New York City vs Philadelphia Union Prediction 12 April 2025
πThe battle on the field promises to be thrilling, given the recent performances of both teams. New York sit at the lower end of the standings and are eager to climb higher. Their form is inconsistent, but home games usually work in their favor. Philadelphia Union, on the other hand, aim to maintain their position at the top of the table, thanks to a strong attack and solid defense. A tense clash is expected between teams with different objectives: one continues its search for identity, while the other fights for dominance.
Head-to-Head
πAnalytical review of past official encounters between New York City and Philadelphia Union:
- 25 matches played;
- home team wins: 11, away team wins: 12, draws: 2;
- goals scored (home/away): 36 to 41;
- average total goals per match: 3.08.
The last time these teams met was at New York City's venue. The match took place on 18 September 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 1-5.
Head-to-head statistics New York City - Philadelphia Union

New York City Team Overview
New York City have had a mixed season so far, sitting in 11th place. The team struggles with finishing chances and suffers from an inconsistent defense, conceding an average of 1.57 goals per match. In their last ten games, the club have secured four wins, suffered four losses, and drawn twice. Their style of play focuses on ball control and building attacks through the center of the pitch. Their most recent match against Philadelphia ended in a heavy 1-5 defeat.
πThere is still time to correct these mistakes. The team lacks balance; they are capable of delivering a strong performance one week and then falling apart the next. The coaching staff have plenty to ponder, especially with a large part of the season still ahead.
β½οΈ Alonso Martinez and Hannes Wolf are the clubβs main hopes in attack. Between them, they have already scored 7 goals. Beyond these two, the team has few other options to rely on.
π Key players are fit, with only rotational players missing.
Match Results: New York City

Philadelphia Union Team Overview
Philadelphia Union are putting in strong performances this season, currently sitting third in the league standings. The team is known for their aggressive style of play and impressive scoring ability, averaging 1.86 goals per match, while maintaining a solid defense that concedes just 1.14 goals on average. In their last five matches, they have secured three victories, underscoring their strength even in away games. Historically, Philadelphia often triumphs over New York City, with their most recent head-to-head encounter reaffirming this trend.
πThe squad employs a high-quality tactical approach, but they often struggle against top-tier opponents. Recently, they have dropped matches to Inter Miami and Nashville. This could likely be a psychological issue that needs addressing.
β½οΈ Tai Baribo has already netted 6 goals this season. His stats are currently outstanding.
π Kai Wagner is injured, with the key defender having been sidelined for several rounds now.
Match Results: Philadelphia Union
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 12, draws - 2.
Statistics: New York City vs Philadelphia Union
- number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- number of wins: 2 vs 4;
- win percentage: 29% vs 57%;
- number of losses: 3 vs 2;
- number of draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 4;
- number of losses: 4 vs 5;
- number of draws: 2 vs 1.
- New York City have not won in 7 of last 8 games against Philadelphia Union.
- New York City have not won in their last 6 home games against Philadelphia Union.
- New York City have not won in their last 5 home games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.44, the guests - 1.64;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.08;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: New York City vs Philadelphia Union
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.86;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 0.71;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1.14;
- New York City: average total at home in the tournament - 1.67;
- Philadelphia Union: average total away in the tournament - 2.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.6) vs 1.7 (away - 2).
- New York City have scored under 1.5 goals in their last 6 home games against Philadelphia Union.
- New York City have scored under 1.5 goals in their last 5 home games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
Prediction on corners
New York City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.43; at home field - 7.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 8.
Philadelphia Union: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.71, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; away - 5.6.
- Philadelphia Union have taken over 4.5 corners in their last 7 games (MLS).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.16 (2.08 for home team and 2.08 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.5 (2.5 for home team and 3 for away team).
New York City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.29; at home - 1.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; at home - 1.8.
Philadelphia Union: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.29, away - 2.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 25;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 9 times.
Statistics: New York City vs Philadelphia Union
- number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for New York City at home - 3 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for New York City at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Philadelphia Union away - 4 (80%).
- New York City have scored and conceded in their last 7 games against Philadelphia Union.
- New York City have scored and conceded in their last 6 games against Philadelphia Union (MLS).
- New York City have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 home games (MLS).
- Philadelphia Union have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (MLS).
Editorial Prediction
Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses heading into the upcoming match, yet the data suggests a higher likelihood of success for the visitors due to their more consistent form and motivation to maintain a strong position in the MLS standings. With trends indicating high-scoring encounters between these teams, a reasonable bet would be on over 2.5 goals. Considering the head-to-head statistics and current form of both sides, this wager holds a strong chance of coming through successfully.