Progreso vs Danubio Prediction

    ❓ The upcoming clash between Progreso and Danubio promises to be intriguing. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the table, making every point crucial. The hosts have been inconsistent but aim to keep their defense solid, while the visitors are looking to improve their away record. What can we expect from their showdown? Find out in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place in May and ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Progreso were the home side):

    • possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corners: 3 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3.

    📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Progreso and Danubio:

    • 18 matches played;
    • home team victories - 6, away team wins - 5, draws - 7;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 24 to 27;
    • average total goals per match - 2.83.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    8 Wins
    38%
    8 Draws
    24%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    21
    Total Goals Avg
    2.81
    Both teams scored
    62%
    1.38
    Total average
    1.43
    2.29
    Yellow cards
    1.86
    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    28.02.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    9
    2
    -
    -
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    -
    -
    1
    2
    24.08.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    4
    3
    31.05.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Danubio
    Danubio
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    3
    3
    23.02.25
    Primera Division
    Danubio FC
    Danubio FC
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    -
    -
    9
    6
    0
    0
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    9
    6
    0
    0
    1
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Primera tournament with Nacional Montevideo as the home team and Progreso as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo):

    • possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    Progreso are going through a challenging season. The team currently sits in 11th place and is enduring a rough patch with five consecutive losses. Known for their resilience at home, "The Sparrows" are currently struggling defensively, conceding an average of 1.76 goals per match. In their last ten games, they have only managed two victories, yet they remain competitive thanks to their tenacious defensive play.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    L
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Danubio Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Cerro Largo hosting Danubio. The match ended 1-0.

    Here are the game statistics (Danubio vs Cerro Largo):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 8 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    Danubio sit 14th in the standings and have shown relatively strong performances on the road compared to their home fixtures. Their form has seen some improvement, with four wins in their last ten matches indicating a desire for progress. However, the "Franjeados" still face a challenge - they rarely score more than one goal away from home, managing under 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight outings. Their playing style emphasizes counterattacks while maintaining a solid defensive setup.

    Match Results: Danubio

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    18.05.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    1
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    L
    09.05.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Albion
    Albion
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    5
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    5
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    0
    L
    25.04.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Danubio
    Danubio
    -
    -
    10
    3
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    10
    3
    -
    -
    4
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 18;
    • Home wins - 6, Away wins - 5, Draws - 7.
    👉Prediction: Danubio will not lose(odds: 1.4)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's hosts average 1.33 goals, visitors average 1.5;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.83;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 11 times; at the home ground - 5 times.

    Statistics: Progreso vs Danubio

    • Average tournament total: 2.72 vs 2.2;
    • Average goals scored: 0.96 vs 1;
    • Average first-half total: 0.28 vs 0.48;
    • Average second-half total: 0.68 vs 0.52;
    • Progreso: average home total in the tournament - 1;
    • Danubio: average away total in the tournament - 0.85;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 0.83).
    Trends
    • Danubio have scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 away head-to-head clashes with Progreso.
    👉Prediction: Danubio Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.46)

    Corners Prediction

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.6; at home - 6.08;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 4.75.

    Danubio: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.04, away - 4.85;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; away - 5.
    Trends
    • Total corners under 9.5 have occurred in 8 of Progreso's last 9 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9.5)(odds: 1.73)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.44 (2.22 for the hosts and 2.22 for the visitors);
    • Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.7 (1.8 for the hosts and 1.9 for the visitors).

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.88; at home - 3;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 2.25.

    Danubio: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.28, away - 2.54;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 2.17.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 18;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 11 times;
    • At the home ground - 5 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.86)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Based on current form and statistics, a low-scoring match is anticipated. Both teams tend to engage in games with few goals, as the under 2.5 goals bet has hit in their last six head-to-head encounters. Additionally, Danubio rarely scores more than 1.5 goals away against Progreso. Therefore, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems well-founded and has a strong likelihood of success.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -154*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (21 August 2025, 19:43)

    Betting Tips: Progreso - Danubio

    Progreso have lost
    ca-progresoin last 5 games (Primera Division).
    Danubio Win
    Everygame
    +150
    Progreso have not lost
    ca-progresodanubio-fcin 8 of last 9 games against Danubio.
    ca-progresodanubio-fcin 7 of last 8 games against Danubio (Primera Division).
    Progreso will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    Progreso have scored under 1.5 goals
    ca-progresodanubio-fcin last 6 games against Danubio (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin 10 of last 11 games (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).
    Progreso Total goals Under (1.5)
    -263
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    ca-progresodanubio-fcin last 7 Progreso home games against Danubio (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin last 9 Progreso home games (Primera Division).
    in 6 of last 7 Javier Feres games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Progreso - Danubio Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1545616-2217
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014
    13.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1519512-1712
    14.
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1526712-1712

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    7 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 16
    -7
    -8
    8 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    1
    1
    Draws
    4
    7
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    8
    16
    Conceded
    16
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.4
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats