Augsburg vs Union Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 Augsburg have scored 16 goals in six rounds, but last week they lost to Elversberg in a match that could easily have ended with an even heavier scoreline. Union Berlin have picked up just five points and scored five goals, though their draw with Borussia Dortmund showed the team are capable of being organised against a high-quality opponent. The difference in attacking output is clear, but what matters more for this prediction is something else: Augsburg create a lot, but they also regularly allow opponents to get into dangerous positions.
Union came out on top in their most recent head-to-head clash
📊 In the previous 14 Bundesliga meetings between the sides, Augsburg have won six, Union three, with five draws. The most recent encounter, in spring 2026, ended in a 4-0 win for Union, while the January meeting finished 1-1. So Augsburg's overall head-to-head advantage should not be overstated. Union are currently struggling in attack, but they are capable of closing space when they are not chasing the game.
Head-to-head statistics Augsburg - Union
Augsburg fire seven goals in a single night
The 3-4 defeat to Elversberg was another illustration of Augsburg's contradictory nature. They were 0-2 down by the seventh minute and 0-3 by the 28th. After the break they fought back through two converted penalties, but conceded again late on. They were far from passive - 12 corners and three goals - but the defence too often allowed the opposition to attack without sufficient resistance.
Sixteen goals scored in six matchdays is the second-highest tally in the division after Bayern. Augsburg have scored in all six matches, and every game has gone over 2.5 goals. At home they average 2.33 goals per match, so they have something to build on against Union. But they need to stop trading goals so freely: against a side that prefers to defend compactly, a single mistake in possession could prove enough.
Match Results: Augsburg
Union Berlin: back-to-back clean sheets could help restore the team's confidence
The goalless draw with Dortmund was an important result following the narrow 1-0 win over Elversberg. Union held their opponents to 0.58 xG while creating chances worth 0.48 xG themselves. It was not a match with many clear-cut opportunities, but the team achieved something that had been missing in previous rounds: they stayed compact and did not allow the opposition to get into shooting positions regularly. Now they face a more open game, one in which Union will need to do more than just defend and look for their own chances.
The visitors' main problem is scoring. Five goals in six rounds, and none at all away from home - Union have lost both away matches with a combined score of 0-11. Those numbers make it hard to expect consistent attacking play in Augsburg. If the visitors focus on defending again and rarely push the ball forward, the home side's pressure could eventually tell. But opening up from the first minute carries its own risks for Union: Augsburg are good at exploiting space and have one of the most prolific attacks in the league.
Match Results: Union
Latest news
Augsburg
❌ Right-back Marius Wolf has returned from illness and played one half against Elversberg. Steve Mounie, Noahkai Banks, Tim Breithaupt, Alexis Claude-Maurice and Faik Sakar remain absent. The fitness of new signing Klaus Sima Suso is in doubt. The centre-back has yet to play a single minute for the Fuggerers.
Union
❌ For Union, Ilić, Markgraf, Juranović and Nsoki are unavailable, while the participation of Oliver Burke and Livan Burcu depends on their fitness.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Union average 2.5 yellow cards per match - joint second in the Bundesliga alongside Borussia Dortmund. Augsburg's average is 1.83. In their last meeting with Dortmund, Union picked up three yellow cards, with six shown in total across the match. Facing an attacking Augsburg side, the visitors will need to make more challenges and close down the flanks, which makes Union Team Total - Over 1.5 Yellow Cards a reasonable bet.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Augsburg are averaging 2.67 goals per match and have scored in every game so far this season. Union, by contrast, have conceded 17 times in six rounds - one of the worst records in the league. The hosts should create chances even against a compact defence, and the quality of their attack gives reason to expect at least two goals. On top of that, the Total Goals - Over 2.5 looks logical given that all six of Augsburg's matches this season have featured at least three goals. Prediction: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.50*.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
Augsburg average six corners per match, while Union concede 5.83 corners at their end. In Augsburg's home sample, the average combined total reaches 14.67 - a high figure, though the sample covers just three matches. Given the expected territorial advantage for the hosts, it makes more sense to back their individual line rather than rely on the visitors' activity. Prediction: Augsburg Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 - 1.41*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Augsburg are clearly ahead of Union in attacking output, and the Berliners' away form has been disastrous so far. However, the hosts' defence is also inconsistent, so backing a clean-sheet win carries too much risk. The most convincing option is an Augsburg win: their home scoring record and Union's problems on the road both point in the hosts' favour. Final selection: Augsburg to Win. Correct score prediction: 3-1.
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Betting Tips: Augsburg - Union
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