Estrela vs Alverca Prediction 25 August 2025

    🔊 Estrela are set to host Alverca in a clash that will wrap up the third round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Both clubs find themselves in the lower half of the table, which adds extra motivation to fight for these crucial points. The hosts appear to be favorites, but the newly promoted side might just spring a surprise. Let's delve into this in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    ⚠ The teams haven't faced each other on the pitch for over 20 years.

    Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Alverca

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    3 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    3.33
    Both teams scored
    100%
    1.67
    Total average
    1.67
    2.67
    Corner
    4.33
    3.33
    Yellow cards
    2.33
    15.67
    Fouls
    17
    Last matches
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    31.01.26
    Primeira Liga
    Alverca
    Alverca
    Estrela
    Estrela
    0.9
    0.95
    9
    2
    17
    17
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    0.95
    9
    2
    17
    17
    1
    2
    25.08.25
    Primeira Liga
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    2.67
    1.19
    6
    2
    18
    24
    4
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    2.67
    1.19
    6
    2
    18
    24
    4
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Estrela Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Estrela, away team - Benfica Lisbon). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Estrela vs Benfica Lisbon):

    • ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 14 vs 23;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 3.

    Estrela continue their search for form in this Primeira Liga season, currently sitting 11th in the table. The "Stars" have struggled with scoring, netting fewer than 1.5 goals in 15 of their last 16 league matches. Despite this, they strive to maintain possession and create attacking opportunities through the wings. In their last outing, José Faria's side narrowly fell to Benfica, conceding from a penalty, but managed to generate an expected goals tally of 1.26.

    Match Results: Estrela

    Last matches
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.01
    2.52
    5
    4
    13
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    7
    8
    3
    3
    2
    2
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Lusitano GC
    Lusitano GC
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    29.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estrela
    Estrela
    Portimonense
    Portimonense
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    D
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    Alverca Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Alverca, away - Braga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.

    Here are the match stats (Alverca vs Braga):

    • ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
    • fouls: 15 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 6.

    Alverca are battling for survival, currently sitting in 16th place in the standings. While they put up a fight against Moreirense in the opening round (1-2), conceding a late equalizer in the 95th minute, they were soundly defeated by Braga in their last outing (0-3). However, the main issue isn't with their defense but rather their finishing. Custódio's protégés exceeded two expected goals but failed to score any.

    Match Results: Alverca

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    liga portugal
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1.73
    0.45
    3
    4
    13
    17
    1
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.73
    0.45
    3
    4
    13
    17
    1
    3
    L
    15.08.26
    liga portugal
    Alverca
    Alverca
    1
    Estrela
    Estrela
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1.4
    1.29
    2
    0
    10
    12
    2
    4
    D
    09.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Alverca
    Alverca
    2.45
    1.6
    7
    9
    13
    10
    0
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2.45
    1.6
    7
    9
    13
    10
    0
    4
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Alverca
    Alverca
    Sporting (B)
    Sporting (B)
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Alverca
    Alverca
    Mafra
    Mafra
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    Statistics: Estrela vs Alverca

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • wins: 0 vs 0;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
    • losses: 1 vs 2;
    • draws: 1 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 6;
    • losses: 7 vs 2;
    • draws: 1 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Estrela have not won in 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
    • Estrela have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Alverca will not lose(odds: 1.91)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Alverca games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5)(odds: 1.4)

    Prediction on corners

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 4.2.

    Alverca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5, away - 2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 3.8.
    Trends
    • Estrela have taken under 5.5 corners in last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Estrela Total Under (5,5)(odds: 1.81)

    Prediction on cards

    Estrela: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home - 3.

    Alverca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5, away - 1;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    Statistics: Estrela vs Alverca

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
    • number of BTS matches for Estrela at home - 0 (0%);
    • number of BTS matches for Alverca away - 1 (100%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 1 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS matches for Alverca away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.7)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Victory is crucial for both teams, and neither will settle for a draw. Therefore, we don't anticipate a defensive showdown. Instead, Estrela will aim to entertain their fans with a strong offensive display, while Alverca look to improve on their unusually poor finishing from the last round. Thus, our bet is on over 1.5 goals.

    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-250
    Published: 23/08/2025, 09:02

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    Betting Tips: Estrela - Alverca

    Estrela have drawn in the 1st half:
    cf-estrelain 6 of last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +104
    Estrela have not won:
    cf-estrelain 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
    cf-estrelain 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
    Alverca will not lose
    Everygame
    -192
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    cf-estrelain 8 of last 9 Estrela games (Primeira Liga).
    cf-estrelain 6 of last 7 Estrela home games (Primeira Liga).
    in 7 of last 8 Ricardo Jorge Antunes Roque Baixinho games.
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -189
    Alverca have scored:
    alverca-futebolin 18 of last 20 games.
    alverca-futebolin last 9 away games.
    Alverca will score goal
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Estrela - Alverca Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    341091554-5739
    11.
    Alverca
    Alverca
    341091535-5239
    12.
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    348121435-5736
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630
    16.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    346121631-5730

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    4 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 15
    -2
    -3
    11 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    3
    4
    Draws
    2
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    11
    15
    Conceded
    14
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats