Everton vs Leeds Prediction 26 January 2026
🔊 The final match of the 23rd Premier League round will take place at Hill Dickinson Stadium. There is a significant seven-point gap between Everton and Leeds, but given the form the Peacocks are showing, these teams can be considered direct rivals. Bookmakers aren't dismissing an away victory either-Everton aren't seen as clear favorites, which has led to fairly even odds. Let's delve into the details and figure out the bets.
Head-to-Head
📊 In this decade, the teams have faced each other seven times, all within the Premier League. Everton have claimed three victories, Leeds have won twice, and the sides have drawn twice. Notably, all three matches played at the Toffees' home ground ended without both teams scoring.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Everton Team Overview
Everton are a team that struggles with consistency. It's clear that competing for European spots is beyond their reach, yet there’s no immediate threat of relegation either. Interestingly, their new stadium hasn't turned into a fortress for the Toffees. Over the last seven fixtures, they've picked up eight points, with only one of those coming at home. That lone point was from a match against Wolverhampton (1-1).
However, in the last round, David Moyes' side pulled off an impressive away victory against one of the league's top teams, Aston Villa (1-0). This result is notable as the Blues were the ones to end the Lions' home winning streak, which had reached 11 matches. Although, only die-hard fans might argue that Everton truly deserved the win, as their opponents threatened twice as often and certainly earned their goal (xG 1.33).
Match Results: Everton
Leeds United Team Overview
Leeds are impressing and show no signs of slowing down. The team, having suffered just one defeat in December-January, shouldn't be embroiled in a relegation battle. However, it's too early to say that the "Peacocks" will avoid this fate, as they are only five points clear of the drop zone.
Nevertheless, after a frustrating loss to Newcastle (3-4), when Daniel Farke's side conceded twice in stoppage time, they quickly regrouped and returned to winning ways. In the FA Cup, Derby County suffered a 3-1 defeat, while in the Premier League, it was Fulham who fell 1-0. Leeds could have secured a more convincing victory over the "Cottagers," as they dominated in terms of big chances, effectively delivering a 5-0 thrashing.
Match Results: Leeds United
Latest news
Everton
🎙 "I'm extremely pleased, as we've worked all week for this result. Of course, a bit of luck was involved. But we defended well. Our team isn't one to score a ton of goals, so we focus on solid defense, preferring a bird in the hand."
❌ Everton's injury list sees numerous changes. Jarrad Branthwaite, Carlos Alcaraz, and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall have returned to training with the team, though it's unclear if they'll be match-ready by Sunday. The same goes for Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye, who have only just rejoined the club after their triumphant Africa Cup of Nations campaign. Their fitness is a concern, but an even bigger issue is Jack Grealish's injury- the Englishman will be sidelined for several months due to a foot fracture. Additionally, Michael Keane will miss the match against Leeds due to suspension.
Leeds United
🎙 Daniel Farke expressed great satisfaction with his team's performance in the last round: "This is our best win of the season against an in-form Fulham. We stood firm until the very end of the match. I consider this victory the best of the season so far. We didn't allow the opposition to showcase their best qualities."
❌ Leeds' injury list still includes Daniel James, and prior to the last round, Jakub Bijol joined him due to a hamstring injury, sidelining the key center-back for three to five weeks. There are also concerns about Gabriel Gudmundsson's fitness, but Daniel Farke is hopeful that the left-back will be ready for the game against Everton, as well as Anton Stach.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match holds significant importance for both teams, so expect a competitive battle on the field. Where there's competition and fouls, there are also cautions, especially in matches officiated by Simon Hooper. The English referee has issued over 2.5 yellow cards in 6 of his last 7 Premier League games, with a season average of 4.6. While neither Everton nor Leeds are known for being overly aggressive, in a head-to-head clash, they might just go toe-to-toe.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Leeds are in good form, but their standout performances often come at home, whereas their away goal-scoring record is modest, netting more than one goal in only 2 of their last 8 away matches. The same trend applies to their encounters with Everton - the "Peacocks" have scored less than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 games at the "Toffees'" ground.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both Everton and Leeds have unimpressive corner stats this season, averaging 4.18 and 4.59 per game respectively. However, there are strong indications that they might exceed these numbers in their head-to-head clash. A total of over 8.5 corners has occurred in 6 of Everton's last 7 home matches and in 6 of Leeds' last 7 away games in the Premier League. And there are even more trends supporting this bet option.
Editorial Prediction
As we've mentioned, Leeds might not be dazzling away from home, but they've been consistently picking up points since the start of winter, with the only exception being an unusual match against Newcastle where Daniel Farke's side faltered at the end. Meanwhile, Everton have not been impressive at home-David Moyes' squad doesn't seem to gain much strength from their home crowd.
Moreover, we vividly remember the teams' first-round encounter. Despite a modest one-goal victory, the "Peacocks" dominated the pitch, outshooting the "Toffees" threefold. It's unlikely we'll see a repeat of that scenario at Hill Dickinson, but our editorial team doesn't consider the hosts as favorites, thus we're backing a draw or win for Leeds. A potential scoreline could be 1-1.
Betting Tips: Everton - Leeds United
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
