Tot. score:
4:1
Atletico Nacional Medellin
3
:
1
Ended
Tolima
1st meeting
Tolima
0:1
Atletico Nacional Medellin

Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction 23 May 2026

    🔊 Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima are set to battle for a spot in the Apertura final in their upcoming clash. It's worth noting that the regular season champions took the upper hand in the first leg-and now they'll look to protect that advantage in front of their home fans. With so much at stake, this encounter promises plenty of intrigue and drama.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tolima):

    • ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
    • fouls: 10 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Atletico Nacional Medellin and Tolima:

    • played 53 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 24, draws - 11;
    • number of goals - 63 against 74;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.13, in the 2nd half - 1.45;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.58.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    35%
    19 Wins
    20%
    11 Draws
    44%
    24 Wins
    Total games
    54
    Total Goals Avg
    2.61
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.39
    1.93
    Yellow cards
    1.94
    Last matches
    23.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    16.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    02.03.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    13
    9
    2
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    13
    9
    2
    4
    02.08.25
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    2
    1.11
    0.1
    4
    1
    20
    4
    6
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.11
    0.1
    4
    1
    20
    4
    6
    6
    20.03.25
    Primera A
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    CD Tolima
    CD Tolima
    1.55
    1.38
    5
    4
    11
    10
    2
    2
    4
    3
    4
    2
    0
    1
    1.55
    1.38
    5
    4
    11
    10
    2
    2
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    Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview

    Their most recent official fixture took place on in the Primera A, with Deportes Tolima hosting Atlético Nacional. The visitors edged a 1-0 victory.

    Here’s a look at the key match statistics (Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima):

    • Possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • Corners: 2 vs 8;
    • Fouls: 16 vs 10;
    • Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    Atlético Nacional boast a clear home advantage, having won 10 of their last 11 matches on their own turf. They are particularly prolific in front of goal at home, consistently scoring over 1.5 goals per game in line with recent trends. Their season average stands at 2.05 goals scored per match, backed by a solid defensive record-just 0.77 goals conceded per game, a figure supported by their last ten outings where they've allowed only 0.8 on average.

    Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Last matches
    08.06.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    1
    -
    -
    13
    5
    6
    9
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    5
    6
    9
    3
    4
    W
    03.06.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    13
    3
    5
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    13
    3
    5
    L
    23.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    W
    16.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    W
    12.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Internacional de Bogota
    Internacional de Bogota
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    3
    0
    1
    7
    1
    2
    1
    5
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    3
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Tolima Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Libertadores, facing Coquimbo Unido away from home, with Deportes Tolima as the guests. The game ended in a 3-0 victory.

    Here’s a look at the key stats from the match (Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido):

    • Possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • Corners: 9 vs 3;
    • Fouls committed: 8 vs 14;
    • Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • Shots on target: 2 vs 10.

    Deportes Tolima, after stringing together three consecutive wins, have suffered two defeats in their last five outings, falling short of the consistency shown by the tournament favorites. Over their previous ten matches, the visitors have picked up five victories, with four losses and one draw. Their scoring rate has been modest-averaging just 1.3 goals per game while conceding nearly one (1) per match. These figures are in line with their season-long performance.

    Match Results: Tolima

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Universitario de Deportes
    Universitario de Deportes
    Tolima
    Tolima
    0.68
    0.24
    9
    3
    13
    19
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.68
    0.24
    9
    3
    13
    19
    0
    2
    D
    23.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    L
    19.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Coquimbo Unido
    Coquimbo Unido
    Tolima
    Tolima
    2.36
    0.52
    3
    9
    14
    8
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.36
    0.52
    3
    9
    14
    8
    3
    1
    L
    16.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    L
    13.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Pasto
    Pasto
    1
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    9
    2
    8
    10
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    8
    10
    0
    2
    W
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head meetings:

    • Games played - 53;
    • Home side wins - 18, away wins - 24, draws - 11.

    Stats: Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima

    • Matches in the competition: 19 vs 19;
    • Wins: 16 vs 10;
    • Win percentage: 73% vs 45%;
    • Losses: 5 vs 5;
    • Draws: 1 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • Wins: 7 vs 5;
    • Losses: 2 vs 4;
    • Draws: 1 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Atlético Nacional have claimed victory in 10 of their last 11 home games (Primera A).
    👉Prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin Win (odds: 1.62)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head average total goals:

    • Home side - 1.19, away side - 1.4;
    • Overall in head-to-head - 2.58;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - 26 times; at the home ground - 15 times.

    Average total stats: Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima

    • In this competition: 2.82 vs 2.18;
    • Goals scored: 2.05 vs 1.36;
    • First half: 0.68 vs 0.68;
    • Second half: 1.36 vs 0.68;
    • Atlético Nacional at home in the competition - 2.9;
    • Deportes Tolima away in the competition - 1;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.9 (home - 2.75) vs 1.3 (away - 0.75).
    Trends
    • Atlético Nacional have scored over 1.5 goals at home in 10 of their last 11 matches (Primera A).
    👉Prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.8)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head meetings:

    • Games played - 53;
    • Both teams found the net all-time - 26 times;
    • At the home ground - 15 times.

    Stats: Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima

    • Matches played in this competition: 19 vs 19;
    • BTTS matches this season: 9 vs 9;
    • Atlético Nacional BTTS at home - 4 (40%);
    • Deportes Tolima BTTS away - 4 (40%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • BTTS matches: 5 vs 2;
    • Atlético Nacional BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
    • Deportes Tolima BTTS away - 1 (25%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.87)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Atlético Nacional combine dominant home form with clinical finishing and a disciplined defense. Deportes Tolima, on the other hand, have struggled to find their attacking rhythm in the second half of the season, particularly on the road; their away fixtures are marked by a lack of goals and a trend toward low-scoring affairs in the Apertura playoffs. Against this backdrop, backing Atlético Nacional to score over 1.5 goals appears to be the most reasonable bet for this matchup.

    Our choice
    Atletico Nacional Medellin Total goals Over (1,5) at odds of -125*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 May 2026, 12:02)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Nacional Medellin - Tolima

    Atletico Nacional Medellin have won:
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 10 of last 11 home games (Liga Aguila).
    Atletico Nacional Medellin Win
    Everygame
    -125
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have won the 2nd half:
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 9 of last 10 home games (Liga Aguila).
    2nd Half Atletico Nacional Medellin Win
    Everygame
    +115
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have not lost:
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 20 of last 21 home games.
    atletico-nacional-medellinin last 17 home games (Liga Aguila).
    Tolima have not won:
    deportes-tolimain 8 of last 9 away games (Liga Aguila).
    Atletico Nacional Medellin will not lose
    Everygame
    -476
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have scored:
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 16 of last 17 home games (Liga Aguila).
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 10 of last 11 home games.
    Tolima have conceded:
    deportes-tolimain 8 of last 9 away games.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin will score goal
    Everygame
    -625
    View more facts

    Atletico Nacional - Deportes Tolima Table position

    Primera A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    19131535-1540
    2.
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    19112631-2435
    3.
    Pasto
    Pasto
    19104529-2534
    5.
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    1989231-2233
    6.
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1987427-1731
    7.
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1978429-2229

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 10
    +9
    +1
    11 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    4
    0
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    11
    10
    Conceded
    10
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    4
    Both teams scored
    2
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats