Nacional vs Progreso Prediction

    📢Which players could become unexpected stars of the match? The answer to this question will be known at the end of the confrontation between the teams Club Nacional Montevideo and Progreso. The meeting as part of the Primera Division tournament is scheduled for 23:30 on 23 May. Bookmakers have already identified the favorite as the team Club Nacional Montevideo. The odds for the victories are as follows - against .

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:5. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Progreso):

    • ball possession percentage: 38% vs 62%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 6 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 10.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Club Nacional Montevideo and Progreso:

    • played 18 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 3, draws - 1;
    • number of goals - 39 against 15;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.39, in the 2nd half - 1.61;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    77%
    17 Wins
    5%
    1 Draw
    18%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    22
    Total Goals Avg
    2.82
    Both teams scored
    50%
    2.05
    Total average
    0.77
    2.41
    Yellow cards
    2.73
    Last matches
    21.02.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    2
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    3
    0
    22.01.26
    UCL
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    16.08.25
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    3
    5
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    3
    5
    23.05.25
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    11
    3
    0
    0
    4
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    11
    3
    0
    0
    4
    3
    16.02.25
    Primera Division
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    Club Nacional de Football
    Club Nacional de Football
    0
    0
    4
    6
    0
    0
    6
    3
    1
    5
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    4
    6
    0
    0
    6
    3
    Empty
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    Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 18 May 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Club Nacional Montevideo, away team - Defensor Sporting). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Club Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting):

    • ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 2.
    🏆Throughout the Primera Division season, the team Club Nacional Montevideo has engaged in 15 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 9 wins,
    • 2 losses,
    • 4 draws.

    📈Currently, Club Nacional Montevideo stands at a mid-tier position within the Primera Division standings, with a win percentage of 60% and a loss percentage of 13%.

    ⚽️Club Nacional Montevideo has scored a total of 35 goals. On the defensive end, Club Nacional Montevideo has allowed 16 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    W
    31.05.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    7
    -
    -
    3
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    7
    -
    -
    3
    4
    L
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Coquimbo Unido
    Coquimbo Unido
    0.49
    0.73
    2
    8
    11
    16
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.49
    0.73
    2
    8
    11
    16
    1
    4
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Albion
    Albion
    1
    -
    -
    13
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    W
    20.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Universitario de Deportes
    Universitario de Deportes
    0.41
    0.48
    7
    5
    6
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.41
    0.48
    7
    5
    6
    4
    0
    1
    D
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 18 May 2025 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Progreso, away - Juventud de Las Piedras). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here are the match stats (Progreso vs Juventud de Las Piedras):

    • ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.
    🏆Throughout the Primera Division season, the team Progreso has engaged in 15 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 3 wins,
    • 6 losses,
    • 6 draws.

    📈Currently, Progreso stands at a mid-tier position within the Primera Division standings, with a win percentage of 20% and a loss percentage of 40%.

    ⚽Progreso has scored a total of 17 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 27 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Albion
    Albion
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 18;
    • home team wins - 14, away team wins - 3, draws - 1.

    Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso

    • matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • wins: 9 vs 3;
    • win percentage: 60% vs 20%;
    • losses: 2 vs 6;
    • draws: 4 vs 6.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 7 vs 3;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 1 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Progreso won with a +2.5 handicap in last 12 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Progreso Handicap (+2.5) (odds: 1.42)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 2.17, the guests - 0.83;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
    • both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso

    • average total in the tournament: 3.4 vs 2.93;
    • average total goals scored: 2.33 vs 1.13;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.87 vs 0.27;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.47 vs 0.87;
    • Club Nacional Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament -  1.86;
    • Progreso: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.4 (home - 1.4) vs 1.1 (away - 1.4).
    Trends
    • Club Nacional Montevideo have conceded in 10 of last 11 home games.
    • Club Nacional Montevideo have conceded in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    • Progreso have scored in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Progreso will score goal (odds: 1.96)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Club Nacional Montevideo have taken under 7.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Club Nacional Montevideo Total Under (7.5) (odds: 1.42)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.66 (2.33 for home team and 2.33 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.11 (2.67 for home team and 2.44 for away team).

    Club Nacional Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.53; at home - 2.43;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 2.4.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 2.57;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.7; away - 2.4.
    Trends
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 6 Club Nacional Montevideo games.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5) (odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 18;
    • both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 12;
    • number of BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 6 (86%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Progreso away - 6 (86%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Progreso away - 4 (80%).
    Trends
    • Club Nacional Montevideo have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    • Progreso have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 2.01)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Club Nacional Montevideo have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    • Progreso have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of +114*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 May 2025, 00:24)

    Betting Tips: Club Nacional Montevideo - Progreso

    Club Nacional Montevideo have won the 2nd half
    nacional-montevideoin last 6 games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Club Nacional Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    -222
    Club Nacional Montevideo have won
    nacional-montevideoin last 6 games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    -455
    Progreso have not lost
    ca-progresoin last 6 away games (Primera Division).
    Progreso will not lose
    Everygame
    +310
    Club Nacional Montevideo have not lost
    nacional-montevideoin 18 of last 19 home games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 7 of last 8 games.
    Progreso have not won
    ca-progresoin 21 of last 23 away games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -2000
    View more facts

    Nacional - Progreso Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1595122-932
    2.
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1594235-1631
    3.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1593323-1530
    10.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1545616-2217
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 8
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 15
    -1
    -8
    7 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    0
    4
    Loses
    8
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    7
    15
    Conceded
    15
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.2
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.7
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    129'
    View all stats