Estrela vs Alverca Prediction 25 August 2025
🔊 Estrela are set to host Alverca in a clash that will wrap up the third round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Both clubs find themselves in the lower half of the table, which adds extra motivation to fight for these crucial points. The hosts appear to be favorites, but the newly promoted side might just spring a surprise. Let's delve into this in our prediction.
Head-to-Head
⚠ The teams haven't faced each other on the pitch for over 20 years.
Head-to-head statistics Estrela - Alverca

Estrela Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Estrela, away team - Benfica Lisbon). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Estrela vs Benfica Lisbon):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 23;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Estrela continue their search for form in this Primeira Liga season, currently sitting 11th in the table. The "Stars" have struggled with scoring, netting fewer than 1.5 goals in 15 of their last 16 league matches. Despite this, they strive to maintain possession and create attacking opportunities through the wings. In their last outing, José Faria's side narrowly fell to Benfica, conceding from a penalty, but managed to generate an expected goals tally of 1.26.
Match Results: Estrela

Alverca Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Alverca, away - Braga). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:3.
Here are the match stats (Alverca vs Braga):
- ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
Alverca are battling for survival, currently sitting in 16th place in the standings. While they put up a fight against Moreirense in the opening round (1-2), conceding a late equalizer in the 95th minute, they were soundly defeated by Braga in their last outing (0-3). However, the main issue isn't with their defense but rather their finishing. Custódio's protégés exceeded two expected goals but failed to score any.
Match Results: Alverca
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Estrela vs Alverca
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 0 vs 0;
- win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 6;
- losses: 7 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Estrela have not won in 9 of last 10 home games (Primeira Liga).
- Estrela have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Alverca games.
Prediction on corners
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; at home field - 4.2.
Alverca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 3.8.
- Estrela have taken under 5.5 corners in last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on cards
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home - 3.
Alverca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5, away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Estrela vs Alverca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
- number of BTS matches for Estrela at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTS matches for Alverca away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 1 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Estrela at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Alverca away - 3 (60%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Victory is crucial for both teams, and neither will settle for a draw. Therefore, we don't anticipate a defensive showdown. Instead, Estrela will aim to entertain their fans with a strong offensive display, while Alverca look to improve on their unusually poor finishing from the last round. Thus, our bet is on over 1.5 goals.