution have yet to draw away from home in their first eight matches.
New England Revolution's 1-0 home win over Chicago Fire in their last MLS match on 17 October 2026 came despite a stark statistical imbalance: Chicago had 19 shots to New England's five and 10 corners to none. The Revolution kept a clean sheet, with their goalkeeper making six saves.
New England Revolution have been inconsistent towards the end of the season - six wins, three defeats and one draw from their last ten matches reflect that variability in results. In their last five games they have won three and lost two. Their averages remain modest: 1.7 goals scored per game alongside a similar number conceded (1.6). The visitors' defence has been unreliable at times, and their attacking output has often been limited to a single goal even against mid-table sides.
Match Results: New-England Revolution
Total Goals Prediction
In six of the last seven head-to-head meetings between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, no more than three goals were scored, which supports the trend towards Total Goals - Under 3.5. Furthermore, in 20 of the last 21 head-to-head matches between these sides, the total came in under 4.5 goals, further pointing to a low-scoring pattern in this fixture. Neither club has been particularly prolific this season, especially New England Revolution away from home, where they average 1.47 goals per game. The pick here is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.83*.
Corners Prediction
Philadelphia Union have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in eight consecutive head-to-head matches against New England Revolution. Such a consistent trend over that distance makes this line a reasonable betting option. There are no contradicting data points on the corners market, so a bet on Philadelphia Union Team Total Corners - Under 6.5 at 1.69* looks justified.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Philadelphia Union have scored and conceded in five consecutive matches, pointing to consistent scoring from both sides in their games. New England Revolution have also scored in eight of their last nine away matches, underlining their ability to find the net on the road. Philadelphia Union are also conceding an average of 1.07 goals per home game this season. On that basis, Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.47* looks justified.
Safer Bet
Philadelphia Union have scored more than 1.5 goals in nine consecutive matches - a run backed up by their current statistics. Their seasonal average is 2.03 goals per match, and 1.8 at home, both of which support the selection. Philadelphia Union Team Total - Over 1.5 at 1.36* looks very reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 2-1 (10.25%), 1-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.00%). The 2-1 result has the highest probability, though the other outcomes are fairly close in terms of likelihood. This suggests the match is expected to be moderately high-scoring, with Philadelphia Union holding the advantage.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The trend clearly highlights New England Revolution's problems in front of goal away from home - under 1.5 goals in almost all such meetings between these clubs in the current cycle. Given the recent statistics, it is hard to see the visitors breaking that pattern: their average scoring rate is low even by league standards, and Philadelphia's run of home success makes things even harder for the away side. Our preferred pick is New England Revolution Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union - New-England Revolution
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