Union vs Augsburg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 16 May 2026
🔊 In the capital, Union are set to play their farewell match of the season in front of their home fans, taking on Augsburg, who still have a shot at qualifying for the Europa Conference League if they secure all three points. For the hosts, this fixture carries no real stakes in terms of the league table. The main achievement for Union this year is that Marie-Luise Eta has ensured the “Iron Ones” will remain in the Bundesliga next season. The reverse fixture ended in a draw, but this time around, Manuel Baum’s side know that only a win will keep their European hopes alive after more than a decade away from continental football. Of course, Augsburg will also be keeping an eye on results elsewhere as they chase their rivals. For more details, check out our prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the reverse fixture at the VVK Arena, the sides played out a 1-1 draw. Alexis Claude-Maurice put the visitors ahead in first-half stoppage time, but Marin Ljubičić leveled the score deep into added time at the end of the second half.
Head-to-head statistics Union - Augsburg
Union Team Overview
🔴 Union’s 3-1 victory over Mainz snapped a six-game winless run for the Berlin side. It marked the first win under head coach Marie-Louise Eta, who has managed to keep the “Iron Ones” in the Bundesliga-a landmark achievement as the league’s first female manager. The capital club currently sit 12th, holding a comfortable 10-point cushion above the relegation zone. Should they win their final fixture and both Mainz and Hamburg slip up, Union could finish as high as 10th. Since Eta’s arrival, there’s been a noticeable improvement in the team’s morale. Union have played with greater freedom, and players have praised the calm atmosphere that followed securing their Bundesliga status.
⚪ Last time out, Andrey Ilic opened the scoring, but late goals from Oliver Burke and Josip Juranović sealed all three points. Ilic has found the net just three times this season, compared to seven goals in 16 Bundesliga appearances last term. However, the Serbian striker leads Union in assists with nine-more than any other player at the club.
Match Results: Union
Augsburg Team Overview
🔴 In the previous round, Michael Gregoritsch’s brace against Borussia Mönchengladbach (3-1) kept Augsburg’s mathematical hopes alive for a seventh-place finish and a spot in the Europa Conference League. Robin Fellhauer also found the net for the Fuggerstädter. Augsburg can still clinch seventh if they win in the capital and both Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt drop points. Since Manuel Baum’s return, the team have collected 33 points from 21 matches (9 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses).
🟢 Heading into Matchday 34, Augsburg are on 43 points-the same tally they managed across the entire previous campaign. A win over Union could make this their best season in 11 years, dating back to the 2014/15 campaign (49 points). The mood around Augsburg remains upbeat. This season, they are among the Bundesliga’s most combative sides in terms of duels and have made excellent use of the flanks-a key aspect of their attacking approach. Only Borussia Dortmund (15) have scored more goals than Augsburg (12) from open-play crosses.
Match Results: Augsburg
Latest news
Union
❌ The main concern lies between the posts. Frederik Rønnow is still recovering from a muscle injury and is unlikely to feature in the season finale. Backup goalkeeper Matteo Raab also remains sidelined, having yet to return to full training following a hand injury. Midfield depth is an issue as well, with David Preu still out as he continues his recovery and will not be available for selection. Up front, Robert Skov misses the end of the campaign due to ongoing muscle problems.
Augsburg
❌ The biggest blow is the absence of Kristijan Jakić, who misses out through suspension after accumulating too many yellow cards. Dimitrios Giannoulis is a doubt as he continues to struggle with fitness issues picked up in the previous round. Meanwhile, Mads Pedersen remains sidelined and has been out of both training and match action for an extended period.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Patrick Ittrich has been appointed as the match referee. In his previous game, he handed out three bookings, and his average over the last 10 fixtures stands at 3.3 cards per match. Both sides rank among the most physical teams in the league: Augsburg lead the Bundesliga in yellow cards (79), while Union are also in the top three (67). On average, Augsburg collect two bookings per game, with Union slightly higher at 2.4. Considering Augsburg’s motivation in the table and the combative style of both teams, a hard-fought contest looks likely. The pick: over 3.5 yellow cards.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Union have little left to play for and are simply looking to finish strong in front of their home fans. Augsburg, on the other hand, are still chasing a European spot and have much more at stake. Given the recent form of both clubs, the main bet is both teams to score (yes) at 1.48*. This has landed in each of Union’s last six matches and in seven consecutive Augsburg games.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Despite trailing in the standings, Union average more corners per match than Augsburg-5 to 4.5. Neither side are known for their attacking flair or possession stats: Union sit bottom of the league with just 41% possession, while Augsburg aren’t much better at 44%. A tight, cagey affair is expected, with few set-piece opportunities. The call: under 11.5 corners, a trend that has hit in 13 straight Bundesliga head-to-heads between these teams. Odds stand at 1.4*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
Union are playing at home and should approach this match with more freedom, free from the pressure that has weighed on them previously. Since Marie-Louise Eta took charge, Union have looked sharper in attack and more clinical up front. Augsburg, meanwhile, are highly motivated with European qualification still within reach, and they are unbeaten in their last six Bundesliga outings (three wins, three draws).
Both sides are among the league’s most physical teams but neither control possession for long spells, so this one is likely to be a scrappy contest with few clear-cut chances. Our editorial prediction is under 3.5 goals-a bet that has landed in nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these clubs. However, given Augsburg’s motivation, an away win is certainly on the cards-2-1 to the visitors.
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Betting Tips: Union - Augsburg
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