Philadelphia Union vs New-York City Prediction 24 November 2025

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Will this match be a spectacle? The opponents' styles don't necessarily promise fireworks, but this is an MLS quarterfinal after all. Philadelphia Union and New York City will decide who advances to the next round in a single game. There's no room for error. Here's our prediction for the event and a bet with reasonable odds.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the long haul, no club holds a significant advantage in their head-to-head matchups. This season, the balance is evident: both teams have secured a home victory, each by a 1-0 scoreline.

      Head-to-head statistics Philadelphia Union - New-York City

      47%
      14 Wins
      7%
      2 Draws
      47%
      14 Wins
      Total games
      30
      Total Goals Avg
      2.93
      Both teams scored
      67%
      1.53
      Total average
      1.4
      2
      Yellow cards
      2.1
      Last matches
      16.08.26
      mls
      New-York City
      New-York City
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      2.33
      2.11
      8
      4
      15
      21
      3
      4
      2
      3
      2
      0
      0
      3
      2.33
      2.11
      8
      4
      15
      21
      3
      4
      01.03.26
      MLS
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      1
      New-York City
      New-York City
      2.29
      2.26
      5
      4
      11
      13
      2
      2
      1
      2
      0
      1
      1
      1
      2.29
      2.26
      5
      4
      11
      13
      2
      2
      24.11.25
      MLS
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      New-York City
      New-York City
      2.35
      0.86
      8
      3
      14
      11
      1
      4
      0
      1
      0
      1
      0
      0
      2.35
      0.86
      8
      3
      14
      11
      1
      4
      04.10.25
      MLS
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      New-York City
      New-York City
      0.96
      0.59
      10
      5
      9
      14
      3
      1
      1
      0
      1
      0
      0
      0
      0.96
      0.59
      10
      5
      9
      14
      3
      1
      12.04.25
      MLS
      New York City
      New York City
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      1.24
      1.3
      6
      6
      9
      12
      0
      2
      1
      0
      0
      0
      1
      0
      1.24
      1.3
      6
      6
      9
      12
      0
      2
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      Philadelphia Union Team Overview

      ⚫️ The team clinched the regular season, delivering impressive football along the way. However, there were concerns about their playoff performance, as Philadelphia sometimes falters in crucial matches. Moreover, they faced a tough opponent in the Round of 16-Chicago Fire. While there was certainly competition, it was more of a localized skirmish.

      🟤 Philadelphia wrapped up the series against Chicago in two games, facing challenges only in their home clash (winning via penalties). It seemed like an opportunity for Chicago in front of their own fans, but it wasn't to be. The second match concluded with a decisive 3-0 victory for Union. Tai Baribo scored twice early on, and the team then ceded possession to Fire, playing strategically to maintain their lead. Chicago struggled to mount any significant offensive threat and conceded another goal. A classy victory indeed, but it must be measured against the level of opposition. Chicago frequently falters in their own half.

      Match Results: Philadelphia Union

      Last matches
      29.08.26
      mls
      NY Red Bulls
      NY Red Bulls
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      1.49
      2.75
      4
      7
      12
      13
      1
      2
      1
      3
      0
      1
      1
      2
      1.49
      2.75
      4
      7
      12
      13
      1
      2
      W
      23.08.26
      mls
      Austin
      Austin
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      1.42
      0.78
      6
      6
      8
      13
      1
      2
      1
      1
      1
      1
      0
      0
      1.42
      0.78
      6
      6
      8
      13
      1
      2
      D
      19.08.26
      mls
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      1
      Inter Miami
      Inter Miami
      1
      3.11
      1.38
      4
      1
      18
      13
      4
      2
      2
      2
      1
      2
      1
      0
      3.11
      1.38
      4
      1
      18
      13
      4
      2
      D
      16.08.26
      mls
      New-York City
      New-York City
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      2.33
      2.11
      8
      4
      15
      21
      3
      4
      2
      3
      2
      0
      0
      3
      2.33
      2.11
      8
      4
      15
      21
      3
      4
      W
      13.08.26
      Leagues Cup
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      Santos Laguna
      Santos Laguna
      -
      -
      6
      6
      6
      7
      2
      3
      0
      2
      0
      0
      0
      2
      -
      -
      6
      6
      6
      7
      2
      3
      L
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      New-York City Team Overview

      🔵 The "Citizens" have been the standout surprise of the second half of the season. Few anticipated such a surge from the team. They put together a fantastic run of games in the regular season, securing a high position in the standings. And as you might guess, their achievements didn't stop there. The team eliminated Charlotte in the round of 16, advancing with relative confidence. They conceded just one goal from open play in that series.

      ⚪️ The first two matches against Charlotte were contentious in terms of content, but once again, New York's defense proved to be the X-factor. While they couldn't close out the series in two games, it could have been worse. The offense, on the other hand, came alive in the third game, scoring three goals away from home. The "Citizens," though less creative in their build-up, capitalized on nearly all their chances.

      Match Results: New-York City

      Last matches
      29.08.26
      mls
      Toronto
      Toronto
      New-York City
      New-York City
      0.86
      0.54
      7
      2
      10
      13
      3
      3
      1
      1
      0
      1
      1
      0
      0.86
      0.54
      7
      2
      10
      13
      3
      3
      D
      23.08.26
      mls
      New-England Revolution
      New-England Revolution
      New-York City
      New-York City
      2.47
      1.17
      6
      4
      6
      12
      1
      1
      1
      1
      1
      1
      0
      0
      2.47
      1.17
      6
      4
      6
      12
      1
      1
      D
      19.08.26
      mls
      Cincinnati
      Cincinnati
      New-York City
      New-York City
      1.27
      1.38
      2
      5
      10
      9
      3
      3
      2
      1
      1
      1
      1
      0
      1.27
      1.38
      2
      5
      10
      9
      3
      3
      L
      16.08.26
      mls
      New-York City
      New-York City
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      2.33
      2.11
      8
      4
      15
      21
      3
      4
      2
      3
      2
      0
      0
      3
      2.33
      2.11
      8
      4
      15
      21
      3
      4
      L
      13.08.26
      Leagues Cup
      New-York City
      New-York City
      Necaxa
      Necaxa
      -
      -
      2
      5
      4
      2
      1
      4
      1
      2
      1
      0
      0
      2
      -
      -
      2
      5
      4
      2
      1
      4
      L
      Empty
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      Latest news

      Philadelphia Union

      ❌ Quinn Sullivan remains sidelined due to injury. A rotation forward would be beneficial, but the team will have to play without him.

      New-York City

      ✅ The club has no significant losses.

      Prediction on the outcome

      H2H:

      • number of encounters - 27;
      • home team wins - 13, away team wins - 12, draws - 2.

      Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs New-York City

      • matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
      • wins: 22 vs 19;
      • win percentage: 61% vs 51%;
      • losses: 8 vs 13;
      • draws: 6 vs 5.

      Last 10 matches:

      • wins: 7 vs 6;
      • losses: 3 vs 4;
      • draws: 0 vs 0.
      Trends
      • New-York City won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
      • New-York City won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 games (MLS).
      • New-York City won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 games.
      • New-York City won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 away games (MLS).
      👉Prediction: New-York City Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.27)

      Prediction on the over/under

      H2H

      • today's home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 1.37;
      • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.93;
      • both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 8.

      Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs New-York City

      • average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.68;
      • average total goals scored: 1.72 vs 1.46;
      • average total in the 1st half: 0.72 vs 0.51;
      • average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.95;
      • Philadelphia Union: average total at home in the tournament -  2.11;
      • New-York City: average total away in the tournament - 1.37;
      • last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 2) vs 1.6 (away - 2).
      Trends
      • New-York City have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 games against Philadelphia Union.
      👉Prediction: New-York City Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.35)

      Prediction on corners

      Philadelphia Union: Statistics

      • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.14; at home field - 7.11;
      • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 7.

      New-York City: Statistics

      • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.05, away - 3.89;
      • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; away - 4.2.
      Trends
      • New-York City have taken over 3.5 corners in 11 of last 12 games (MLS).
      • New-York City have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games.
      👉Prediction: Corners - New-York City Total Over (3,5)(odds: 1.51)

      Prediction on cards

      H2H

      • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.92 (1.96 for home team and 1.96 for away team);
      • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.22 (1.29 for home team and 1.93 for away team).

      Philadelphia Union: Statistics

      • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.58; at home - 2.33;
      • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; at home - 2.5.

      New-York City: Statistics

      • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.95, away - 1.95;
      • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.4.
      👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4,5)

      Prediction on BTTS

      H2H:

      • number of encounters - 27;
      • both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
      • on the home team’s field - 8 times.

      Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs New-York City

      • number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
      • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 18;
      • number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union at home - 10 (56%);
      • number of BTTS matches for New-York City away - 9 (47%).

      Last 10 matches:

      • number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 5;
      • BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union at home - 1 (25%);
      • BTTS matches for New-York City away - 3 (60%).
      👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.65)

      Editorial Prediction

      Focus on this season's head-to-heads: goals have been scarce. In the last round, New York demonstrated that their playoff strategy will be defense-first. Philadelphia are prepared to meet that challenge with their excellent balance on the field. With no room for error, both teams need to play cautiously. We're taking under 3 goals total, as this mark hasn't been surpassed in 13 of the last 14 encounters on Philadelphia's turf. Confidence in this prediction is bolstered by the playoff context.

      Total goals Under (3)
      Published: 21/11/2025, 12:32

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      Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union - New-York City

      New-York City have won:
      new-york-city-fcin 6 of last 7 away games (MLS).
      new-york-city-fcin 5 of last 6 away games.
      New-York City Win
      Bovada
      +380
      New-York City have not lost:
      new-york-city-fcin 8 of last 9 away games (MLS).
      New-York City will not lose
      Everygame
      +106
      Philadelphia Union have not lost:
      philadelphia-unionin last 19 home games.
      philadelphia-unionin last 16 home games (MLS).
      Philadelphia Union will not lose
      Everygame
      -556
      Philadelphia Union have scored:
      philadelphia-unionnew-york-city-fcin 12 of last 13 games against New-York City.
      philadelphia-unionnew-york-city-fcin 11 of last 12 games against New-York City (MLS).
      philadelphia-unionnew-york-city-fcin last 7 home games against New-York City (MLS).
      philadelphia-unionin last 17 home games.
      philadelphia-unionin last 14 home games (MLS).
      Philadelphia Union will score goal
      Everygame
      -556
      View more facts

      Philadelphia Union - New-York City Table position

      League Group A
      gWDLGDPForm
      1.
      Philadelphia Union
      Philadelphia Union
      34206857-3566
      2.
      Cincinnati
      Cincinnati
      34205952-4065
      3.
      Inter Miami
      Inter Miami
      34198781-5565
      4.
      Charlotte
      Charlotte
      341921355-4659
      5.
      New-York City
      New-York City
      341751250-4456
      6.
      Nashville
      Nashville
      341661258-4554

      Comparison of Teams Stats

      10 matches
      6 - Wins
      2 - Draws
      2 - Loses
      Wins - 3
      Draws - 3
      Loses - 4
      10 matches
      Scored - 19
      Conceded - 13
      +6
      +1
      15 - Scored
      14 - Conceded
      6
      Wins
      3
      2
      Draws
      3
      2
      Loses
      4
      Goal difference
      19
      Scored
      15
      13
      Conceded
      14
      3.2
      Match goals average
      2.9
      1.9
      Goals scored per match on average
      1.5
      1.3
      Goals conceded per match on average
      1.4
      7
      Both teams scored
      9
      47'
      Minutes / Goal scored
      60'
      View all stats