Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction
🔊 Who will come out on top in the North London derby? The standout match of the Premier League's 12th round is the clash between Arsenal and Tottenham at the Emirates Stadium. The hosts enter this crucial encounter as league leaders, while the visitors sit in fifth, trailing by eight points. The odds reflect this, with the Gunners seen as clear favorites. However, the question remains: can they live up to this status given their significant injury woes? Let's delve into the details.
Head-to-Head
📊 Tottenham's last victory over Arsenal dates back to 2022. Since then, the teams have faced off six times, with Spurs managing to secure points in just one of those encounters. On that occasion, Son's brace helped them earn a draw at the Emirates (2-2).
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Arsenal Team Overview
Just before the international break, the unthinkable happened-Arsenal failed to secure a victory, conceding two goals in a single match. Their historic streak of clean-sheet wins was halted at eight games, with Sunderland holding them to a 2-2 draw. Mikel Arteta's side dominated in all aspects and led the game despite conceding first, but the Premier League's surprise package equalized in stoppage time.
Let's highlight Mikel Merino, who earned a spot in the starting lineup following Viktor Gyökeres' injury. The Spaniard has been directly involved in three goals over the last two club matches (2 goals, 1 assist). Also, Arsenal's consistent leader Bukayo Saka continues to impress, having scored four goals in his last six appearances, including a strike against Serbia for the England national team.
Match Results: Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur Team Overview
Just three Premier League victories since the start of autumn highlight Tottenham's struggles. Their defeats have been crushing at times, such as the one against Chelsea (0-1), where their opponents racked up 2.53 expected goals while the Spurs managed just 0.16. However, in their last outing, Thomas Frank's side put up a solid fight, nearly ending Manchester United's unbeaten run (2-2). Richarlison's goal in the 91st minute seemed to be the winner, but his exuberant celebration turned into a meme.
Tottenham are grappling with numerous on-field issues. Xavi Simons, who was expected to make a significant impact, has yet to find his footing and often disrupts his teammates' play. Creativity flows solely from Mohammed Kudus, but his efforts alone aren't enough-Spurs lack a coherent attacking strategy. Nonetheless, they remain the only team unbeaten away from home in this Premier League season.
Match Results: Tottenham Hotspur
Latest news
Arsenal
🎙 Mikel Arteta on the significance of the upcoming match: "It's a big city, and the competition here is fierce. This is a part of London we want to conquer. And they want to do the same. It's just a fantastic match, especially when we're playing at home in front of our fans. We know the energy the supporters will bring and the energy the team will show in every action. Playing in such matches is a privilege. So we're eagerly looking forward to Sunday."
❌ Arsenal are potentially facing several absences. Kai Havertz remains sidelined, and the participation of Noni Madueke, Martin Ødegaard, and Viktor Gyökeres, who were already out before the international break, is still in doubt. The same goes for Riccardo Calafiori, who picked up an injury while with the Italian national team. Gabi Jesus has returned to training after a lengthy recovery but isn't ready to play yet. However, the main loss is Gabriel, who is out for approximately two weeks. The defender is crucial for the Gunners not only at the back but also moving forward.
Tottenham Hotspur
🎙 Thomas Frank shared his thoughts on the game against Arsenal: "It's a true derby. I'm very excited. Of course, I was aware of the North London derby even before joining the club. But once you're part of it, you realize how significant it is. It comes from the fans, the staff, the players, and the people who've been here for years. It's a big event. I always say the next match is the most important, but I understand there are two matches a year that are even more crucial-and this is the first of them. We're ready, eagerly anticipating the derby, and we'll do everything possible to win it."
❌ Tottenham fans might not be surprised by the number of injuries, but there are plenty of good news for them. James Maddison, Dominic Solanke, Dejan Kulusevski, and Yves Bissouma remain sidelined. However, the following players are back in training and ready to return: Lucas Bergvall, Kota Takai, Radu Dragusin, Pape Matar Sarr, Randal Kolo Muani, Ben Davies, Archie Gray, and the main attacking star-Mohammed Kudus.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The derby will be officiated by Michael Oliver, a referee who doesn't hand out yellow cards lightly. On average, he shows just 2.4 yellow cards per Premier League match. While derbies like Tottenham vs Arsenal are often rife with bookings, the experienced Oliver is expected to maintain control of the game. Thus, we're betting on under 4.5 yellow cards, a bet that has come through in Oliver's last 16 consecutive Premier League matches and in 12 of Tottenham's last 13 away games.
⚽️ Goal Predictions
Head-to-head clashes at the Emirates are synonymous with goals from both sides. The bet on both teams to score (yes) has hit in the last six encounters. With Gabriel absent, Arsenal's defense may not be as solid as it has been recently, giving Tottenham a good chance to find the net. After all, Spurs have scored in 8 of their last 9 away Premier League matches. A goal exchange seems highly likely.
🚩 Corner Predictions
This one's straightforward. We're looking at two teams that rank among the top three for corner kicks in the Premier League. Arsenal averages 6.82 corners per game, while Tottenham averages 6.09. In recent seasons, these teams have had no trouble surpassing over 9.5 corners in their derby matches. We expect this trend to continue this coming Sunday.
Editor's Prediction
It's crucial to understand that a derby is a match beyond context. Tottenham may trail Arsenal in nearly all metrics, yet they can rally for a single game and put up a fight. Much will depend on their motivation and mindset, which shouldn't be an issue for Spurs. However, we don't anticipate Thomas Frank's side extending their unbeaten away run here. Arsenal dominate in head-to-head clashes and should secure the win in their current form.
Will it be an easy three points? Unlikely. Gabriel's absence is a significant blow for Mikel Arteta. We believe that without their defensive leader, the hosts will concede, but ultimately tilt the balance in their favor with a 2-1 victory. Given these circumstances, we suggest betting on over 2.5 goals, a trend observed in the last six North London derbies at the Emirates.
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Betting Tips: Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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