Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Loja Prediction 23 May 2026
🔊 Independiente del Valle come into this fixture as the undisputed leaders of the league, showcasing impressive form throughout the season. Libertad, meanwhile, sit in 14th place and continue to struggle, especially away from home. The contrast between the hosts’ consistency and the visitors’ erratic results is evident not only in the standings but also in their recent performances.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 06 December 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here’s a statistical breakdown from that fixture, with Independiente del Valle playing at home:
- Possession: 58% vs 42%;
- Corners: 13 vs 3;
- Fouls: 12 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 1.
📊 Head-to-head stats for official matches between Independiente del Valle and Libertad:
- They have faced off 8 times;
- The hosts have claimed 3 wins, the visitors just 1, with 4 draws;
- Goals scored: 11 for Independiente del Valle, 6 for Libertad;
- Average number of goals in the first half: 1.38; in the second half: 0.75;
- Average total goals per match: 2.13.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja
Independiente del Valle Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Independiente del Valle hosting Libertad. The match ended in a commanding 4-1 victory for the home side.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from Independiente del Valle vs Libertad:
- Possession: 63% vs 37%;
- Corners: 8 vs 4;
- Fouls: 4 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 8 vs 4.
Independiente del Valle remain firmly atop the table, and their recent form backs it up: they have claimed eight wins and suffered just two defeats in their last ten outings. Their average of exactly two goals scored per match is a solid return for a league leader, but their home record tells a slightly different story. At home, Independiente del Valle rarely surpass two goals-fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored in 12 of their last 13 matches on their own turf. This points to a pragmatic approach in attack: the team play with discipline and control, focusing on managing the game rather than running up the scoreline.
Match Results: Independiente del Valle
Libertad Loja Team Overview
The visitors played their most recent official match on in the Ecuador Cup, taking on Pottu Via Ho away from home. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a look at the key stats from the match (Libertad vs Pottu Via Ho):
- Possession: 59% vs 41%;
- Corners: 3 vs 4;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Libertad are enduring a highly inconsistent season, currently sitting 14th in the table with just three wins from fourteen matches. Their last five outings have yielded only one victory, a draw, and three defeats, highlighting a significant dip in form. On average, Libertad score just 0.86 goals per game while conceding 1.29-numbers that underline their struggles even against sides of similar quality. Over their last ten fixtures, Libertad have managed just one win alongside six losses, with an average of only 0.8 goals scored per match and a defense that remains vulnerable. Away from home, Libertad rarely pose a threat in front of goal and consistently face problems in attack.
Match Results: Libertad Loja
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.38;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.88, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Independiente del Valle (home) vs Libertad Loja (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 4 (57.14%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- draws: 2 (28.57%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- Average goals scored: 1.71 vs 1.14;
- Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 0.86.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 1;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7).
- Independiente del Valle scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Libertad Loja (Serie A).
- Independiente del Valle scored in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Independiente del Valle scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 1, draws - 4.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Loja
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 11 vs 3;
- win percentage: 79% vs 21%;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 1 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 3.
- Libertad Loja won with a +2.5 handicap in last 5 games against Independiente del Valle (Serie A).
- Libertad Loja won with a +2.5 handicap in 46 of last 47 games (Serie A).
- Libertad Loja won with a +2.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 away games (Serie A).
- Libertad Loja won with a +2.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 games.
- Libertad Loja won with a +2.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.38, the guests - 0.75;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.13;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Loja
- average total in the tournament: 2.79 vs 2.14;
- average total goals scored: 1.86 vs 0.86;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.93 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.93 vs 0.57;
- Independiente del Valle: average total at home in the tournament - 1.71;
- Libertad Loja: average total away in the tournament - 0.57;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 1.75) vs 0.8 (away - 0.5).
- Independiente del Valle have scored under 2.5 goals in 12 of last 13 home games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.88 (6.63 - for home team and 3.25 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7.5 (4.75 - for home team and 2.75 - for away team).
Independiente del Valle: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.43; at home field - 8.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.7; at home field - 9.25.
Libertad Loja: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.21, away - 3.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; away - 2.5.
- Libertad Loja have taken over 2.5 corners in last 6 games against Independiente del Valle (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Loja
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Independiente del Valle at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (19/112, 17%);
- Independiente del Valle at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Libertad Loja away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.7% (odds 8)
2:0 - 12.57% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.83% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The outcome of this match largely hinges on how Independiente del Valle perform at home and Libertad’s struggles on the road. Despite the hosts’ commanding position, their attacking approach remains measured-a trend underscored by the fact that they rarely score more than two goals in front of their own fans. Over their last ten matches, Independiente del Valle have averaged exactly two goals per game. Given Libertad’s lackluster offense, there’s little reason to expect a sudden scoring surge from the home side. The bet here is on Independiente del Valle’s individual total under 2.5 goals.No comments
Betting Tips: Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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