Cerro Port. vs Nacional Prediction 15 February 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Cerro Porteno and Nacional. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 23:30 15 February. The tournament match will take place at the General Pablo Rojas stadium in the city of Asuncion. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nacional):
- ball possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Cerro Porteno and Nacional:
- played 65 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 31, for the away team - 16, draws - 18;
- number of goals - 106 against 66;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.2, in the 2nd half - 1.45;
- average total goals in the match - 2.65.
Head-to-head statistics Cerro Port. - Nacional

Cerro Porteno Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 7 February 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - 2 de Mayo, away team - Cerro Porteno). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.
Here's the game statistics (Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
- fouls: 2 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Cerro Porteno delighted their fans with 7 victories, settled for a draw in 3 matches, and lost 0 times.
⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.8, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.25, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.6.
Match Results: Cerro Porteno

Nacional Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 8 February 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Nacional, away - Olimpia Asuncion). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Nacional vs Olimpia Asuncion):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 1 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Nacional gifted its fans with 6 victories, played to a draw 2 times, and finished 2 games with a defeat.
⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:
- total number of goals - 18;
- average goals scored - 1.8;
- average goals conceded - 0.6.
Match Results: Nacional
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 65;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 16;
- Average first-half total: 1.2;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.65, while the visitors net 0.55.
First-Half Stats: Cerro Porteno (home) vs Nacional (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 1;
- wins: 2 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 0 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5).
- Cerro Porteno scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 65;
- home team wins - 31, away team wins - 16, draws - 18.
- Nacional won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 games.
- Nacional won with a +1.5 handicap in last 13 games (Primera Division).
- Nacional won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games.
- Nacional won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.02;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.65;
- both teams scored: overall - 35; at the home team's field - 20.
Statistics: Cerro Porteno vs Nacional
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 3.25;
- average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 2.25;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.25 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 1.25;
- Cerro Porteno: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Nacional: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.25) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
- Nacional have scored in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on corners
Cerro Porteno: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.75; at home field - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 4.75.
Nacional: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.25, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 6.
- Under 8.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Nacional games (Primera Division).
- Under 8.5 corners in last 6 Nacional games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 65;
- both teams scored all-time - 35 times;
- on the home team’s field - 20 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (4/24, 16.7%);
- Cerro Porteno at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 (1/2, 50%);
- Nacional away most often play: 1:2 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.71% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 11.81% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 9.35% (odds 8)
Editorial Prediction
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 8 Cerro Porteno home games (Primera Division).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Cerro Porteno games (Primera Division).
