Libertad vs Nacional Prediction

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Libertad and Nacional. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 23:30 18 March. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Dr. Nicolás Léoz stadium in the city of Asuncion. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nacional):

    • ball possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 1;
    • fouls: 11 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 4.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Libertad and Nacional:

    • played 67 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 37, for the away team - 19, draws - 11;
    • number of goals - 88 against 53;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.93, in the 2nd half - 1.18;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.1.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    55%
    38 Wins
    16%
    11 Draws
    29%
    20 Wins
    Total games
    69
    Total Goals Avg
    2.13
    Both teams scored
    42%
    1.32
    Total average
    0.81
    1.83
    Yellow cards
    1.97
    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    18.03.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    1
    7
    11
    15
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    1
    7
    11
    15
    2
    1
    27.09.25
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    1
    -
    -
    8
    1
    11
    11
    5
    5
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    11
    11
    5
    5
    19.07.25
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    1
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    7
    5
    11
    9
    6
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    5
    11
    9
    6
    1
    11.04.25
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    2
    2
    19
    14
    5
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    19
    14
    5
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Libertad Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 13 March 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - 2 de Mayo, away team - Libertad). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Libertad vs 2 de Mayo):

    • ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
    • fouls: 2 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Libertad delighted their fans with 4 victories, settled for a draw in 2 matches, and lost 4 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.6, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.25, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.9.

    Match Results: Libertad

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Libertad
    Libertad
    UCV
    UCV
    1.1
    1.71
    6
    2
    8
    13
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.1
    1.71
    6
    2
    8
    13
    0
    3
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2.46
    0.32
    8
    4
    4
    9
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.46
    0.32
    8
    4
    4
    9
    0
    1
    L
    14.05.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2 de Mayo
    2 de Mayo
    -
    -
    2
    0
    9
    12
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    0
    9
    12
    3
    2
    D
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    9
    2
    0
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    9
    2
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Nacional Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 15 March 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Nacional, away - Rubio Nu). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here are the match stats (Nacional vs Rubio Nu):

    • ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
    • fouls: 10 vs 18;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Nacional gifted its fans with 4 victories, played to a draw 4 times, and finished 2 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 17;
    • average goals scored - 1.7;
    • average goals conceded - 1.

    Match Results: Nacional

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    8
    12
    10
    3
    2
    W
    15.05.26
    Primera Division
    Rubio Nu
    Rubio Nu
    2
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    3
    10
    13
    15
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    10
    13
    15
    0
    3
    D
    09.05.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    1
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    4
    0
    10
    16
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    0
    10
    16
    2
    1
    W
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    0
    W
    24.04.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Cd Recoleta
    Cd Recoleta
    1
    -
    -
    15
    4
    10
    6
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    15
    4
    10
    6
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 67;
    • home team wins - 37, away team wins - 19, draws - 11.
    Trends
    • Nacional have not lost in 14 of last 15 games.
    • Nacional have not lost in 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
    • Nacional have not lost in last 6 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Nacional will not lose (odds: 1.55)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 0.79;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.1;
    • both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 10.

    Statistics: Libertad vs Nacional

    • average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.6;
    • average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.7;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.7;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
    • Libertad: average total at home in the tournament -  1.25;
    • Nacional: average total away in the tournament - 1.75;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.25) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Nacional games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2.5) (odds: 1.5)

    Prediction on corners

    Libertad: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.2; at home field - 6.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 6.25.

    Nacional: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 3.25.
    Trends
    • Libertad have taken over 3.5 corners in last 6 home games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Libertad Total Over (3.5) (odds: 1.38)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.64 (1.82 for home team and 1.82 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.74 (1.62 for home team and 2.12 for away team).

    Libertad: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.2; at home - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 3.

    Nacional: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.2, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 3.
    Trends
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 12 of last 13 Libertad home games.
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 11 of last 12 Libertad games (Primera Division).
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 8 Libertad home games (Primera Division).
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Nacional away games.
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 8 of last 9 Nacional away games (Primera Division).
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 6 Nacional games.
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 5 Nacional games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6.5) (odds: 1.64)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 67;
    • both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 10 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.7)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (12/60, 20%);
    • Libertad at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/4, 50%);
    • Nacional away most often play: 0:2 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 2:2 (1/4, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.46% (odds 5.3)
    1:0 - 11.96% (odds 5.2)
    0:0 - 9.82% (odds 6.4)

    Trends
    • Nacional drew 1:1 in 3 of last 4 games.

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Nacional have not lost in 14 of last 15 games.
    • Nacional have not lost in 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
    • Nacional have not lost in last 6 away games (Primera Division).

    Our choice
    Nacional will not lose at odds of -154*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (17 March 2026, 00:24)

    Betting Tips: Libertad - Nacional

    Nacional have drawn
    nacional-fcin 5 of last 6 games.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +200
    Nacional have not lost
    nacional-fcin 14 of last 15 games.
    nacional-fcin 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin last 6 away games (Primera Division).
    Nacional will not lose
    Everygame
    -169
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    nacional-fcin 6 of last 7 Nacional games.
    in 7 of last 8 David Ojeda games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    Bovada
    -189
    Nacional have scored
    nacional-fcin last 11 games.
    nacional-fcin last 10 games (Primera Division).
    Nacional will score goal
    Everygame
    -200
    View more facts

    Libertad - Nacional Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    21144334-1746
    2.
    Nacional
    Nacional
    22109331-2239
    3.
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    21115530-1938
    5.
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    2288630-2432
    6.
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2294934-2631
    7.
    Guarani
    Guarani
    2278727-2329

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 4
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 18
    -3
    +2
    13 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    4
    6
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    13
    18
    Conceded
    11
    3.3
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats