Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction 14 September 2025
🔊 In the 23rd round of Serie A, São Paulo will host Botafogo at the Morumbi Stadium. The hosts are in strong form at home, having secured four consecutive wins in the league on their own turf. Botafogo have been impressive on the road, remaining unbeaten in their last six away matches and winning five of them. However, their head-to-head history with São Paulo is challenging: most encounters have ended in draws, and victories for the visitors are rare. The match promises to be cautious and tactically astute, making it difficult to pinpoint a clear favorite.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 16 April 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Botafogo as the home side):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 8 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between São Paulo and Botafogo:
- 37 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 12, draws - 11;
- goals scored - 59 to 45;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 1.43, in the 2nd half - 1.38;
- average total goals per match - 2.81.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the Serie A tournament, Round 22, with Cruzeiro hosting São Paulo. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Cruzeiro):
- possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 7.
⭐ In the latest round of Serie A, São Paulo narrowly lost away to Cruzeiro (0-1). The team failed to capitalize on their chances, while the hosts secured victory with a solitary goal midway through the second half. Despite this result, São Paulo remain one of the strongest home sides in the league. At the Morumbi Stadium, they have won 6 out of 11 matches, drawn three times, and suffered only two defeats. In the league standings, the club sits in 7th place, showcasing consistent performances and maintaining their chances of securing a spot in the Copa Libertadores zone.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Botafogo FR Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on as part of the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals, with Botafogo hosting Vasco da Gama. The match concluded with a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 0;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 9 vs 5.
⚫ In the 22nd round of Serie A, Botafogo delivered a stunning 4-1 victory over Bragantino, showcasing an impressive attacking display. This win solidified their position in the standings, with Botafogo currently sitting in 5th place as they continue their push for the top spots and a Copa Libertadores berth.
🏆 However, on September 12, the club unexpectedly exited the Copa do Brasil. In the quarterfinals, Botafogo drew twice with Vasco da Gama (1-1 in both matches), but fell short in the penalty shootout at their home ground, the "Olimpico Nilton Santos," losing 3-5. This result dealt a blow to the club's ambitions for the remainder of the season.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 37;
- First-half victories at home - 8; away - 4; draws - 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.43;
- Today's home side averages 0.78 goals, while the visitors average 0.65.
First-Half Statistics: São Paulo (home) vs Botafogo (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 10;
- Victories: 5 (45.45%) vs 1 (10%);
- Losses: 2 (18.18%) vs 2 (20%);
- Draws: 4 (36.36%) vs 7 (70%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.6;
- Average goals conceded: 0.36 vs 0.3.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 6 vs 3;
- Losses: 1 vs 3;
- Draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.1) vs 1.7 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.8).
- São Paulo have won the first half at home in six consecutive matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- total encounters - 37;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 12, draws - 11.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Botafogo
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 20;
- wins: 8 vs 10;
- win percentage: 36% vs 50%;
- losses: 6 vs 5;
- draws: 8 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- today's home team averages - 1.59 goals, away team - 1.22;
- average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.81;
- both teams have scored: overall - 20 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Botafogo
- average total in the tournament: 2.23 vs 2.15;
- average goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.5;
- average first-half total: 0.55 vs 0.65;
- average second-half total: 0.64 vs 0.85;
- São Paulo: average home total in the tournament - 1.36;
- Botafogo: average away total in the tournament - 1.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.6 (away - 2).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 12 of São Paulo's last 14 matches (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in São Paulo's last 11 home matches consecutively.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in São Paulo's last 7 home matches consecutively (Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Botafogo's last 5 matches consecutively.
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 5; at home - 5.36;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.2; at home - 4.6.
Botafogo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.8, away - 4.2;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; away - 3.8.
- São Paulo has delivered under 5.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings with Botafogo.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.24 (1.62 for the home team and 1.62 for the away team);
- average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3 (1.39 for the home team and 1.61 for the away team).
São Paulo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 3; at home - 3.36;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.6.
Botafogo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 1.95, away - 2.4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.7; away - 2.4.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- total encounters - 37;
- both teams scored overall - 20 times;
- at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Botafogo
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 20;
- matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 5;
- Sao Paulo's BTTS at home - 5 (45%);
- Botafogo's BTTS away - 1 (10%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- Sao Paulo's BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Botafogo's BTTS away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
São Paulo remain one of the strongest home teams in the league. Botafogo come into this match following a confident victory, but they unexpectedly crashed out of the Copa do Brasil. Nevertheless, in the league, Ancelotti's side have won five consecutive away matches and need to win a sixth to stay in contention for a Copa Libertadores spot. The head-to-head history shows evenly matched teams, but São Paulo traditionally make life difficult for visitors on their turf. Therefore, the prediction remains cautious: Botafogo will not lose.
Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Botafogo FR
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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