Incheon vs Gwangju Prediction 16 May 2026
🔊 Incheon head into the match sitting sixth in the table, showing far stronger momentum than Gwangju. The hosts have picked up five wins from their last ten matches, while their opponents are rooted to the bottom and have suffered defeat nine times over the same stretch. The gulf in attacking output is also striking: Incheon have scored nearly three times as many goals as the visitors. Given this stark contrast in form, both sides approach the game with different motivations-Incheon are aiming to solidify their position in the upper half, while Gwangju are fighting for survival.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 3:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Gwangju):
- ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Incheon and Gwangju:
- played 34 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 9, draws - 15;
- number of goals - 38 against 43;
- average total in the 1st half - 1, in the 2nd half - 1.38;
- average total goals in the match - 2.38.
Head-to-head statistics Incheon - Gwangju
Incheon Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the K-League tournament (home team - Incheon , away team - Pohang). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Incheon vs Pohang):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
Incheon are showing impressive consistency, having won three of their last five matches while conceding less than a goal per game during this stretch. Over their previous ten outings, the club have struck a solid balance between attack and defence, averaging 1.2 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match.
This reliability has kept them within touching distance of the league's top sides, even if some results have been uneven. Their current form suggests they can at least secure a positive result at home against the clear underdogs. Supporters are hopeful that their team will get the job done and claim all three points.
Match Results: Incheon
Gwangju Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the K-League tournament (home team - Gwangju, away - Seoul). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Gwangju vs Seoul):
- ball possession: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 9;
- fouls: 7 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 1.
Gwangju are enduring a tough spell-winless in their last five outings, with a three-game losing streak compounding their woes. Over the past ten rounds, the club have suffered nine defeats, managing to score just 0.3 goals per match while conceding an average of three. These numbers highlight not only a lack of attacking creativity but also significant defensive frailties.
Across the season, Gwangju have managed just one win, alongside four draws and nine losses, leaving them rooted to the foot of the table. In their current form, even a narrow success against a top-half opponent appears highly unlikely. Clearly, the club were ill-prepared for the campaign, failing to strengthen their squad effectively, and now look set for a long battle against relegation.
Match Results: Gwangju
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 34;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.41, while the visitors net 0.59.
First-Half Stats: Incheon (home) vs Gwangju (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 1 (14.29%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 3 (42.86%) vs 5 (71.43%);
- draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.14;
- Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 0;
- losses: 3 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 1.2).
- Gwangju conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (K-League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 9, draws - 15.
Statistics: Incheon vs Gwangju
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 5 vs 1;
- win percentage: 36% vs 7%;
- losses: 6 vs 9;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 0;
- losses: 3 vs 9;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Gwangju won with a +1.5 handicap in 16 of last 17 away games against Incheon.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.12, the guests - 1.26;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.38;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Incheon vs Gwangju
- average total in the tournament: 2.43 vs 2.86;
- average total goals scored: 1.21 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.14;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.36;
- Incheon : average total at home in the tournament - 0.86;
- Gwangju: average total away in the tournament - 0.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 0.8) vs 0.3 (away - 0.2).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 13 of last 14 Incheon home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Incheon games (K-League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Incheon home games (K-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Incheon vs Gwangju
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Incheon at home - 4 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Gwangju away - 2 (29%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Incheon at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Gwangju away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/84, 19%);
- Incheon at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:2 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Gwangju away most often play: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 3:0 , 4:0 , 5:0 , 5:1 (1/7, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.41% (odds 5.06)
2:0 - 11.75% (odds 5.43)
1:1 - 10.04% (odds 6.55)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The K League trend highlights Gwangju’s struggles, with nine defeats in their last ten matches-an alarming sign of the team’s ongoing crisis, especially away from home, and a general downturn this season. When you weigh that against Icheon’s solid home form and superior attacking stats, it’s clear the visitors lack the resources to mount a serious challenge against such a well-organized side. We expect the underdogs to struggle once again to trouble the hosts’ defense, and if there are any goals in this fixture, they’re likely to come from the home side. Our pick: Both teams to score (No).No comments
Betting Tips: Incheon - Gwangju
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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