Leverkusen vs Marseille Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 November 2026
🔊 Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique Marseille meet in the fourth round of the Europa League with sharply contrasting records in Europe. The German side have won all three of their matches so far without conceding a goal. Olympique Marseille, by contrast, have lost all three and sit near the bottom of the league table. But the visitors have looked much stronger in their domestic league, so it would be premature to write them off. For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, this is a chance to strengthen their position among the tournament’s frontrunners.
🔁 Stay tuned for important pre-match updates: we’ll add news on team selections, injuries and other developments that could affect the contest.
The first competitive meeting between the two sides
📊 Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique Marseille have never met in an official competition. With this set to be their first head-to-head meeting, the focus is on their current form and Europa League results.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: A flawless European campaign
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have been among the standout teams in the league phase so far. Carles Martínez’s side have taken a maximum nine points, beating Celje, Lech Poznań and OFI in succession. Their record is particularly impressive: eight goals scored and none conceded. Patrik Schick and the attacking midfielders regularly threaten the opposition goal, while Bayer maintain a high level of possession.
In the Bundesliga, though, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have run into trouble. Back-to-back defeats to Hoffenheim and Stuttgart have exposed defensive weaknesses on the domestic front. In their most recent match against Stuttgart, Bayer had nine shots and won five corners but lost 4-2. Those numbers suggest they can still create plenty of chances even when results go against them. At home, Bayer will expect a more familiar pattern, with the bulk of the territory and possession.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
Olympique Marseille: Strong in the League, struggling in Europe
Olympique Marseille are enduring a mixed European campaign. The French club have lost to Besiktas, Olympiacos and Sturm. After a high-scoring defeat in Turkey, they failed to score in their next two matches. The trip to Austria was particularly frustrating: Marseille lost by a single goal and made little of their attacking opportunities.
In Ligue 1, however, Bruno Genesio’s side have been far more convincing. Four straight wins have lifted them to sixth place, and they beat Toulouse 2-0 in their latest league match. Amine Harit, who scored in that game, is in fine form. Marseille have no shortage of attacking talent, but they now need to show they can carry their domestic form onto the European stage. That will be no easy task against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Match Results: Olympique Marseille
Latest news
Bayer Leverkusen
❌ Carles Martínez will be without Nathan Tella, Loïc Badé, Moussa Diaby, Martin Terrier, Christian Kofane, Guéla Doué and Eliesse Ben Seghir. The absences are particularly significant in attack, leaving the coaching staff short of players who can make an impact in the final third.
Olympique Marseille
❌ Olympique Marseille are in much better shape on the injury front than their opponents. Their only confirmed long-term absentee is centre-back Derek Cornelius, who is recovering from a hip injury and is not expected back until early 2027. Emerson Palmieri is also a doubt after experiencing knee discomfort in the last league match, although tests ruled out a serious injury. The coaching staff may rest the Italian ahead of their next league fixture, with Ulisses Garcia an option at left-back.
Predicted line-ups
📋 Bayer 04 Leverkusen predicted XI: Blaswich - Vazquez, Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina - Fernandez, Garcia - Maza, Tillman, Moreira - Schick.
📋 Olympique Marseille predicted XI: De Lange - Weah, Egan-Riley, Aguerd, Garcia - Hojbjerg, Kondogbia, Nnadi - Harit, Paixao, Gouiri.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Both teams have picked up six yellow cards in three Europa League matches, averaging two bookings per game. Bayer 04 Leverkusen have committed considerably more fouls than Olympique Marseille, though, with 53 to the French side’s 36. Given the importance of this match and Marseille’s need to end their losing streak, over 3.5 yellow cards is worth considering.
⚽ Goals prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have scored at least twice in each of their last three Europa League league-phase matches. Olympique Marseille, meanwhile, have conceded in all three of theirs, with their defence yet to show the reliability needed at this level. Despite their recent Bundesliga setbacks, the hosts have enough attacking quality to pose a constant threat to the French side’s goal. The main pick is Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score over 1.5 goals. Odds: 1.36*.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen average seven corners per match in the Europa League, compared with 5.33 for Olympique Marseille. Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 21 corners over their last three matches, while Olympique Marseille have won 11. The French side have allowed their opponents just six corners over the same period. Bayer 04 Leverkusen consistently put opposing defences under pressure and turn their attacks into corners, making Bayer 04 Leverkusen over 5.5 team corners worth considering at odds of 1.67*.
😱 Risky bet
Despite losing two of their last three matches, Bayer 04 Leverkusen remain favourites. Olympique Marseille have won their last four Ligue 1 games but have lost every Europa League fixture. The visitors could make life difficult with their organised defence and quick counter-attacks. Martinez’s side, though, need an immediate response to their home defeat by Stuttgart. Olympique Marseille have already conceded heavily in Turkey, and a similar result in Leverkusen cannot be ruled out. Risky prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win with a -2.5 handicap - 3.25*.
🎯 Safer Bet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win or draw - 1.11*. The German side have won all three of their league-phase matches without conceding a goal. Olympique Marseille, by contrast, have lost all three. That gap in form makes backing the hosts the safer choice.
🚀 Player Prop Bet
Patrik Schick to have at least two shots on target - 1.50*. The striker has scored twice in three Europa League appearances, taking nine shots. In the Bundesliga, he has seven goals and 29 shots through eight matchdays. That gives the Czech forward 38 shots in 11 games across the two competitions - around 3.5 per match. Schick remains Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s main target in the opposition box and regularly gets on the end of their attacking moves with a shot.
👀 If the match takes an unexpected turn
If Olympique Marseille take a surprise lead, Bayer 04 Leverkusen will have to push their attacking midfielders further forward and increase the pressure on Marseille’s penalty area. If the German side continue to dominate possession and territory, Bayer 04 Leverkusen over 1.5 team goals in the second half could be worth considering as a live bet.
*Odds are indicative and may vary by bookmaker.
⭐ Editor’s prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have looked far more convincing in the Europa League league phase and hold a clear edge over Olympique Marseille in the competition’s results so far. The French side could exploit weaknesses in Bayer’s defence, but they will need to produce a much stronger performance than they have in their previous European outings to get a result.
Given Bayer’s recent struggles in the Bundesliga and the visitors’ excellent form in Ligue 1, I expect Olympique Marseille to take an adventurous approach. Although Bayer have yet to concede in the Europa League, my pick is both teams to score (yes). They have conceded in four of their last five matches across all competitions, so the visitors should get chances to score. Bayer should still justify their favourites’ status at home. Correct-score prediction: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Bayer Leverkusen - Olympique Marseille
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