Danubio vs Progreso Prediction 30 May 2026
📣 In Matchday 3 of the Torneo Intermedio Group B, Danubio and Progreso are set to face off in a crucial head-to-head clash. Both sides are enduring a rough patch, which only adds to the significance of this encounter. Danubio have played just once and are still searching for their first points, while Progreso have already featured in two matches but remain empty-handed as well. How will this showdown unfold? Check out our prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these sides ended in a 2-2 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that fixture (Danubio were the home team):
- Possession: 60% vs 40%;
- Corners: 9 vs 2;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2.
📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Danubio and Progreso:
- The sides have faced off 20 times;
- Danubio have claimed 5 wins, while Progreso have secured 7 victories, with 8 matches ending in draws;
- Goals scored (home/away): 29 to 27;
- The average total goals per match stands at 2.8.
Head-to-head statistics Danubio - Progreso
Danubio Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture came in the Primera, with Deportivo Maldonado playing host to Danubio. The match ended in a 3-1 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corners: 1 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 8.
Danubio have struggled for consistency this season, managing just one win in their last ten outings. Over that stretch, they have averaged only 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.6, underlining issues both up front and at the back. Their attacking play has left much to be desired, and defensively they have been unable to keep opponents at bay, allowing more than a goal per match. Recent performances have lacked stability, which is reflected in their current standing in the table. Danubio will be eager to address their shortcomings and pick up points in the upcoming clash with Progreso.
Match Results: Danubio
Progreso Team Overview
The visitors last took to the pitch in a Primera fixture, with Progreso hosting Montevideo City. The match ended 2-1 in favor of Montevideo City.
Here’s how the key stats looked (Progreso vs Montevideo City):
- Possession: 39% vs 61%;
- Corners: 3 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 7 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Progreso are currently mired in a deep crisis, having lost each of their last five matches. Their lone win in the past ten games has done little to improve the overall situation, only highlighting their lack of effectiveness on the pitch. Averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Progreso are struggling mightily in attack. Poor organization is evident across all areas of the squad, hampering both team spirit and any sense of stability. With things as they stand, the club are flirting with the relegation zone, making the upcoming fixture crucial for restoring morale.
Match Results: Progreso
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Danubio (Home) vs Progreso (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 8;
- Number of wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 5 (62.5%);
- Number of draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 3 (37.5%);
- Average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.25;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.29 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 1;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 4;
- Average first half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 1.1).
- Danubio have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games against Progreso (Primera Division).
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 20;
- Home wins - 5, Away wins - 7, Draws - 8.
Stats: Danubio vs Progreso
- Matches in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 27% vs 12%;
- Losses: 5 vs 11;
- Draws: 6 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 1 vs 1;
- Losses: 5 vs 7;
- Draws: 4 vs 2.
- Progreso have covered a +1.5 handicap away from home in seven straight head-to-head meetings (Primera).
- Progreso are unbeaten with a +1.5 handicap in six of their last seven matches (Primera).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.45, Away side - 1.35;
- Overall head-to-head average - 2.8 goals per match;
- Both teams have scored: all-time - 12 times; at the home ground - 7 times.
Average total stats: Danubio vs Progreso
- In this competition: 2.6 vs 2.35;
- Goals scored: 1.13 vs 0.76;
- First half: 0.47 vs 0.41;
- Second half: 0.67 vs 0.35;
- Danubio at home in the competition - 1.43;
- Progreso away in the competition - 0.63;
- Last 10 matches: 0.8 (home - 0.5) vs 0.8 (away - 0.4).
- Danubio have scored under 1.5 goals in nine of their last ten head-to-head matches against Progreso (Primera).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 20;
- Both teams have scored in all-time meetings - 12 times;
- At the home ground - 7 times.
Stats: Danubio vs Progreso
- Matches in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 8 vs 7;
- Danubio BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
- Progreso BTTS away - 3 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- Danubio BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Progreso BTTS away - 2 (40%).
- Danubio have both scored and conceded at home in seven of their last eight head-to-head meetings with Progreso (Primera).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results this season:
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 0-1 (19/128, 14.8%);
- Danubio’s most frequent home result: 1-1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Progreso’s most frequent away results: 1-0, 2-0 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistical models and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three outcomes:
1-0 - 14.95% (odds: 6)
1-1 - 11.97% (odds: 6.5)
0-0 - 10.58% (odds: 8.5)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Given the recent form of both teams, a low-scoring affair seems likely in this upcoming clash. Danubio and Progreso have struggled to find the back of the net, highlighting ongoing issues in their attacking play. At the same time, defensive lapses from both sides suggest neither team is particularly solid at the back, which could further limit scoring opportunities. Expect both sides to approach this contest cautiously, prioritizing defensive discipline and minimizing mistakes-factors that often lead to fewer goals. As a result, backing under 2.5 goals appears to be a reasonable prediction here.
No comments
Betting Tips: Danubio - Progreso
in last 5 games against Progreso (Primera Division)..svg)
in last 3 away games against Danubio (Primera Division).in last 5 games (Primera Division).
in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).in 10 of last 11 games (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
