Nacional vs Libertad Prediction

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Nacional and Libertad. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 20:00 24 May. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Arsenio Erico stadium in the city of Asuncion. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Libertad):

    • ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
    • fouls: 11 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Nacional and Libertad:

    • played 68 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 19, for the away team - 38, draws - 11;
    • number of goals - 54 against 90;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.93, in the 2nd half - 1.19;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.12.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    20 Wins
    16%
    11 Draws
    55%
    38 Wins
    Total games
    69
    Total Goals Avg
    2.13
    Both teams scored
    42%
    0.81
    Total average
    1.32
    1.97
    Yellow cards
    1.83
    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    18.03.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    1
    7
    11
    15
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    7
    11
    15
    2
    1
    27.09.25
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    1
    -
    -
    8
    1
    11
    11
    5
    5
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    11
    11
    5
    5
    19.07.25
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    1
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    7
    5
    11
    9
    6
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    11
    9
    6
    1
    11.04.25
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    2
    2
    19
    14
    5
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    19
    14
    5
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Nacional Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 15 May 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Rubio Nu, away team - Nacional). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Nacional vs Rubio Nu):

    • ball possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 3;
    • fouls: 15 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Nacional delighted their fans with 4 victories, settled for a draw in 5 matches, and lost 1 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.1, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.75, and the average number of goals conceded is 1.

    Match Results: Nacional

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    W
    15.05.26
    Primera Division
    Rubio Nu
    Rubio Nu
    2
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    3
    10
    13
    15
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    10
    13
    15
    0
    3
    D
    09.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    1
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    4
    0
    10
    16
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    0
    10
    16
    2
    1
    W
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    0
    W
    24.04.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Cd Recoleta
    Cd Recoleta
    1
    -
    -
    15
    4
    10
    6
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    15
    4
    10
    6
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Libertad Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 20 May 2026 as part of the Copa Libertadores tournament (home team - Independiente del Valle, away - Libertad). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.

    Here are the match stats (Libertad vs Independiente del Valle):

    • ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 8;
    • fouls: 9 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 8.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Libertad gifted its fans with 3 victories, played to a draw 2 times, and finished 5 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 15;
    • average goals scored - 1.5;
    • average goals conceded - 1.7.

    Match Results: Libertad

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Libertad
    Libertad
    UCV
    UCV
    1.1
    1.71
    6
    2
    8
    13
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.1
    1.71
    6
    2
    8
    13
    0
    3
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2.46
    0.32
    8
    4
    4
    9
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.46
    0.32
    8
    4
    4
    9
    0
    1
    L
    14.05.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2 de Mayo
    2 de Mayo
    -
    -
    2
    0
    9
    12
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    0
    9
    12
    3
    2
    D
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    9
    2
    0
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    9
    2
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 68;
    • home team wins - 19, away team wins - 38, draws - 11.
    Trends
    • Libertad have lost in last 6 away games.
    👉Prediction: Libertad Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.19)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.79, the guests - 1.32;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.12;
    • both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 17.

    Statistics: Nacional vs Libertad

    • average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.71;
    • average total goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.57;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.48 vs 0.62;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.9 vs 0.95;
    • Nacional: average total at home in the tournament -  1.67;
    • Libertad: average total away in the tournament - 1.22;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.75) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Nacional have scored in 9 of last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Nacional will score goal

    Prediction on corners

    Nacional: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.05; at home field - 4.44;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; at home field - 8.25.

    Libertad: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33, away - 4.22;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 4.5.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Libertad Total Under (4.5) (odds: 1.36)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 68;
    • both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 17 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.85)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/125, 16.8%);
    • Nacional at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
    • Libertad away most often play: 1:0 (3/9, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.42% (odds 5.4)
    1:0 - 10.45% (odds 6.2)
    2:1 - 8.58% (odds 8.2)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Libertad have lost in last 6 away games.

    Our choice
    Nacional Win at odds of +110*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 May 2026, 20:24)

    Betting Tips: Nacional - Libertad

    Libertad have lost
    club-libertad-asuncionin last 6 away games.
    Nacional Win
    Bovada
    +130
    Nacional have not lost
    nacional-fcin 10 of last 11 home games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    Libertad have not won
    club-libertad-asuncionin last 6 away games.
    Nacional will not lose
    Everygame
    -303
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    nacional-fcin 14 of last 15 Nacional games.
    nacional-fcin 13 of last 14 Nacional games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 6 of last 7 Nacional home games (Primera Division).
    club-libertad-asuncionin 9 of last 10 Libertad away games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Nacional have scored
    nacional-fcin 9 of last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    Nacional will score goal
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Nacional - Libertad Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    21144334-1746
    2.
    Nacional
    Nacional
    22109331-2239
    3.
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    21115530-1938
    5.
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    2288630-2432
    6.
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2294934-2631
    7.
    Guarani
    Guarani
    2278727-2329

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 11
    +2
    -3
    15 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    4
    Draws
    1
    1
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    15
    11
    Conceded
    18
    2.4
    Match goals average
    3.3
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats