Gwangju vs Incheon Prediction 23 August 2026
🔊 Gwangju are bottom of the table and have shown no consistency even at this late stage of the season. With nothing meaningful to play for, that lack of motivation is showing in their performances. Incheon, by contrast, are just outside the championship group and still have plenty to play for - they need points to close the gap to one of the key positions. The contrast in stakes is clear: the hosts' season is effectively over, while the visitors are still fighting for a meaningful finish.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across all official meetings between Gwangju and Incheon, the two sides have met 35 times. The hosts have won 9, the visitors 11, with 15 draws. The overall goal tally stands at 43 for one side against 42 for the other. On average, matches produce 1.03 goals in the first half and 1.4 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.43 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Gwangju - Incheon
Gwangju Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Korean FA Cup, with Ulsan Citizen as the home side and Gwangju as the visitors. The match ended 0-1.
Match statistics (Gwangju vs Ulsan Citizen):
- Possession: 73% vs 27%;
- Corner kicks: 1 vs 0;
- Fouls: 13 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Gwangju have had a poor season - one win from 23 matches, with fourteen defeats. They are averaging just 0.52 goals per game, which points to persistent attacking problems. Their last five matches brought two wins, two losses and a draw, but those isolated results do not change the broader picture of inconsistency. Over their last ten matches, they have been conceding at an average of 1.2 goals per game, nearly twice their scoring rate. With nothing left to play for, Gwangju look unlikely to turn things around.
Match Results: Gwangju
Incheon Team Overview
The visitors' most recent competitive match took place on in the K League, with Incheon as the home side and Sanju as the away side. The match ended 1-1.
Match statistics (Incheon vs Sanju):
- Possession: 49% vs 51%;
- Corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
- Fouls: 9 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Incheon have been reasonably well organised this season - eight wins and six draws from 22 matches confirm they can hold their own against sides in the lower half of the table. Over their last five games they have won once, drawn three times and lost once, which points to a decent level of resilience even away from home. Across their last ten matches the record reads three wins, four draws and four defeats; their attack is above the league average at 1.32 goals per game, and their defence has been solid at 1.14 conceded. The incentive of reaching the championship group gives them extra motivation for this trip.
Match Results: Incheon
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.23, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.43;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Gwangju vs Incheon
- average total in the tournament: 2.65 vs 2.45;
- average total goals scored: 0.52 vs 1.32;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.17 vs 0.73;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.35 vs 0.59;
- Gwangju: average total at home in the tournament - 0.75;
- Incheon : average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.83) vs 1.2 (away - 1.67).
- Gwangju have conceded in last 9 games against Incheon (K-League).
- Gwangju have conceded in 9 of last 10 games (K-League).
Prediction on corners
Gwangju: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.39; at home field - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 4.33.
Incheon : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.36, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 3.33.
- Incheon have taken under 5.5 corners in last 9 away games against Gwangju (K-League).
- Incheon have taken under 5.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games (K-League).
- Incheon have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games (K-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Gwangju vs Incheon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 23 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Gwangju at home - 6 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Incheon away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Gwangju at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Incheon away - 2 (67%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (24/137, 17.5%);
- Gwangju at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:2 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Incheon away most often play: 1:2 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 12.13% (odds 5.5)
1:1 - 12.07% (odds 6.5)
0:2 - 9.87% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The gap between these two sides is clear both in form and in what's at stake: Incheon are fighting for a top-six finish, while Gwangju are seeing out the season with little pressure on results. The hosts have the weakest attack in the division, and their low scoring rate is backed up by recent numbers both at home and away. Incheon show better organisation across the pitch, and their motivation is at its highest. Weighing up current form and the league situation, the editors' main pick is an Incheon win.
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Betting Tips: Gwangju - Incheon
in 8 of last 9 games against Incheon (K-League).in last 21 games (K-League).in last 11 home games (K-League).in 8 of last 9 away games (K-League).
in 11 of last 12 Gwangju games against Incheon.in 10 of last 11 Gwangju games against Incheon (K-League).in last 6 Gwangju home games against Incheon (K-League).in 8 of last 9 Gwangju games (K-League).in last 5 Gwangju home games (K-League).in last 9 games against Incheon (K-League).in 9 of last 10 games (K-League).in 8 of last 9 games against Incheon (K-League).in last 4 home games against Incheon (K-League).in 5 of last 6 home games (K-League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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