Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Sunday brings us a clash between two Premier League teams languishing in the lower half of the table - Newcastle and Nottingham. Just a single point separates these sides, yet their recent form is anything but similar. Newcastle have faced a grueling schedule recently, with two Premier League encounters against top-six opponents, along with their Champions League commitments. In contrast, Nottingham have had a comparatively easier run. Their recent league matches were against newly promoted teams, and their Europa League opposition can't be compared to the caliber of the Champions League giants. Despite this, Ange Postecoglou is yet to secure his first victory at the helm of his new club. Can they pick up points in Newcastle? Our editorial team offers an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Since Nottingham Forest's return to the English top flight, three seasons have passed. During this period, the teams have faced off six times. Newcastle hold a commanding advantage over the stretch with five victories compared to just one for Forest. Their clashes are nothing short of thrilling, with an aggregate score of 17-8 in favor of the Magpies.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    63%
    15 Wins
    17%
    4 Draws
    21%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    24
    Total Goals Avg
    3.17
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1.96
    Total average
    1.21
    0.75
    Yellow cards
    1.54
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    05.10.25
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    3.05
    0.29
    8
    1
    16
    15
    0
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    3.05
    0.29
    8
    1
    16
    15
    0
    4
    23.02.25
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    3.08
    2.19
    7
    6
    11
    13
    1
    4
    4
    3
    4
    1
    0
    2
    3.08
    2.19
    7
    6
    11
    13
    1
    4
    10.11.24
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    0.6
    1.5
    4
    5
    13
    6
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    0.6
    1.5
    4
    5
    13
    6
    1
    1
    28.08.24
    EFL Cup
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.01
    1.97
    3
    5
    13
    6
    5
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    3
    4
    1.01
    1.97
    3
    5
    13
    6
    5
    2
    Empty
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    Newcastle United Team Overview

    "The Geordies" have slightly improved their results since the start of the season, but they are still searching for consistency. In the Premier League, they alternate between dropping and gaining points, though they have managed to avoid defeats-until the last round, at least. Ahead of their clash with Arsenal, Eddie Howe's team was on a three-match unbeaten run. However, against another title contender, as was the case with Liverpool, the "Magpies" were unfortunate once more: despite leading for most of the match, they squandered their advantage late on (1-2). Nevertheless, they approach their encounter with Nottingham in high spirits. This week, they secured their first Champions League victory-away against Union Saint-Gilloise (4-0).

    Nick Woltemade is in excellent form. The club's most expensive signing is justifying his price tag, scoring in his second consecutive match. The German is also effective in build-up play. Although he hasn't registered any assists yet, he frequently initiates attacks from deep. Anthony Gordon's form is impressive as well. The Englishman had already scored against Barcelona and notched a brace from penalties against Union, taking more shots than anyone else (3). But the winger excelled not only in attack; he won 18 duels and 9 out of 17 ground battles-the best figures in the team.

    Match Results: Newcastle United

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Fulham
    Fulham
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.73
    0.35
    6
    6
    13
    6
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.73
    0.35
    6
    6
    13
    6
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    1.5
    1.42
    9
    1
    8
    11
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.5
    1.42
    9
    1
    8
    11
    1
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    D
    02.05.26
    EPL
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    Brighton & Hove Albion
    2.3
    1.46
    2
    10
    10
    12
    3
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    2.3
    1.46
    2
    10
    10
    12
    3
    3
    W
    25.04.26
    EPL
    Arsenal
    Arsenal
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    0.85
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    10
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.85
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    10
    2
    2
    L
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    Nottingham Forest Team Overview

    Ange Postecoglou is still searching for his first win at the helm of his new club. The streak has now stretched to six matches. While Nottingham have become more versatile in attack, their high defensive line continues to be a vulnerability. This issue was evident in their recent Europa League match against Midtjylland. Despite dominating possession with 61% and outshooting their opponents nearly threefold (22 to 8), the Danish side outperformed the hosts in terms of chance quality (2.08 xG to 1.94 xG), and their winning goal came from a counterattack. The final score was 3-2 against Nottingham. In their latest Premier League fixture, Postecoglou's side also suffered a defeat, despite having the upper hand in the game against Sunderland (0-1).

    In Nottingham, there's an ongoing battle for a starting spot between Igor Jesus and Chris Wood. In the match against Midtjylland, the New Zealander replaced the Brazilian in the 75th minute and scored from a penalty. Overall, the experienced Wood proved more effective in attack. The penalty wasn't his only goal; he had scored twice before, but both were ruled out for offside. Elliot Anderson has been in excellent form, orchestrating play from midfield and leading the team in touches for four consecutive matches. In the clash with Midtjylland, he showcased his superb dribbling skills, completing 3 out of 3 successful take-ons. Despite Nottingham's loss, the Englishman was named Man of the Match.

    Match Results: Nottingham Forest

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    2.01
    1.14
    6
    3
    11
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    2.01
    1.14
    6
    3
    11
    7
    1
    1
    D
    17.05.26
    EPL
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    4.01
    1.67
    7
    6
    11
    5
    2
    1
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    4.01
    1.67
    7
    6
    11
    5
    2
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    EPL
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.52
    1.32
    2
    1
    16
    11
    2
    0
    D
    07.05.26
    Europa League
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    3.08
    0.45
    6
    3
    13
    12
    0
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    3.08
    0.45
    6
    3
    13
    12
    0
    2
    L
    04.05.26
    EPL
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    2.64
    2.03
    10
    1
    12
    10
    3
    1
    W
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    Latest news

    Newcastle United

    🎙 Anthony Gordon has come to the defense of Nick Woltemade following a disparaging remark by Bayern Munich board member Karl-Heinz Rummenigge about the German forward's transfer. "I don't understand why you'd comment on a player who isn't part of your club. Honestly, it's a bit foolish, especially when the player has started well. If he had a poor start and you made such a remark... But he's scored three goals in four matches, so that comment seems a bit odd," said the Newcastle winger.

    ❌ Newcastle's injury list includes three sidelined players: Yoane Wissa, Jacob Ramsey, and Tino Livramento. The latter's knee injury was recently confirmed, and predictions suggest the defender won't return to action before November. On the bright side, Fabian Schär has fully recovered from a concussion that kept him out for three matches, though he did make an 8-minute appearance against Union Saint-Gilloise.

    Nottingham Forest

    🎙 Nottingham Forest's head coach attempted to justify his team's recent poor run. The manager highlighted the "Foresters'" superiority over their opponents. "A win would have helped us, but for me, the players are the priority. They have embraced what we're trying to achieve. We've been operating differently since my arrival, and the players have bought into this process: we're creating more chances than our opponents and dominating in every aspect. We want the players to be rewarded for their efforts because it accelerates growth and strengthens belief. We are definitely not going to abandon what we're doing," noted Ange Postecoglou.

    ❌ The injury list, which includes Douglas Luiz and Ola Aina, has now been joined by Oleksandr Zinchenko. The Ukrainian suffered a muscle injury and missed the last round of the Europa League. Murillo's participation in Sunday's match is uncertain. He recovered from an injury and even started against Midtjylland, but was substituted in the 28th minute due to a recurrence.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by the head referee Peter Bankes. Compared to last season, he has maintained his average of yellow cards at 3.9 over the last 20 matches, and in five encounters this season, he has handed out an average of four bookings.

    In 6 out of Newcastle's last 7 home games, there were more than 3.5 warnings between both teams. Nottingham’s players under Postecoglou are not known for clean play, averaging 2.4 yellow card-worthy fouls per game. Their high defensive line often forces them to commit fouls while chasing down opponents on counterattacks. We predict that together, the teams will earn more than 3.5 yellow cards.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Head-to-head clashes between these opponents have been highly productive since their Championship days back in 2016. In 9 out of their last 10 meetings, at least three goals were scored. Both teams excel in attack-Newcastle have netted 10 goals in their last five matches, while Nottingham have scored 8. We anticipate that Sunday’s encounter will not disappoint in terms of entertainment. Our prediction: total goals over 2.5.

    🚩Corner Prediction

    Newcastle are the Premier League's top team for corners in home games, averaging 7.67 corners at St James' Park. Nottingham rank fourth from the bottom in this category when playing away, with just 3.67 set pieces on average. Additionally, in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches, the "Forest" have taken fewer than 4.5 corners. Under these circumstances, a Newcastle win on corners with a handicap of (-2.5) is highly probable.

    Editorial Prediction

    All signs point to Nottingham Forest securing their first win under Ange Postecoglou, but their defensive frailties remain a concern. While the Australian-Greek manager has seen his side outshine most opponents in terms of attacking threat, those teams have been of a lower caliber. Given this context, an away victory over Newcastle seems like a daunting task. Nevertheless, we expect an entertaining encounter, as both teams have delivered thrilling head-to-head clashes in the past. However, a Newcastle win seems almost inevitable to us, with the scoreline likely to be 3-1 according to our editorial team.

    Our choice
    Newcastle United Win at odds of -182*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 October 2025, 09:28)

    Betting Tips: Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest

    Newcastle United have won
    newcastle-unitednottingham-forestin 8 of last 9 games against Nottingham Forest (Premier League).
    newcastle-unitednottingham-forestin 6 of last 7 home games against Nottingham Forest (Premier League).
    Newcastle United Win
    MyBookie
    -154
    Newcastle United have not won
    newcastle-unitedin 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
    Nottingham Forest will not lose
    Everygame
    +153
    Newcastle United have not lost
    newcastle-unitednottingham-forestin 13 of last 14 games against Nottingham Forest (Premier League).
    Nottingham Forest have not won
    nottingham-forestin last 8 games.
    Newcastle United will not lose
    MyBookie
    -714
    Newcastle United have scored
    newcastle-unitednottingham-forestin last 13 games against Nottingham Forest.
    newcastle-unitednottingham-forestin last 10 home games against Nottingham Forest.
    newcastle-unitednottingham-forestin last 9 games against Nottingham Forest (Premier League).
    newcastle-unitednottingham-forestin last 7 home games against Nottingham Forest (Premier League).
    newcastle-unitedin 22 of last 23 home games.
    newcastle-unitedin 15 of last 16 home games (Premier League).
    Nottingham Forest have conceded
    nottingham-forestin last 18 games.
    nottingham-forestin last 14 games (Premier League).
    nottingham-forestin last 11 away games (Premier League).
    Newcastle United will score goal
    -1111
    View more facts

    Newcastle - Nottingham Forest Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    11.
    Fulham
    Fulham
    381571647-5152
    12.
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    381471753-5549
    13.
    Everton
    Everton
    3813101547-5049
    15.
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    3811121541-5145
    16.
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    3811111648-5144
    17.
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    3810111748-5741

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 19
    -6
    +7
    19 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    3
    6
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    19
    19
    Conceded
    12
    3.2
    Match goals average
    3.1
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats