Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Deportes Tolima and Atlético Nacional promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams are in impressive form: Tolima, despite inconsistent results in their last five matches, maintain a strong position thanks to their solid defense. Meanwhile, Atlético Nacional display consistent attacking prowess, regularly netting two or more goals per game. 

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 02 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tolima):

    • ball possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
    • fouls: 20 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 6 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 0.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Tolima and Atletico Nacional Medellin:

    • played 51 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 23, for the away team - 17, draws - 11;
    • number of goals - 73 against 62;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.18, in the 2nd half - 1.47;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.65.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    44%
    24 Wins
    20%
    11 Draws
    35%
    19 Wins
    Total games
    54
    Total Goals Avg
    2.61
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.39
    Total average
    1.22
    1.94
    Yellow cards
    1.93
    Last matches
    23.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    16.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    02.03.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    13
    9
    2
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    13
    9
    2
    4
    02.08.25
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    2
    1.11
    0.1
    4
    1
    20
    4
    6
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.11
    0.1
    4
    1
    20
    4
    6
    6
    20.03.25
    Primera A
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    CD Tolima
    CD Tolima
    1.55
    1.38
    5
    4
    11
    10
    2
    2
    4
    3
    4
    2
    0
    1
    1.55
    1.38
    5
    4
    11
    10
    2
    2
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    Tolima Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, featuring Deportes Tolima at home against Deportivo Táchira. The game ended with a 0-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Táchira):

    • possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corners: 3 vs 3;
    • fouls: 12 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 1.

    Deportes Tolima sit in 7th place in the standings. The team concedes just 0.88 goals per game on average, highlighting their discipline on the field. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins, one draw, and suffered just one defeat, indicating a solid run of form. The squad excels at controlling the tempo of the game and often poses challenges for opponents who favor an attacking style. 

    Match Results: Tolima

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Universitario de Deportes
    Universitario de Deportes
    Tolima
    Tolima
    0.68
    0.24
    9
    3
    13
    19
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.68
    0.24
    9
    3
    13
    19
    0
    2
    D
    23.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    L
    19.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Coquimbo Unido
    Coquimbo Unido
    Tolima
    Tolima
    2.36
    0.52
    3
    9
    14
    8
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.36
    0.52
    3
    9
    14
    8
    3
    1
    L
    16.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    L
    13.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Pasto
    Pasto
    1
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    9
    2
    8
    10
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    8
    10
    0
    2
    W
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    Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Primera A, with Santa Fe hosting Atlético Nacional. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe):

    • possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 11 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    Atlético Nacional sit in 4th place, propelled by a potent attacking force, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Over their last ten matches, they have secured seven victories, suffered just two defeats, and recorded one draw. Their current form is impressive, with four consecutive wins in their last five games highlighting the team's confidence at this stage of the season. 

    Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Last matches
    08.06.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    1
    -
    -
    13
    5
    6
    9
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    5
    6
    9
    3
    4
    W
    03.06.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    13
    3
    5
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    13
    3
    5
    L
    23.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    15
    9
    2
    1
    W
    16.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    10
    16
    2
    1
    W
    12.05.26
    Liga Aguila
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Internacional de Bogota
    Internacional de Bogota
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    3
    0
    1
    7
    1
    2
    1
    5
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    13
    3
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 51;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 12; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 10;
    • Average first-half total: 1.18;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 0.51.

    First-Half Stats: Tolima (home) vs Atletico Nacional Medellin (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 2;
    • wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
    • draws: 3 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
    • Average goals scored: 0 vs 0.5;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 5;
    • losses: 0 vs 2;
    • draws: 7 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Tolima have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 2.04)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 51;
    • Home wins - 23, Away wins - 17, Draws - 11.

    Statistics: Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional

    • Matches in the tournament: 8 vs 6;
    • Wins: 3 vs 5;
    • Winning percentage: 38% vs 83%;
    • Losses: 2 vs 1;
    • Draws: 3 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 5 vs 7;
    • Losses: 2 vs 2;
    • Draws: 3 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Atlético Nacional have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 8 matches.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin will not lose (odds: 1.41)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):

    • Home team - 1.43, Away team - 1.22;
    • Overall head-to-head - 2.65;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - 26 times; at home team's ground - 11 times.

    Average Total Statistics: Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional

    • In the tournament: 2.13 vs 3.17;
    • Goals scored: 1.25 vs 2.5;
    • First half: 0.75 vs 0.83;
    • Second half: 0.5 vs 1.67;
    • Deportes Tolima: at home in the tournament - 1.33;
    • Atlético Nacional: away in the tournament - 1;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.1 (home - 1) vs 2 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Total over 2.5 goals occurred in 8 of Atlético Nacional's last 9 matches (Primera A).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5) (odds: 1.91)

    Corners Prediction

    Deportes Tolima: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 5.25; at home - 6;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; at home - 5.25.

    Atlético Nacional: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.83, away - 7;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.1; away - 4.5.
    Trends
    • Total over 7.5 corners occurred in Deportes Tolima's last 20 matches (Primera A).
    • Total over 7.5 corners occurred in Deportes Tolima's last 10 home matches (Primera A).
    • Total over 7.5 corners occurred in Atlético Nacional's last 8 of their last 9 away matches.
    • Total over 7.5 corners occurred in Atlético Nacional's last 7 consecutive away matches (Primera A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (7.5) (odds: 1.38)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total - 3.92 (1.96 for the home team and 1.96 for the visitors);
    • Average total at home ground - 3.85 (1.81 for the home team and 2.04 for the visitors).

    Deportes Tolima: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2; at home - 2;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2; at home - 2.

    Atlético Nacional: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 3.17, away - 3.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.1; away - 2.75.
    Trends
    • Total under 6.5 yellow cards occurred in Deportes Tolima's last 12 of their last 13 matches.
    • Total under 6.5 yellow cards occurred in Deportes Tolima's last 10 of their last 11 matches (Primera A).
    • Total under 6.5 yellow cards occurred in Deportes Tolima's last 6 consecutive home matches.
    • Total under 6.5 yellow cards occurred in Deportes Tolima's last 5 consecutive home matches (Primera A).
    • Total under 6.5 yellow cards occurred in Atlético Nacional's last 6 of their last 7 matches.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6.5) (odds: 1.58)

    Exact Score Prediction

    Frequent Results Statistics (Current Season):

    • The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (14/79, 17.7%);
    • Deportes Tolima most frequently ends home matches with scores of: 0-1, 2-0, or 2-1 (1/3, 33.3%);
    • Atlético Nacional most frequently plays away games with scores of: 1-0 or 1-2 (1/2, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:

    1-1 - 13.29% (odds of 5.8)
    0-1 - 11.9% (odds of 6.85)
    1-0 - 10.27% (odds of 7.6)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 5.8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering current trends, the most likely outcome is over 2.5 goals in this match-this result has occurred in eight of the last nine games involving Atletico Nacional. This aligns with the high average scoring of both teams: the visitors consistently display attacking aggression, while the hosts can capitalize on counterattacks or set-pieces to find the back of the net.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of +113*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 March 2026, 03:48)

    Betting Tips: Tolima - Atletico Nacional Medellin

    Atletico Nacional Medellin have won
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 6 of last 7 games.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin Win
    Everygame
    +155
    Tolima have drawn in the 1st half
    deportes-tolimain 6 of last 7 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Everygame
    +115
    Atletico Nacional Medellin have not lost
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 7 of last 8 games.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin will not lose
    Everygame
    -208
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    deportes-tolimain 15 of last 17 Tolima games (Liga Aguila).
    deportes-tolimain last 8 Tolima home games.
    deportes-tolimain last 7 Tolima home games (Liga Aguila).
    deportes-tolimain 6 of last 7 Tolima games.
    atletico-nacional-medellinin 6 of last 7 Atletico Nacional Medellin away games (Liga Aguila).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Deportes Tolima - Atletico Nacional Table position

    Primera A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    19131535-1540
    2.
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    19112631-2435
    3.
    Pasto
    Pasto
    19104529-2534
    5.
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    1989231-2233
    6.
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1987427-1731
    7.
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1978429-2229

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 10
    +1
    +9
    19 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    7
    2
    Draws
    0
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    19
    10
    Conceded
    10
    2.1
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    2
    Both teams scored
    4
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats