Nacional vs Progreso Prediction

    📢 The upcoming league clash between Nacional Montevideo and Progreso promises an exhilarating duel. Nacional, firmly holding the second spot in the standings, are in excellent form and eager to maintain their winning momentum. Their attack is highly prolific, making them a formidable opponent for any club. On the other hand, Progreso are facing challenges, with their losing streak offering little optimism. How will this encounter unfold? Find out in our prediction!

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place in May, ending 1-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match's statistics (home team - Nacional Montevideo):

    • possession: 69% vs 31%;
    • corner kicks: 11 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 3.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Nacional Montevideo and Progreso:

    • 19 matches played;
    • home victories - 15, away victories - 3, draws - 1;
    • goals scored - 40 against 15;
    • average first-half total - 1.32, second-half total - 1.58;
    • average total goals per match - 2.89.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    77%
    17 Wins
    5%
    1 Draw
    18%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    22
    Total Goals Avg
    2.82
    Both teams scored
    50%
    2.05
    Total average
    0.77
    2.41
    Yellow cards
    2.73
    Last matches
    21.02.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    2
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    -
    -
    3
    0
    22.01.26
    UCL
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    16.08.25
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    3
    5
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    3
    5
    23.05.25
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    11
    3
    0
    0
    4
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    11
    3
    0
    0
    4
    3
    16.02.25
    Primera Division
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    Club Nacional de Football
    Club Nacional de Football
    0
    0
    4
    6
    0
    0
    6
    3
    1
    5
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    4
    6
    0
    0
    6
    3
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    Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview

    The last official match was played in the Primera Division, with Peñarol as the home side and Nacional Montevideo as the visitors. The game concluded with a 3-0 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Nacional Montevideo vs Peñarol):

    • possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corners: 3 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 3.

    Nacional Montevideo currently sit second in the standings, delivering impressive performances with 17 wins in 25 matches, a testament to their prowess. Known for their attacking strength, they average 2.24 goals per game. Their recent form is solid, with four victories in their last five matches, underscoring their current strong run.

    Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    W
    31.05.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    7
    -
    -
    3
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    7
    -
    -
    3
    4
    L
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Coquimbo Unido
    Coquimbo Unido
    0.49
    0.73
    2
    8
    11
    16
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.49
    0.73
    2
    8
    11
    16
    1
    4
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Albion
    Albion
    1
    -
    -
    13
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    W
    20.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Universitario de Deportes
    Universitario de Deportes
    0.41
    0.48
    7
    5
    6
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.41
    0.48
    7
    5
    6
    4
    0
    1
    D
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera Division, with Progreso hosting Cerro Largo. The encounter ended in a 1-2 defeat for the home side.

    Here are the match statistics (Progreso vs Cerro Largo):

    • possession: 63% vs 37%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    Progreso are facing significant challenges this season, currently sitting in 11th place and having only recently snapped a four-game losing streak with a solitary win in their last five matches. The "Proferos" are struggling offensively, averaging just about one goal per game while conceding an average of 1.71 goals per match.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Albion
    Albion
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    2
    3
    L
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 19;
    • Home victories - 15, Away victories - 3, Draws - 1.
    Trends
    • Progreso covers the +2.5 spread in 20 of their last 21 matches (Primera).
    • Progreso covers the +2.5 spread in 10 of their last 11 away matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Progreso Handicap (+2.5)(odds: 1.38)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team averages - 2.11 goals, visitors - 0.79 goals;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.89;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 9 times; at the home team's ground - 4 times.

    Statistics: Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso

    • Average tournament total: 3.32 vs 2.67;
    • Average goals scored: 2.24 vs 0.96;
    • Average first-half total: 0.96 vs 0.25;
    • Average second-half total: 1.28 vs 0.71;
    • Nacional Montevideo: average home total in the tournament - 2.15;
    • Progreso: average away total in the tournament - 0.92;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2.5) vs 0.7 (away - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Total under 3.5 goals hit in 9 of Progreso's last 10 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3.5)(odds: 1.53)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Progreso takes over 3.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Progreso Total Over (3.5)(odds: 1.88)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.84 (2.42 for the home team and 2.42 for the visitors);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 5.3 (2.8 for the home team and 2.5 for the visitors).

    Nacional Montevideo: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.76; at home - 2.69;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3; at home - 2.83.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.79, away - 2.58;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; away - 2.6.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 19;
    • Both teams scored overall - 9 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 4 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.8)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the current form and statistics of both teams suggests a cautious approach from the visitors, while Nacional are expected to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Considering Progreso's low scoring rate and the prevailing trend towards lower totals (in nine out of the last ten matches, the total was under 3.5), a low-scoring game seems the most likely outcome.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (3.5) at odds of -189*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (15 August 2025, 15:59)

    Betting Tips: Club Nacional Montevideo - Progreso

    Club Nacional Montevideo have won
    nacional-montevideoin 14 of last 16 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 7 of last 8 home games.
    Progreso have lost
    ca-progresoin last 5 away games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    -357
    Progreso have lost the 2nd half
    ca-progresoin last 5 away games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Club Nacional Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    -200
    Club Nacional Montevideo have not lost
    nacional-montevideoin 18 of last 19 home games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 15 of last 16 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 11 of last 12 games.
    nacional-montevideoin last 8 home games.
    Progreso have not won
    ca-progresoin 22 of last 24 away games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -1429
    Club Nacional Montevideo have scored
    nacional-montevideoin 22 of last 24 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 18 of last 19 home games (Primera Division).
    Progreso have conceded
    ca-progresoin 23 of last 24 away games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo will score goal
    -1667
    View more facts

    Nacional - Progreso Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1595122-932
    2.
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1594235-1631
    3.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1593323-1530
    10.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1545616-2217
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 15
    -1
    -7
    9 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draw
    1
    4
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    9
    15
    Conceded
    16
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats