Augsburg vs Union Prediction
🔊 On Thursday evening, Augsburg aim to extend their unbeaten home streak at the WWK Arena as they face Union, who come into the game on a three-match unbeaten run. The Fuggerstadt side return home after a thrashing in Mönchengladbach, while the Iron Ones staged a comeback but still dropped points in a home clash against one of the league's underdogs. Head-to-head encounters between these teams rarely yield high-scoring affairs, making it worthwhile to delve into various statistical markets when crafting an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Augsburg have clinched victory in three of their last five encounters against Union. Their only loss in this stretch came in the most recent head-to-head at the end of last season at the "WWK Arena" (1-2). That win marked only the second time "The Iron Ones" triumphed over "The Fuggerers" in 12 Bundesliga meetings (4 draws, 6 losses). Only once in these past 12 Bundesliga clashes has either team managed to score more than two goals-when Augsburg defeated Union 3-1 in September 2020.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Augsburg Team Overview
🔴 The start of 2026 hasn't been kind to Manuel Baum's side. In their first match after the winter break, Augsburg suffered a heavy defeat in Mönchengladbach, conceding three goals in the first half alone (0-4). Currently, the "Fuggers" sit 15th in the league table, just two points clear of the relegation zone, but St. Pauli, who are 17th, have a game in hand.
⚪ Augsburg continue to struggle defensively, having conceded 32 goals in 16 matches-an average of two per game. Only Heidenheim (38), as well as Eintracht and Wolfsburg (36 each), have conceded more. Meanwhile, the Bavarian club hasn't scored in three consecutive matches and has only found the net once in their last five outings. With just 17 goals in 16 games, they hold one of the league's poorest scoring records.
🟢 However, Augsburg's home form tells a different story. In their last three matches at the "WWK Arena," they've collected seven out of a possible nine points and kept clean sheets in all three encounters. This further underscores Baum's strategy of maximizing points from home fixtures.
Match Results: Augsburg
Union Team Overview
⚪ In their first match of the new year, Union hosted Mainz, led by former Union boss Urs Fischer. The "Iron Ones" had to settle for a draw at the "An der Alten Försterei" despite a spirited second-half comeback (2-2). Initially, Woo-Yeong Jeong headed in a cross from Derrick Köhn, followed by Marin Ljubičić slotting the ball into an empty net after a set-piece play. Union leveled the score with just 13 minutes left in regulation time.
🔴 After 16 rounds, Steffen Baumgart's team have accumulated 22 points, placing them ninth in the standings. They trail the European competition spots by five points, with sixth-placed Hoffenheim having a game in hand. Union are unbeaten in their last three matches, securing victories in two of them. Overall, Berliners have suffered only three defeats in their last ten fixtures.
⚫ Interestingly, Baumgart's side have yet to draw away from home: they boast 3 wins and 4 losses with a goal difference of 7:12. In their most recent away fixture on December 20, Union narrowly defeated Cologne (1-0).
Match Results: Union
Latest news
Augsburg
🎙 Manuel Baum on the last game and upcoming clash with Union: "When you play like we did against Gladbach, conceding four goals, you want to fix things as quickly as possible-ideally on home turf. We're eagerly anticipating this match. Looking back, we can say we lacked some key moments. We've discussed this with the players both individually and as a team. Changes in personnel are possible for the match against Union."
❌ Augsburg's injury list still includes central defender and team captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, who is recovering from a knee injury. He is joined by Chrislain Matsima, who has sustained a left thigh tendon injury. Meanwhile, Elvis Rexhbecaj is back in action, as is Dimitris Giannoulis, who has served his suspension.
Union
🎙 Steffen Baumgart after the match against Mainz: "We witnessed the spirit and readiness to play-this is what Union embodies. The stadium was ablaze with intensity and relentless battles for the ball. The fact that we turned a 0-2 deficit into a 2-2 draw speaks volumes about the team's morale. I also saw a good and thrilling game."
❌ Due to various issues, the participation of Robert Skov, Tom Rothe, Tim Skarke, and Dmitry Bogdanov in the match is in doubt.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match at the "WWK Arena" is Florian Badstübner, who has averaged 2.6 yellow cards per game in his last ten matches. Augsburg lead the league in average cautions, with 2.75 per match, while Union are second with 2.4. Given these stats, a bet on over 3.5 yellow cards seems reasonable - this outcome has occurred in 13 of Union's last 15 matches.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Although Union scored twice at the "WWK Arena" last season, we suggest considering a bet on the visitors’ individual total under 1.5 goals in the upcoming game. This market has hit in Baumgart's team’s last five away matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
After 16 rounds, Augsburg average 4.3 corners per game, placing them 15th in the league. Union average 5.2 corners per game, tied for fifth with Dortmund. Despite Augsburg's home advantage, head-to-head stats suggest a cautious approach: Augsburg’s individual total under 5.5 corners has come through in 12 consecutive meetings, including six games at the "WWK Arena".
Editorial Prediction
The average total goals in the last 12 Bundesliga head-to-heads between these teams is 2.25. Considering Augsburg's recent struggles in front of goal over the past five rounds, along with Union's lack of attacking efficiency in their last five away games, we anticipate a low-scoring affair.
Augsburg traditionally plays boldly at home, aiming to maximize points at the WWK Arena, while Union remains the team with the lowest possession rate in the league (40%), yet they are one of the most dangerous sides on set pieces.
We predict that both teams will extend their unbeaten runs: Augsburg to four home matches, and Union to four consecutive rounds. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals, which has been the case in Augsburg's last five home games and in four of the last five head-to-head encounters between these opponents.
Betting Tips: Augsburg - Union
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