St Pauli vs Union Prediction
🔊 Can St. Pauli end their losing streak? Alexander Blessin's side, who have suffered seven consecutive defeats in the league, host Union Berlin, a mid-table team that nearly toppled Bayern in their last outing. Last season at the Millerntor, the hosts delivered a resounding victory over the capital club. However, given the current form of the "Pirates," it's hard to believe in a repeat of last year's triumph. In our prediction, we discuss what to expect in the final match of the 11th round.
Head-to-Head
📊 Last season, in the first round at the "An der Alten Försterei," Union secured a narrow victory with a 1-0 scoreline. However, St. Pauli got their revenge in the second round at the "Millerntor," winning 3-0.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
St. Pauli Team Overview
🟤 We're eager to see in what emotional, mental, and physical state St. Pauli return after the international break. Prior to this, the "Pirates" suffered seven consecutive league defeats with a combined score of 2-16-marking their worst run this season and matching the club's worst streak in top-flight history. This comes after their most successful Bundesliga start ever, where they earned seven points from their first three matches.
⚪ One reason for this slump lies in their scoring: Blessin's side have netted just nine goals over 10 rounds. This ranks their attack as the second weakest in the league, only ahead of Heidenheim. However, defensive issues persist as well; they are third in the league for goals conceded, with 20. Currently sitting in 16th place, a home victory could lift them out of the relegation zone, while another defeat might force the management to part ways with Alexander Blessin. We can't know the internal dynamics, but after eight straight losses, it's hard to imagine a different reality.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Union Team Overview
🔴 Union nearly pulled off a stunning upset before the international break, almost snatching three points against Bayern Munich. Even a draw against the Munich giants feels like an achievement these days (2-2). Steffen Baumgart's side took the lead twice, with center-back Danilho Doekhi scoring a brace, but the capital club couldn't hold on for the win. Doekhi has already netted four goals this season, making him the team's top scorer alongside forward Ilyas Ansa. No defender in the league has scored more than the Dutchman this season.
⚪ Currently sitting in 11th place, Union have their sights set on breaking into the top 10. The capital team has the lowest possession rate in the league, controlling the ball just 36% of the time. The "Iron Union" prefers to play on the counterattack, relying on quick breaks and set pieces. Their matches against Eintracht Frankfurt (4-3) and Bayern Munich clearly demonstrated this approach. Perhaps Oliver Burke will finally make his mark in this game; the Scottish forward hasn't scored in seven consecutive matches since his hat-trick in Frankfurt. Since the start of the season, Burke has played 11 matches, scoring only at Deutsche Bank Park.
Match Results: Union
Latest news
St. Pauli
🎙 Alexander Blessin on the current situation: "We know what we're up against. It's a dangerous situation, and we must confront it. We can only overcome this together-as a team, showing courage, everyone knows that. You can't go far with timid football. We need to showcase all facets of our game, especially at home. We have the opportunity to turn things around and pick up points every weekend, and that's exactly what we're aiming for."
❌ Manolis Saliakas and Adam Dzwigala are sidelined but are likely to be ready for next week's game. Ricky-Jade Jones might be included in the squad after a long absence due to a shoulder injury, but his return won't be rushed. David Nemeth remains out with a groin injury.
Union
🎙 Steffen Baumgart on the upcoming match: "We're up against an opponent who excels in transitions, is solid defensively, and has numerous strengths. We need to counter this by leveraging our own strengths. We'll have to play very aggressively with the ball to disrupt their rhythm."
❌ Defender Andrik Markgraf remains in recovery, and the return of forward Robert Skov is also unlikely.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Tobias Stieler will officiate at the Millerntor. In the previous clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, he handed out 5 yellow cards. The "Pirates" average 2 yellow cards per game, while the Berliners average 2.4. We predict a total of over 3.5 yellow cards - this has occurred in 6 of St. Pauli's last 7 matches and in eight consecutive games for Union.
⚽ Goal Prediction
We've already noted the "Pirates'" struggles with scoring, and the visitors aren't faring much better: 13 goals scored and 17 conceded after ten rounds (goal difference of -4). However, Union have conceded no more than one goal in 4 of their last 5 games. Therefore, despite Hamburg's home advantage, we choose St. Pauli's individual total under 1.5 goals, a scenario that has occurred in seven consecutive league rounds.
🚩 Corner Prediction
After ten rounds, both teams average 5 corners per match. We anticipate St. Pauli’s individual total under 6.5 corners, which has been the outcome in 6 consecutive head-to-head meetings between these teams.
Editorial Prediction
The home team's losing streak looks grim, while Union have drawn their last three matches, including the German Cup game against Arminia Bielefeld. These draws have been both high-scoring and goalless affairs. Union hold the least ball possession in the league, so it's likely that St. Pauli will take the initiative at home, where they excel.
Nonetheless, despite the potential advantage for the hosts, our editorial team believes that Union will not lose this game, as the "Pirates" struggle with finishing their attacks. The Berlin side have repeatedly showcased their strengths in quick counterattacks and set pieces. In our view, the match will end in a 1-1 draw.
Betting Tips: St. Pauli - Union
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
