Philadelphia Union vs New-York City Prediction 1 March 2026
🔊 Two solid teams have kicked off the season not quite as planned. We can expect some intriguing football ahead. Philadelphia Union and New York City FC are set to clash in MLS action, battling for crucial points. Who holds the edge? We offer our prediction for this matchup. The betting tip will be revealed at the very end.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 24 November 2025 and ended with a score of 0-1. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (Philadelphia Union were the home side):
- possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊 Analytical review of the previous official encounters between Philadelphia Union and New York City:
- 28 matches played;
- home victories - 13, away victories - 13, draws - 2;
- goals scored (home/away) - 42 to 38;
- average total goals per match - 2.86.
Head-to-head statistics Philadelphia Union - New-York City
Philadelphia Union Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the CONCACAF Champions League (Philadelphia Union at home against Defence Force). The game ended with a scoreline of 7-0.
Here are the match statistics (Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force):
- possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 0.
The team has lost Tai Baribo, with the top scorer transferring to D.C. United. However, this hasn't drastically altered the squad's strength, as they still boast a solid lineup. What they're lacking, though, is cohesion. While they did get some action in the CONCACAF Champions League, their MLS opener resulted in a loss to none other than D.C. United (0-1). And yes, it was Tai Baribo who netted the decisive goal. This raises questions about their transfer strategy. Overall, nothing catastrophic has occurred, but it's crucial to draw the right conclusions moving forward.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
New-York City Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the MLS, with Los Angeles Galaxy hosting New York City. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here is the match statistics (New York City vs Los Angeles Galaxy):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corners: 2 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 6.
So far, the potential of the "Citizens" remains uncertain. The preseason friendlies provided little insight, and the opening round of the MLS only muddied the waters further. The season kicked off with a 1-1 draw away against the Los Angeles Galaxy. In terms of performance, it's fair to say that New York failed to capitalize on their opportunities. They had the upper hand in both pressure and xG metrics. However, the early goal they conceded significantly disrupted their game plan.
Match Results: New-York City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 13, draws - 2.
Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs New-York City
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- wins: 0 vs 0;
- win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
- losses: 1 vs 0;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
- Philadelphia Union have not lost in 20 of last 21 home games.
- Philadelphia Union have not lost in 16 of last 17 home games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.5, the guests - 1.36;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.86;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 8.
- New-York City have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Philadelphia Union.
- New-York City have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Philadelphia Union vs New-York City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 0 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for New-York City away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 1 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for New-York City away - 4 (57%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Philadelphia learned a tough lesson in the opening round of MLS. They need to regroup and start collecting points. A home match is the perfect setting for this, especially since New York struggles when playing away. We are backing a Philadelphia Union win. The team hasn't lost their defensive edge and should be able to stifle their opponents. New York, on the other hand, are far from perfect defensively, as shown in their match against LA Galaxy. This bet seems quite reasonable for the early stages of the season. Possible scoreline - 1-0.
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Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union - New-York City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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