Alverca vs Estrela Prediction 31 January 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Alverca and Estrela is drawing attention for a multitude of reasons, making it a highly intriguing fixture. Both teams are currently positioned in the lower half of the Primeira Liga standings but have contrasting ambitions: the hosts aim to climb towards the top half, while the visitors are fighting to escape the relegation zone. Alverca's form has been inconsistent, with just 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Meanwhile, Estrela have been more assertive in attack, frequently finding the back of the net. An open game with a focus on offense is anticipated.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 25 August 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative look at the stats from that encounter (Estrela were the home side):
- possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 18 vs 24;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊 Alverca and Estrela have officially faced each other just once. The match took place on 25 August 2025 at Estrela's home ground and ended in a 2-2 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Alverca - Estrela
Alverca Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Braga playing at home against Alverca. The match ended with a 5-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Alverca vs Braga):
- possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 0 vs 7.
Alverca, currently sitting 10th in the table, are striving to solidify their position in the Primeira. The "Gladiators" have shown inconsistent form with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Their average goal-scoring rate is about one per game, not the most impressive stat. However, the team displays fighting spirit and a desire to improve their outcomes. In their last head-to-head encounter against Estrela, the match ended in a 2-2 draw, highlighting the club's ability to fight until the end. Despite challenges, Alverca aim to overcome their opponents with an aggressive style of play.
Match Results: Alverca
Estrela Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, where they faced Benfica away. The match ended in a 4-0 defeat for Estrela.
Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Benfica):
- possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corners: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 24 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 8.
Estrela, currently sitting 13th in the standings, are eager to improve their performance and steer clear of the relegation zone. The "Stars" have shown inconsistency with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their attacking prowess is notable, averaging 1.6 goals per game, but their defense often lets them down, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match. In their last head-to-head encounter against Alverca, the match ended in a 2-2 draw, highlighting their ability to play openly and create chances in front of goal. Estrela aim to capitalize on their attacking style to secure a positive result.
Match Results: Estrela
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 1;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 3;
- Today's home team scores on average 2, while the visitors net 1.
First-Half Stats: Alverca (home) vs Estrela (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- wins: 2 (20%) vs 1 (11.11%);
- losses: 5 (50%) vs 5 (55.56%);
- draws: 3 (30%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.1 vs 1.67;
- Average goals conceded: 0.9 vs 1.22.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 0 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 1.1).
- Estrela conceded in the 1st half in last 7 away games.
- Estrela conceded in the 1st half in last 6 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Alverca vs Estrela
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- win percentage: 37% vs 21%;
- losses: 10 vs 8;
- draws: 2 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Alverca vs Estrela
- average total in the tournament: 2.74 vs 3.11;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.21;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.37 vs 0.63;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.58;
- Alverca: average total at home in the tournament - 0.9;
- Estrela: average total away in the tournament - 1.11;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1) vs 1.6 (away - 1.8).
- Alverca have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Alverca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.21; at home field - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.4.
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.21, away - 2.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 1.6.
- Alverca have taken under 5.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Alverca vs Estrela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Alverca at home - 3 (30%);
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela away - 4 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Alverca at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Estrela away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/171, 10.5%);
- Alverca at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/10, 30%);
- Estrela away most often play: 0:0 , 4:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.22% (odds 5.72)
1:0 - 9.08% (odds 5.69)
2:1 - 8.65% (odds 7.1)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming clash between Alverca and Estrela, we can anticipate a dynamic game filled with attacking plays. Considering their current form, the "Gladiators" might face defensive challenges due to inconsistent results-2 wins and 3 losses in their last five outings. Meanwhile, Estrela showcases strong scoring ability, but their weak defense could be a liability. Analyzing the trends, it's worth noting that the total over 2.5 goals is frequently hit in the visitors' matches. However, the odds suggest a high probability of both teams finding the net at least once, making a bet on both teams to score a more logical choice for this encounter.No comments
Betting Tips: Alverca - Estrela
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in 12 of last 13 games.in 11 of last 12 games (Primeira Liga).in last 7 away games.in last 7 away games.in last 6 away games (Primeira Liga).in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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