Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 8 October 2026
📢 Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima are both in the top eight and continuing to push for higher positions in the table. The hosts sit fourth, while the visitors are eighth and cannot yet feel comfortable in the play-off places. Atlético Nacional have been particularly strong at home, where they have consistently produced positive results over a lengthy period.
Head-to-Head
📊 There have been 54 official meetings between Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima. The hosts have won 19, the visitors 24, with 11 draws. In total, the teams have scored 66 and 75 goals respectively. On average, matches produce 1.11 goals in the first half and 1.5 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.61 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico Nacional - Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview
Atlético Nacional have played just ten matches and already have 22 points, sitting fourth in the table. Across their last ten matches, they have won seven and lost just two. Their goal statistics are particularly impressive: they average 2.1 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per game. Another significant advantage is their home record, where they have won nine of their last ten matches.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin
Tolima Team Overview
Deportes Tolima have played 12 matches and collected 19 points, sitting eighth, which means they trail their opponents by a considerable margin in terms of points dropped. Their current form also leaves a lot to be desired: they have gone five matches without a win, drawing three and losing two. Over a longer run the picture is similar - just two wins from ten matches, with four draws and four defeats. During that period they have averaged only 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.1.
Match Results: Tolima
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of their last 9 matches involving Deportes Tolima, the total has gone under 3.5 goals, and the visitors' modest attacking output backs this up: they average 1.06 goals per away match this season. Both sides also concede sparingly - Atlético Nacional at home give up 0.47 per game, while Deportes Tolima away concede 1.19. All of this points towards a low-scoring match, and the bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.37* looks reliable.
Corners Prediction
Atlético Nacional consistently win a high number of corners: in 6 of their last 7 matches the team have gone over 5.5 corners. That consistent trend supports the bet on Atlético Nacional Team Total Corners - Over 5.5 at odds of 1.72*.
Reliable Bet
Atlético Nacional have gone unbeaten in 22 of their last 23 home matches. This season at home they have not lost once, winning 13 and drawing 2. Those numbers make the Double Chance - 1X at 1.17* a very reliable bet.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely outcomes are 1-0 (15.8%), 2-0 (10.38%) and 1-1 (10.12%). Of these, a narrow 1-0 win for Atlético Nacional has the highest probability. The probabilities are spread fairly evenly, though the two outcomes in favour of the home side stand out slightly more than the rest.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Atlético Nacional are clear favourites for this rescheduled fixture. The main argument in their favour is their home record: the team have won nine of their last ten matches at home. Deportes Tolima are lower in the table and have been struggling to create chances recently, so stopping such a dominant home side will not be easy. Our pick is an Atlético Nacional win.
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Betting Tips: Atletico Nacional Medellin - Tolima
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