Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction 23 May 2026
🔊 Ahead of the clash between São Paulo and Botafogo, the contrast in form between the two sides is striking. The hosts currently sit fourth, but their recent run has been inconsistent-they have failed to secure a win in their last seven matches. Meanwhile, Botafogo are enjoying a much stronger spell, picking up three victories in their last five outings and showcasing impressive attacking output. With both clubs positioned near the top of the table and still firmly in the race, this encounter promises to be a tense affair, with plenty at stake for both teams.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official fixture between these sides took place on 14 September 2025 and ended 1-0. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that encounter (São Paulo were the home team):
- Possession: 48% vs 52%;
- Corners: 4 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 11 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of the official head-to-head meetings between São Paulo and Botafogo:
- They have faced each other 38 times;
- The hosts have claimed 15 wins, while the visitors have 12 victories, with 11 draws;
- Goals scored: 60 for São Paulo, 45 for Botafogo;
- Average first-half goals: 1.42; second-half average: 1.34;
- Average total goals per match: 2.76.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in the Copa Sudamericana, where São Paulo hosted Millonarios. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a look at the key stats from São Paulo vs Millonarios:
- Possession: 62% vs 38%;
- Corners: 7 vs 2;
- Fouls: 13 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 4.
⚪ São Paulo have struggled to pick up points recently, going winless in their last seven matches with three defeats and four draws-a clear downturn compared to their strong start to the season. Their average of 1.38 goals per game is above league average, but defensive lapses have become increasingly frequent.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Botafogo FR Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Sudamericana, facing off against Independiente Petrolero on the road. Botafogo came away with a commanding 3-0 victory.
Here’s a look at the key stats from that contest (Botafogo vs Independiente Petrolero):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corners: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 19 vs 0.
⚫ Botafogo head into this fixture riding a wave of positive momentum-three wins in their last five outings, with just a single defeat, underline the visitors’ impressive form. They’ve been prolific in front of goal, scoring at least once in each of their past ten matches and averaging two goals per game, while conceding exactly one on average. Botafogo consistently embrace an attacking approach regardless of the opposition: an active streak of eleven consecutive Serie A matches where both teams have found the net highlights their commitment to open, attacking football-even against top-tier sides.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Matches played - 38;
- Home wins - 15, Away wins - 12, Draws - 11.
Stats: São Paulo vs Botafogo
- Matches in the competition: 16 vs 15;
- Wins: 7 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 44% vs 40%;
- Losses: 6 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 6;
- Losses: 4 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 2.
- Botafogo have covered the +1.5 handicap in five consecutive head-to-head away matches.
- Botafogo have covered the +1.5 handicap in 14 of their last 15 games.
- Botafogo have covered the +1.5 handicap in eight straight Série A fixtures.
- Botafogo have covered the +1.5 handicap in six of their last seven away games (Série A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average goals):
- Home side - 1.58, Away side - 1.18;
- Overall in head-to-head - 2.76;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 20 times; at São Paulo’s ground - 8 times.
Average total stats: São Paulo vs Botafogo
- In this competition: 2.5 vs 3.8;
- Goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.93;
- In the first half: 0.38 vs 0.8;
- In the second half: 1 vs 1.13;
- São Paulo at home in this competition - 1.86;
- Botafogo away in this competition - 1.75;
- Last 10 matches: 1 (home - 1.25) vs 2 (away - 2).
- São Paulo have conceded in 10 of their last 11 Série A fixtures.
- Botafogo have scored in 17 of their last 18 matches.
- Botafogo have found the net in 11 straight Série A games.
- Botafogo have scored in 10 of their last 11 away matches.
- Botafogo have scored in nine of their last ten away games (Série A).
Corner Prediction
São Paulo: Stats
- This season: average total corners in the league - 6.81; at home - 8.43;
- Last 10 matches: average total corners - 7.4; at home - 11.5.
Botafogo: Stats
- This season: average total corners in the league - 3.67, away - 3.38;
- Last 10 matches: average total corners - 5.7; away - 5.
- São Paulo have taken under 5.5 corners in five consecutive head-to-head meetings.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Matches played - 38;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 20 times;
- At São Paulo’s ground - eight times.
Stats: São Paulo vs Botafogo
- Matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 15;
- Games this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 9 vs 12;
- São Paulo BTTS at home - three (43%);
- Botafogo BTTS away - seven (88%).
Last ten matches:
- BTTS games: six vs six;
- São Paulo BTTS at home - two (50%);
- Botafogo BTTS away - two (50%).
- Botafogo have both scored and conceded in eleven straight Série A matches.
- Botafogo have both scored and conceded in nine of their last ten away games (Série A).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the league: 1-1 (24/157, 15.3%);
- São Paulo’s most frequent home result: 2-0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Botafogo’s most frequent away result: 1-2 (2/8, 25%).
The algorithm projects the top three likely outcomes based on stats and probability distribution:
1-1 - 11.73% (odds: 6.5)
2-1 - 9.74% (odds: 8.5)
1-0 - 9.06% (odds: 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams’ stats point directly to a high-scoring affair: São Paulo have been shaky at the back and often leave gaps for opponents, while Botafogo consistently convert their chances up front but also allow their rivals opportunities. All signs suggest an open, competitive match with plenty of attacking play on both sides. The main prediction is both teams to score (yes).
Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Botafogo FR
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
