Progreso vs Danubio Prediction
❓ The upcoming clash between Progreso and Danubio promises to be intriguing. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the table, making every point crucial. The hosts have been inconsistent but aim to keep their defense solid, while the visitors are looking to improve their away record. What can we expect from their showdown? Find out in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place in May and ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Progreso were the home side):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3.
📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Progreso and Danubio:
- 18 matches played;
- home team victories - 6, away team wins - 5, draws - 7;
- goals scored (home/away) - 24 to 27;
- average total goals per match - 2.83.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Progreso Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Primera tournament with Nacional Montevideo as the home team and Progreso as the visitors. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Progreso vs Nacional Montevideo):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Progreso are going through a challenging season. The team currently sits in 11th place and is enduring a rough patch with five consecutive losses. Known for their resilience at home, "The Sparrows" are currently struggling defensively, conceding an average of 1.76 goals per match. In their last ten games, they have only managed two victories, yet they remain competitive thanks to their tenacious defensive play.
Match Results: Progreso

Danubio Team Overview
The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Cerro Largo hosting Danubio. The match ended 1-0.
Here are the game statistics (Danubio vs Cerro Largo):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 8 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Danubio sit 14th in the standings and have shown relatively strong performances on the road compared to their home fixtures. Their form has seen some improvement, with four wins in their last ten matches indicating a desire for progress. However, the "Franjeados" still face a challenge - they rarely score more than one goal away from home, managing under 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight outings. Their playing style emphasizes counterattacks while maintaining a solid defensive setup.
Match Results: Danubio
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 18;
- Home wins - 6, Away wins - 5, Draws - 7.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's hosts average 1.33 goals, visitors average 1.5;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.83;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 11 times; at the home ground - 5 times.
Statistics: Progreso vs Danubio
- Average tournament total: 2.72 vs 2.2;
- Average goals scored: 0.96 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 0.28 vs 0.48;
- Average second-half total: 0.68 vs 0.52;
- Progreso: average home total in the tournament - 1;
- Danubio: average away total in the tournament - 0.85;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 0.83).
- Danubio have scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 away head-to-head clashes with Progreso.
Corners Prediction
Progreso: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.6; at home - 6.08;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; at home - 4.75.
Danubio: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.04, away - 4.85;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.3; away - 5.
- Total corners under 9.5 have occurred in 8 of Progreso's last 9 matches (Primera).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.44 (2.22 for the hosts and 2.22 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3.7 (1.8 for the hosts and 1.9 for the visitors).
Progreso: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.88; at home - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 2.25.
Danubio: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.28, away - 2.54;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; away - 2.17.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 18;
- Both teams have scored overall - 11 times;
- At the home ground - 5 times.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on current form and statistics, a low-scoring match is anticipated. Both teams tend to engage in games with few goals, as the under 2.5 goals bet has hit in their last six head-to-head encounters. Additionally, Danubio rarely scores more than 1.5 goals away against Progreso. Therefore, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems well-founded and has a strong likelihood of success.