Newcastle vs Nottingham Prediction
🔊 Can Newcastle return to the European competition zone by the end of the 26th round of the EPL? At least they are considered favorites in the match against Nottingham Forest, who are higher in the standings. However, it's important not to underestimate the "Foresters," as they have long remained within the top 4. Therefore, the outcome of the match, which will take place at St. James' Park, is not so obvious. In this situation, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.
Head-to-Head
In the span of 21 head-to-head matches, Newcastle holds the advantage with a 62% win rate. This season, the opponents have met twice. In the League Cup round of 32, the "Magpies" only came out stronger following a penalty shootout (2:1). Already in the championship, they achieved a solid superiority (3:1). However, the first half was in Nottingham's favor. Right after the break, Alexander Isak equalized the score, and the victory was secured by Joelinton and Barnes, who have recently been sidelined due to injuries. Notably, Newcastle consistently improves after the break in head-to-head encounters. For instance, they have won the second 45 minutes in 7 out of 8 Premier League matches. Therefore, an intriguing bet is - home team to win the 2nd half.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Newcastle United Team Overview
Newcastle was in excellent form back in December, but recently they have been slipping more often. For instance, they suffered a heavy defeat against Bournemouth (1:4), and then failed to secure points in a home game against Fulham (1:2). In the last round, Eddie Howe's team couldn't put up a fight against Manchester City (0:4), who have been more inconsistent this season than ever. It's enough to say that Newcastle didn't create a single scoring opportunity at the Etihad. However, they have beaten Arsenal three times this season, twice in the League Cup, where they reached the final and will play against Liverpool. Notably, Harvey Barnes has recovered from injury and was included in the squad in the last round, though he didn't take the field. Joelinton and Jamaal Lascelles are still recovering. Meanwhile, Sven Botman is back in the infirmary. He missed the last two matches, and his participation in the upcoming game is in doubt.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest Team Overview
Nottingham Forest is currently the main sensation of the Premier League, at least after 25 rounds. Like Newcastle, they were in excellent form in December and the first half of January, remaining unbeaten. However, the team traveled to Bournemouth and unexpectedly conceded five unanswered goals at the "Vitality" stadium. But the team's reaction was crucial, as in the next round they defeated Brighton with an even greater margin (7:0). Chris Wood scored a hat-trick, moving up to third place in the Premier League's top scorers list this season. He also scored in the last round against Fulham, but his team stumbled again (1:2). Despite two losses in three matches, Nottingham Forest remains in third place in the league standings. In the upcoming match, Taiwo Awoniyi will not play as he broke his nose and missed the match against the "Cottagers." However, the Nigerian mainly comes on as a substitute towards the end of games this season. Carlos Miguel is also unavailable, though he is not the team's main goalkeeper.
Match Results: Nottingham Forest
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Jarred Gillett, who has officiated seven Premier League matches this season, including one involving Newcastle. Under his watch, the "Magpies" drew with Manchester City at St. James' Park (1:1). The Australian awarded a penalty in favor of Newcastle, which is his only one this season. During that match, the referee showed eight yellow cards-a personal season record. On average, he issues 4.57 warnings.
The advantage in yellow cards this season belongs to Nottingham Forest (2.2 against 2). In matches involving them, there are an average of 5.1 warnings, while Newcastle averages 4.7. Therefore, it's worth considering a bet on total yellow cards under 5.5, especially since it has hit in nine consecutive Nottingham Forest matches.
⚽️ Prediction on Goals
Both teams approach the match with high-scoring trends. For example, in five consecutive matches involving Nottingham Forest, at least three goals have been scored. The same applies to 11 out of 12 Newcastle games in the Premier League. Considering that the head-to-head in the first round was high-scoring, we suggest a bet on total goals over 2.5.
🚩 Prediction on Corners
Nottingham Forest averages 4.4 corners per game this season. In the head-to-head match of the first round, the team had four corners, even though they were trailing in score. Only in one of the last eight matches have the "Foresters" exceeded this mark. Therefore, a bet on total corners for Nottingham Forest under 4.5 seems justified.
Editorial Prediction
The favorite for the upcoming match is Newcastle. However, three losses in four EPL rounds cast doubt on this. Especially since they lost to their neighbors in the standings. Therefore, Nottingham Forest is very likely to earn points, possibly drawing with a score of 2-2.
Each team has prominent scorers who are in the top-4 of the EPL this season. Goals can be expected from each of them. Moreover, there are plenty of quality supporters up front as well. Therefore, as a key bet, we choose - both teams to score (Yes). Additionally, this bet has won in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches.
Betting Tips: Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest
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in 7 of last 8 games against Nottingham Forest (Premier League).
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Other predictions
