Palmeiras vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction 1 October 2025
🔊 In Brazil's Serie A, an intriguing matchup awaits as Palmeiras host Vasco da Gama at the "Allianz Parque." Despite a setback in their last outing, the hosts remain in the title race and will be eager to get back on the winning track. The visitors, sitting mid-table, aim to snatch points on the road and challenge the favorites. A tense match is anticipated, with Palmeiras expected to dominate possession and control the game.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 04 May 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Vasco da Gama as the home side):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 11;
- fouls: 11 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama:
- 35 matches played;
- home wins - 18, away wins - 6, draws - 11;
- goals scored - 58 to 36;
- average first-half total - 1.31, second-half - 1.37;
- average total goals per match - 2.69.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Palmeiras Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in Serie A, round 25, with Bahia hosting Palmeiras. The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Palmeiras vs Bahia):
- possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 18 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
🟢 In the 25th round of Brazil's Serie A, Palmeiras suffered a 0-1 defeat to Bahia. This marked not only their first loss in the league since returning from the Club World Cup but also their first defeat in their last 11 matches across all competitions. Ademir scored the only goal of the match, and despite dropping points, the team continues to display consistent form.
⚪ Palmeiras sit third in Serie A after playing 23 matches, two fewer than second-placed Cruzeiro and one fewer than league leaders Flamengo. The "Green and Whites" have accumulated 49 points, trailing Flamengo by 5 points and Cruzeiro by one. However, with games in hand, they maintain a strong chance in the title race. The loss to Bahia is seen as a minor setback, likely to fuel their motivation in upcoming rounds.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, Round 26, with Vasco da Gama hosting Cruzeiro. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
⚫ In the latest round of the Brazilian championship, Vasco da Gama secured a commanding 2-0 victory over Cruzeiro, extending their unbeaten streak across all competitions to seven matches. Beyond the goals from Rayan and Paulo Henrique, Fernando Diniz's side impressed with solid defense and organized attacking play. This win helped Vasco climb in the standings, though they remain in the lower half, occupying 12th place with 30 points from 25 matches.
⚪ Despite their current position, Vasco are showing positive momentum, and if they maintain this form, they could aim for a higher spot in the table. It's crucial for them to sustain consistency and gather points in upcoming matches to strengthen their standing in the league.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 35;
- First-half wins for the home team - 6; for the away team - 4; draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.31;
- Today's home side averages 0.77 goals, while the visitors score 0.54.
First-Half Statistics: Palmeiras (home) vs Vasco da Gama (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- Wins: 4 (33.33%) vs 5 (41.67%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (25%);
- Draws: 8 (66.67%) vs 4 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.42;
- Average goals conceded: 0.17 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 1 vs 2;
- Draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.8 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.9).
- Vasco da Gama have conceded in the first half in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Vasco da Gama have conceded in the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- Home team wins - 18, Away team wins - 6, Draws - 11.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama
- Matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 25;
- Wins: 15 vs 8;
- Win percentage: 65% vs 32%;
- Losses: 4 vs 11;
- Draws: 4 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 5;
- Losses: 1 vs 2;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
- Vasco da Gama win with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of their last 17 matches.
- Vasco da Gama win with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of their last 12 Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 1.66, away team - 1.03;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.69;
- Both teams scored: overall - 17 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama
- Average tournament total: 2.39 vs 2.92;
- Average goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.52;
- Average first-half total: 0.65 vs 0.64;
- Average second-half total: 0.91 vs 0.88;
- Palmeiras: average home total in the tournament - 1.75;
- Vasco da Gama: average away total in the tournament - 1.58;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 2.8) vs 2.1 (away - 2.2).
- Vasco da Gama score in 12 of their last 13 matches.
- Vasco da Gama score in 11 of their last 12 Serie A matches.
- Vasco da Gama score away in 8 of their last 9 Serie A matches.
Corner Prediction
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.91; at home - 5.58;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.5; at home - 6.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.48, away - 4.25;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.7; away - 4.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 2.4 (1.2 for the home team and 1.2 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 2.23 (0.88 for the home team and 1.35 for the visitors).
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.17; at home - 2.08;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; at home - 1.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.2, away - 2.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; away - 2.2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- Both teams scored overall - 17 times;
- At the home team's ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama
- Total matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 25;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 15;
- Palmeiras BTTS at home - 5 (42%);
- Vasco da Gama BTTS away - 8 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- Palmeiras BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Vasco da Gama BTTS away - 3 (60%).
- Vasco da Gama both score and concede in 7 of their last 8 matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The hosts, despite a recent setback, remain a strong and organized team capable of dominating on their home turf. The visitors come into this match in excellent form, riding a seven-game unbeaten streak across all competitions, which adds to their confidence and discipline. However, the level and experience of the "green-and-whites" make the hosts the favorites. Let's not forget that Palmeiras have not lost to Vasco since 2015. In their last four encounters, Ferreira's side not only won but also kept clean sheets. Nevertheless, considering Dinis's squad's current form, our prediction is: Vasco da Gama to win with a +1.5 handicap, a result seen in 16 of the club's last 17 games across all competitions. A possible scoreline could be 2-1.
Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama
in last 6 home games (Serie A).
in last 7 games.in 11 of last 12 games (Serie A).in 10 of last 11 games.in 9 of last 10 home games.in last 7 home games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 Palmeiras home games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 Palmeiras games.in 24 of last 25 Vasco da Gama games.in last 18 Vasco da Gama games (Serie A).in 9 of last 10 Vasco da Gama away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
