Libertad vs Nacional Prediction
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Libertad and Nacional. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 23:30 18 March. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Dr. Nicolás Léoz stadium in the city of Asuncion. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nacional):
- ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 5;
- shots on target: 8 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Libertad and Nacional:
- played 67 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 37, for the away team - 19, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 88 against 53;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.93, in the 2nd half - 1.18;
- average total goals in the match - 2.1.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Libertad Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 13 March 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - 2 de Mayo, away team - Libertad). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here's the game statistics (Libertad vs 2 de Mayo):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 2 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Libertad delighted their fans with 4 victories, settled for a draw in 2 matches, and lost 4 times.
⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.6, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.25, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.9.
Match Results: Libertad

Nacional Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 15 March 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Nacional, away - Rubio Nu). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Nacional vs Rubio Nu):
- ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Nacional gifted its fans with 4 victories, played to a draw 4 times, and finished 2 games with a defeat.
⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:
- total number of goals - 17;
- average goals scored - 1.7;
- average goals conceded - 1.
Match Results: Nacional
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 67;
- home team wins - 37, away team wins - 19, draws - 11.
- Nacional have not lost in 14 of last 15 games.
- Nacional have not lost in 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
- Nacional have not lost in last 6 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 0.79;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.1;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Libertad vs Nacional
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.6;
- average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.7;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
- Libertad: average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Nacional: average total away in the tournament - 1.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.25) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Nacional games.
Prediction on corners
Libertad: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.2; at home field - 6.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 6.25.
Nacional: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 3.25.
- Libertad have taken over 3.5 corners in last 6 home games (Primera Division).
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.64 (1.82 for home team and 1.82 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.74 (1.62 for home team and 2.12 for away team).
Libertad: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.2; at home - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 3.
Nacional: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.2, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 3.
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in 12 of last 13 Libertad home games.
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in 11 of last 12 Libertad games (Primera Division).
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 8 Libertad home games (Primera Division).
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Nacional away games.
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Nacional away games (Primera Division).
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 6 Nacional games.
- Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 5 Nacional games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 67;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (12/60, 20%);
- Libertad at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/4, 50%);
- Nacional away most often play: 0:2 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:2 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.46% (odds 5.3)
1:0 - 11.96% (odds 5.2)
0:0 - 9.82% (odds 6.4)
- Nacional drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 games.
Editorial Prediction
- Nacional have not lost in 14 of last 15 games.
- Nacional have not lost in 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
- Nacional have not lost in last 6 away games (Primera Division).
