Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction 23 May 2026
🔊 Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima are set to battle for a spot in the Apertura final in their upcoming clash. It's worth noting that the regular season champions took the upper hand in the first leg-and now they'll look to protect that advantage in front of their home fans. With so much at stake, this encounter promises plenty of intrigue and drama.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tolima):
- ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Atletico Nacional Medellin and Tolima:
- played 53 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 24, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 63 against 74;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.13, in the 2nd half - 1.45;
- average total goals in the match - 2.58.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in the Primera A, with Deportes Tolima hosting Atlético Nacional. The visitors edged a 1-0 victory.
Here’s a look at the key match statistics (Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 2 vs 8;
- Fouls: 16 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 5.
Atlético Nacional boast a clear home advantage, having won 10 of their last 11 matches on their own turf. They are particularly prolific in front of goal at home, consistently scoring over 1.5 goals per game in line with recent trends. Their season average stands at 2.05 goals scored per match, backed by a solid defensive record-just 0.77 goals conceded per game, a figure supported by their last ten outings where they've allowed only 0.8 on average.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin

Tolima Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Libertadores, facing Coquimbo Unido away from home, with Deportes Tolima as the guests. The game ended in a 3-0 victory.
Here’s a look at the key stats from the match (Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo Unido):
- Possession: 67% vs 33%;
- Corners: 9 vs 3;
- Fouls committed: 8 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 10.
Deportes Tolima, after stringing together three consecutive wins, have suffered two defeats in their last five outings, falling short of the consistency shown by the tournament favorites. Over their previous ten matches, the visitors have picked up five victories, with four losses and one draw. Their scoring rate has been modest-averaging just 1.3 goals per game while conceding nearly one (1) per match. These figures are in line with their season-long performance.
Match Results: Tolima
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Games played - 53;
- Home side wins - 18, away wins - 24, draws - 11.
Stats: Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
- Matches in the competition: 19 vs 19;
- Wins: 16 vs 10;
- Win percentage: 73% vs 45%;
- Losses: 5 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 7 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
- Atlético Nacional have claimed victory in 10 of their last 11 home games (Primera A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head average total goals:
- Home side - 1.19, away side - 1.4;
- Overall in head-to-head - 2.58;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 26 times; at the home ground - 15 times.
Average total stats: Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
- In this competition: 2.82 vs 2.18;
- Goals scored: 2.05 vs 1.36;
- First half: 0.68 vs 0.68;
- Second half: 1.36 vs 0.68;
- Atlético Nacional at home in the competition - 2.9;
- Deportes Tolima away in the competition - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 1.9 (home - 2.75) vs 1.3 (away - 0.75).
- Atlético Nacional have scored over 1.5 goals at home in 10 of their last 11 matches (Primera A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head meetings:
- Games played - 53;
- Both teams found the net all-time - 26 times;
- At the home ground - 15 times.
Stats: Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima
- Matches played in this competition: 19 vs 19;
- BTTS matches this season: 9 vs 9;
- Atlético Nacional BTTS at home - 4 (40%);
- Deportes Tolima BTTS away - 4 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 5 vs 2;
- Atlético Nacional BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Deportes Tolima BTTS away - 1 (25%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Atlético Nacional combine dominant home form with clinical finishing and a disciplined defense. Deportes Tolima, on the other hand, have struggled to find their attacking rhythm in the second half of the season, particularly on the road; their away fixtures are marked by a lack of goals and a trend toward low-scoring affairs in the Apertura playoffs. Against this backdrop, backing Atlético Nacional to score over 1.5 goals appears to be the most reasonable bet for this matchup.