Palmeiras vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔊 Palmeiras head into the Copa do Brasil on the back of a confident unbeaten run and a clear edge in the quality of their play in recent matches. Vasco Da Gama have been inconsistent, alternating wins and defeats, which shows both in their last five matches and over the last ten. The hosts stand out for their solidity of results and strong efficiency at both ends of the pitch.
Home advantage
Palmeiras and Vasco Da Gama last met 23 August 2026 in the Série A: after a goalless first half, Palmeiras won 4-1 at home. Despite the shot count being almost level at 13-12, the scoreline ended up being a heavy one.
Across 38 official meetings, Palmeiras have won 20 times, Vasco Da Gama seven, with 11 draws. At Palmeiras's ground, the home advantage is particularly pronounced: 12 wins from 19 matches, with just one defeat.
Head-to-head statistics Palmeiras - Vasco Da Gama
Team keeping their level
Palmeiras drew 0-0 away at Santos 28 October 2026 in the Série A. In that match both sides had five shots on target, though Palmeiras led on expected goals - 1.68 against 1.33.
Palmeiras have been close to their best over their last five matches, winning four and drawing one. Over their last ten games they are unbeaten, with eight wins and two draws - one of the best runs among sides at this level. Defensively they have been well organised, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per game over that ten-match period, while averaging 1.5 goals scored. At home they have been consistently strong, winning seven of their last eight home matches.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Team Looking for Balance
Vasco Da Gama's last Serie A home match, against Flamengo 29 October 2026, ended in a 1-4 defeat. Vasco Da Gama had more possession and more shots - 15 to 14 - but only two of those were on target, compared to six from their opponents.
Vasco Da Gama have been less consistent: three defeats and four wins from their last ten matches point to a lack of stability. In their last five games they have lost twice, won twice and drawn once. Their average of 1.7 goals scored per game is slightly higher than you might expect from a side with such variable results, but their defensive reliability is lower, with 1.2 goals conceded per match over the same period.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Prediction for the 1st half
Palmeiras have scored in the first half in six of their last seven home matches. That is a direct argument for backing them to score before the break, though there are no other first-half specific statistics in the data. The pick is Palmeiras Team Total 1st Half - Over 0.5 at 1.90*.
Match Result Prediction
Palmeiras have won 7 of their last 8 home matches. This season they have won all 3 of their home games, and over their last 10 home matches they have averaged 1.8 goals scored. However, Vasco Da Gama have also won all 3 of their away matches this season, which makes the outcome less certain. The pick is Palmeiras to win at odds of 1.78*.
Corners Prediction
Total Corners - Over 9.5 has landed in 6 of Palmeiras' last 7 home matches. The team have also had more than 4.5 corners in 11 of their last 12 home games, though that figure alone does not guarantee the overall total. On the other side, Vasco Da Gama's last 5 matches have all featured fewer than 10.5 corners; both trends could align at exactly 10 corners, but the away side's sample leaves some risk. The pick is Total Corners - Over 9.5 at 1.67*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.9%), 1-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The highest probability among these belongs to 1-1. The 1-0 option trails it by 0.38 percentage points. A 2-1 result comes third.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given Palmeiras's solid home run and the recent trend of 7 wins in their last 8 home matches against visitors in less reliable form, the advantage clearly lies with the hosts. Palmeiras's form is backed by strong statistics both in front of goal and at the back, while Vasco Da Gama have not shown the consistency needed to compete with such an opponent away from home, despite a few positive results recently. The main prediction is a Palmeiras win.
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Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama
in 7 of last 8 home games.
in 10 of last 11 home games.in 7 of last 8 games.in 6 of last 7 Palmeiras home games.in last 5 Palmeiras games.in last 7 Vasco da Gama away games.in 8 of last 9 home games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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