Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction
🔊 The highlight of the 27th round of the Premier League is set to be the North London derby! Tottenham, under new management, will host Arsenal and aim to avenge their heavy defeat in the first leg. Can Igor Tudor make a statement with a big win in his debut? Bookmakers don't seem to think so, as they view the Gunners as strong favorites. We'll share our insights and predictions on this matchup with you here.
Head-to-Head
📊 Arsenal have defeated Tottenham in their last four official encounters. In the first round of the current campaign, Spurs had no answer for the Gunners. Back then, Thomas Frank's side managed just three shots on goal and were thrashed 4-1.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Tottenham Hotspur Team Overview
It's truly puzzling why Spurs' management took so long to part ways with Thomas Frank. The team managed just two wins in their last 17 Premier League matches, failing to secure a victory since the start of 2026. Only a direct berth into the Champions League Round of 16 offered a faint glimmer of hope. However, sitting 16th in the Premier League, just five points clear of the relegation zone, is simply unacceptable.
Thomas Frank's tenure ended with a 2-1 defeat to Newcastle in the last round. Yet, the choice of his replacement raises eyebrows. Igor Tudor has switched several clubs over the past few years and hasn’t established himself as a coach with serious ambitions. Nevertheless, his contract runs only until June 2026.
Match Results: Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal Team Overview
Arsenal have swept through the group stage of the Champions League, consistently triumphing in both English cups, yet they seem determined to let the Premier League title slip away once more. It's hard to fathom how a squad with such depth and quality has managed just two wins in their last seven Premier League outings.
This week, unlike their rivals, the Gunners faced the added challenge of a rescheduled match from the 31st round against Wolverhampton (2-2) due to the League Cup final. When Piero Hincapié made it 2-0 in the 56th minute, it seemed like three points were secure. However, Mikel Arteta's side faltered in the closing stages, squandering the victory. This marks the first time in Premier League history that a team leading the table has let a 2+ goal advantage slip against a team in the relegation zone. Bukayo Saka mentioned that the dressing room was filled with a sense of dejection.
Match Results: Arsenal
Latest news
Tottenham Hotspur
🎙 Igor Tudor on the upcoming derby: "We want to play this match in a way that pleases our fans, both in terms of the result and the style of play. I promise to give it my all, acting boldly yet wisely. Our goal is victory!
❌ Igor Tudor addressed the question of whether any injured players might return: "Probably not. Solanke has a throat issue, but he has managed two training sessions. As for the others, some might be back next week... At the moment, we have ten injured players, and we've been training with just 13 players. It is what it is. The situation isn't ideal, but we have 13 players, and that's enough to achieve the desired result on Sunday." It's worth noting that Tottenham's injury list recently grew with Wilson Odobert tearing his ACL in the game against Newcastle. Captain Cristian Romero remains sidelined as he continues to serve his suspension.
Arsenal
🎙 Mikel Arteta shared his thoughts on the derby: "We're eagerly anticipating the match. We need to show what we're capable of on Sunday. A new manager for them? I think this season we've already faced teams with a managerial change seven times. We'll have the opportunity to adapt. The key is what we need to do to secure a winning result."
❌ Arteta also spoke briefly about injured players: "There's a strong chance that Kai Havertz, Leandro Trossard, and Martin Ødegaard will be available. No new additions to the injury list." Thus, only Max Dauman and Mikel Merino remain sidelined for the visitors.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The North London derby is traditionally an emotional affair, characterized by numerous duels, fouls in midfield, and tactical halts to counterattacks. It seems reasonable to consider a bet on over 4.5 yellow cards. This bet has come through in 10 of Tottenham's last 11 home matches.
Moreover, the role of the main referee, Peter Bankes, is crucial. The Englishman is one of the strictest referees in this Premier League season, averaging 4.1 cautions per game. He's not one to hold back on cards in a physical match.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Tottenham typically play openly at home and stick to their philosophy even against top opponents. We believe Igor Tudor, in his first match, won't have the team defending for the full 90 minutes. Arsenal, on the other hand, are adept at exploiting high defensive lines and are strong on set pieces. Therefore, our pick is both teams to score (yes), which has played out in 6 of the last 7 Premier League matches involving Spurs.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams utilize the flanks extensively. Arsenal, in particular, often neglects central play. The stats are telling: Spurs average 5.31 corners per game at home, while the Gunners average 6 per game away. Hence, it's logical to expect plenty of corner kicks. We suggest betting on over 9.5 corners.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
Bukayo Saka is a pivotal figure in Arsenal's attack. He is traditionally active in derbies: numerous touches in the penalty area, 2-3 shots per game, and involvement in set pieces. A viable bet is over 1.5 shots on target from Bukayo Saka at odds of 3.65*. While it's not certain the Englishman will score, he will definitely threaten Spurs' goal and take initiative as a team leader.
😱 Risky Bet
If the match starts with end-to-end action, which is likely, there could be an early exchange of goals. An intriguing and justified risk is both teams to score in the first half at odds of 4.25*. For those feeling particularly adventurous, consider a scenario where Tottenham scores first but Arsenal stages a comeback to win. Bookmakers offer odds around 10* for this kind of bet.
👀 If the Match Doesn't Go as Planned
The most favorable scenario for the hosts would be an early goal followed by a defensive strategy to maintain the lead. How likely is this? Not very. However, we are considering a surprise scenario here. If Spurs lead at halftime and force Arsenal to open up, they will likely have opportunities to score in the second half. In this case, a bet on over 1.5 goals by Tottenham at odds of 4.3* could succeed.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
Taking into account Arsenal's dominance in head-to-head encounters and Tottenham's disastrous home record this season (just one win in their last 12 home games), we don't believe the hosts stand a strong chance of success. Mikel Arteta's side, having dropped numerous points, will approach the derby with immense determination, and only a few teams in the world can halt such motivated Gunners. With Spurs having just 13 fit players, they are unlikely to be among those capable of stopping Arsenal. Therefore, Scores24 predicts an Arsenal victory, with a final scoreline of 2-1.
Betting Tips: Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
