Cerro Port. vs Nacional Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 15 February 2026

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Cerro Porteno and Nacional. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 23:30 15 February. The tournament match will take place at the General Pablo Rojas stadium in the city of Asuncion. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nacional):

    • ball possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
    • fouls: 9 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 3.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Cerro Porteno and Nacional:

    • played 65 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 31, for the away team - 16, draws - 18;
    • number of goals - 106 against 66;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.2, in the 2nd half - 1.45;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.65.

    Head-to-head statistics Cerro Port. - Nacional

    47%
    32 Wins
    28%
    19 Draws
    25%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    68
    Avg. total goals
    2.57
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.57
    Average total
    1
    Last matches
    07.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    3
    6
    7
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    7
    12
    0
    0
    11.04.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    2
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    3
    11
    3
    3
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    11
    3
    3
    2
    3
    15.02.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    9
    3
    1
    4
    3
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    3
    1
    4
    3
    5
    27.10.25
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    2
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    15
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    15
    3
    3
    08.08.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    1
    3
    17
    19
    1
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    17
    19
    1
    5
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Cerro Porteno Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 7 February 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - 2 de Mayo, away team - Cerro Porteno). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo):

    • ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
    • fouls: 2 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Cerro Porteno delighted their fans with 7 victories, settled for a draw in 3 matches, and lost 0 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 1.8, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 1.25, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.6.

    Match Results: Cerro Porteno

    Last matches
    04.11.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    10
    2
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    10
    2
    5
    W
    01.11.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    -
    -
    10
    0
    5
    12
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    0
    5
    12
    3
    4
    L
    25.10.26
    Primera Division
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    10
    4
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    10
    4
    3
    W
    18.10.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    1
    Sportivo Ameliano
    Sportivo Ameliano
    -
    -
    2
    1
    10
    12
    0
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    2
    1
    10
    12
    0
    3
    D
    14.10.26
    Copa Paraguay
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    -
    -
    13
    1
    5
    9
    2
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    5
    3
    -
    -
    13
    1
    5
    9
    2
    1
    D
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    Nacional Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 8 February 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Nacional, away - Olimpia Asuncion). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here are the match stats (Nacional vs Olimpia Asuncion):

    • ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
    • fouls: 1 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 5.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Nacional gifted its fans with 6 victories, played to a draw 2 times, and finished 2 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 18;
    • average goals scored - 1.8;
    • average goals conceded - 0.6.

    Match Results: Nacional

    Last matches
    07.11.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    12
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    12
    3
    2
    L
    03.11.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    11
    2
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    11
    2
    5
    L
    31.10.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Sportivo Luqueno
    1
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    5
    8
    12
    14
    2
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    8
    12
    14
    2
    2
    W
    24.10.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    5
    14
    11
    10
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    14
    11
    10
    4
    1
    L
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    10
    6
    11
    11
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    10
    6
    11
    11
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 65;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 6; number of draws - 16;
    • Average first-half total: 1.2;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.65, while the visitors net 0.55.

    First-Half Stats: Cerro Porteno (home) vs Nacional (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 1;
    • wins: 2 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 6 vs 3;
    • losses: 0 vs 2;
    • draws: 4 vs 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5).
    Trends
    • Cerro Porteno scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Cerro Porteno to score goal (odds: 1.92)

    Match Result Prediction

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 65;
    • home team wins - 31, away team wins - 16, draws - 18.
    Trends
    • Nacional won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 games.
    • Nacional won with a +1.5 handicap in last 13 games (Primera Division).
    • Nacional won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games.
    • Nacional won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Nacional Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.3)

    Total Goals Prediction

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.02;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.65;
    • both teams scored: overall - 35; at the home team's field - 20.

    Statistics: Cerro Porteno vs Nacional

    • average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 3.25;
    • average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 2.25;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1.25 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 1.25;
    • Cerro Porteno: average total at home in the tournament -  1.5;
    • Nacional: average total away in the tournament - 2;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.25) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
    Trends
    • Nacional have scored in 8 of last 9 games.
    👉Prediction: Nacional will score goal (odds: 1.64)

    Corners Prediction

    Cerro Porteno: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.75; at home field - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 4.75.

    Nacional: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.25, away - 4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 6.
    Trends
    • Under 8.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Nacional games (Primera Division).
    • Under 8.5 corners in last 6 Nacional games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (8,5) (odds: 1.98)

    Yellow Cards Prediction

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.08 (1.54 for home team and 1.54 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.97 (1.69 for home team and 2.28 for away team).

    Cerro Porteno: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.5; at home - 2.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 2.25.

    Nacional: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; away - 1.2.
    Trends
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 18 of last 19 Cerro Porteno home games.
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 17 of last 18 Cerro Porteno games (Primera Division).
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 15 of last 16 Cerro Porteno home games (Primera Division).
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 10 Cerro Porteno games.
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 12 of last 13 Nacional games.
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Nacional games (Primera Division).
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 7 Nacional away games.
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in last 6 Nacional away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6,5) (odds: 1.6)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 65;
    • both teams scored all-time - 35 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 20 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.85)

    Correct Score Prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (4/24, 16.7%);
    • Cerro Porteno at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 (1/2, 50%);
    • Nacional away most often play: 1:2 (1/1, 100%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.71% (odds 6.5)
    1:0 - 11.81% (odds 6.5)
    0:0 - 9.35% (odds 8)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in last 8 Cerro Porteno home games (Primera Division).
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Cerro Porteno games (Primera Division).

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-149
    Published: 14/02/2026, 00:24

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    Betting Tips: Cerro Porteno - Nacional

    Nacional have not lost:
    nacional-fcin 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    Nacional will not lose
    Everygame
    -112
    Cerro Porteno have not lost:
    cerro-porteno-1in last 18 games.
    cerro-porteno-1in last 15 games (Primera Division).
    cerro-porteno-1in 14 of last 15 home games (Primera Division).
    cerro-porteno-1in last 8 home games.
    Cerro Porteno will not lose
    Everygame
    -556
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    cerro-porteno-1in 19 of last 21 Cerro Porteno games.
    nacional-fcin 19 of last 20 Nacional away games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 14 of last 16 Nacional games.
    nacional-fcin 11 of last 12 Nacional games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin last 9 Nacional away games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -500
    Cerro Porteno have scored under 2.5 goals:
    cerro-porteno-1in 18 of last 20 games.
    cerro-porteno-1in 17 of last 18 games (Primera Division).
    cerro-porteno-1in last 11 home games.
    cerro-porteno-1in last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    Cerro Porteno Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -625
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 12
    +3
    +3
    13 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    13
    12
    Conceded
    10
    2.7
    Average total per match
    2.3
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats