Nacional vs Cerro Port. Prediction 11 April 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Nacional and Cerro Porteno. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 23:30 11 April. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Arsenio Erico stadium in the city of Asuncion. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Cerro Porteno):
- ball possession percentage: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 1 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Nacional and Cerro Porteno:
- played 66 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 31, draws - 18;
- number of goals - 68 against 106;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.2, in the 2nd half - 1.44;
- average total goals in the match - 2.64.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Cerro Port.
Nacional Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 4 April 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Olimpia Asuncion, away team - Nacional). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Nacional vs Olimpia Asuncion):
- ball possession: 35% vs 65%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Nacional delighted their fans with 2 victories, settled for a draw in 5 matches, and lost 3 times.
⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.1, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.5, and the average number of goals conceded is 1.3.
Match Results: Nacional
Cerro Porteno Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 9 April 2026 as part of the Copa Libertadores tournament (home team - Sporting Cristal, away - Cerro Porteno). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal):
- ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Cerro Porteno gifted its fans with 8 victories, played to a draw 0 times, and finished 2 games with a defeat.
⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:
- total number of goals - 18;
- average goals scored - 1.8;
- average goals conceded - 0.8.
Match Results: Cerro Porteno
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 66;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 31, draws - 18.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.03, the guests - 1.61;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.64;
- both teams scored: overall - 35; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Nacional vs Cerro Porteno
- average total in the tournament: 2.6 vs 2.53;
- average total goals scored: 1.47 vs 1.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.73;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.93 vs 0.93;
- Nacional: average total at home in the tournament - 1.86;
- Cerro Porteno: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.5) vs 1.8 (away - 1.5).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 13 of last 15 Nacional games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 Nacional games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Cerro Porteno games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Cerro Porteno away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Nacional: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.47; at home field - 4.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; at home field - 6.75.
Cerro Porteno: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5, away - 4.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 3.33.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 66;
- both teams scored all-time - 35 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/90, 17.8%);
- Nacional at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Cerro Porteno away most often play: 2:3 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.12% (odds 5.51)
0:1 - 9.75% (odds 5.59)
1:0 - 8.34% (odds 6.26)
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Betting Tips: Nacional - Cerro Porteno
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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