Cerro Port. vs Nacional Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 September 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Cerro Porteño and Nacional meet in a Clausura fixture in the Paraguayan Primera División. Nacional come into the match in excellent form, going unbeaten in 13 of their last 14 league matches. Cerro Porteño, meanwhile, have dominated the head-to-head record in recent years. This is a fixture where the visitors' current form meets the hosts' historical superiority in head-to-head meetings. Whether Nacional can justify their status as favourites or Cerro Porteño will end their opponents' winning run is a question for the pitch to answer.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In 67 official meetings between Cerro Porteño and Nacional, the hosts have won 31 times, the visitors 17, with 19 draws. Cerro Porteño have scored 106 goals in those matches, Nacional 68. On average, the two sides score 1.18 goals in the first half and 1.42 in the second, giving an average total of 2.6 goals per game.

    Head-to-head statistics Cerro Port. - Nacional

    47%
    32 Wins
    28%
    19 Draws
    25%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    68
    Avg. total goals
    2.57
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.57
    Average total
    1
    Last matches
    07.09.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    3
    6
    7
    12
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    7
    12
    0
    0
    11.04.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    2
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    3
    11
    3
    3
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    11
    3
    3
    2
    3
    15.02.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    9
    3
    1
    4
    3
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    3
    1
    4
    3
    5
    27.10.25
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    2
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    15
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    15
    3
    3
    08.08.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    1
    3
    17
    19
    1
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    17
    19
    1
    5
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    Cerro Porteno Team Overview

    Cerro Porteño have had an inconsistent season, winning two, losing two and drawing one of their last five matches. Over the previous ten games, they won four, lost four and drew two - a record that points to a lack of clear dominance even at home. Their average of 1.41 goals scored per game and fewer than one conceded (0.97) suggests a balanced squad, but not one that stands out in either attack or defence.

    Match Results: Cerro Porteno

    Last matches
    04.11.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    10
    2
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    10
    2
    5
    W
    01.11.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    -
    -
    10
    0
    5
    12
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    0
    5
    12
    3
    4
    L
    25.10.26
    Primera Division
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    10
    4
    3
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    11
    10
    4
    3
    W
    18.10.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    1
    Sportivo Ameliano
    Sportivo Ameliano
    -
    -
    2
    1
    10
    12
    0
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    2
    1
    10
    12
    0
    3
    D
    14.10.26
    Copa Paraguay
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    -
    -
    13
    1
    5
    9
    2
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    5
    3
    -
    -
    13
    1
    5
    9
    2
    1
    D
    Empty
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    Nacional Team Overview

    Nacional arrive at this match on a strong unbeaten run: four consecutive wins following a draw, which is the best recent sequence of either side heading into the final stretch of the season. In their last ten matches, the visitors have won six, drawn three and lost just one, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game with a solid defensive record of 0.6 conceded. They have been finding the net regularly throughout the season - Nacional have scored in 14 of their last 15 matches.

    Match Results: Nacional

    Last matches
    07.11.26
    Primera Division
    Libertad
    Libertad
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    12
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    9
    12
    3
    2
    L
    03.11.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    11
    2
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    14
    11
    2
    5
    L
    31.10.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Sportivo Luqueno
    1
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    5
    8
    12
    14
    2
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    8
    12
    14
    2
    2
    W
    24.10.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    -
    -
    5
    14
    11
    10
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    14
    11
    10
    4
    1
    L
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    10
    6
    11
    11
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    10
    6
    11
    11
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Match Result Prediction

    Cerro Porteño have gone unbeaten at home in 10 of their last 11 Primera División matches, backed up by their season record on home soil: 8 wins and just 3 defeats. That consistent home form makes the bet on Cerro Porteño not to lose a logical one at 1.36*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Cerro Porteño have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches, which points to a clear low-scoring trend for this team. On top of that, their average of goals scored per match across their last 10 home games is 1.25. These figures make a bet on Cerro Porteño Team Total - Under 1.5 well-grounded at 1.42*.

    Risky Bet

    Nacional have been scoring regularly in recent matches, and Total Goals - Over 1.5 comes in almost every time. While Over 2.5 requires more goals, the visitors' average of 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches supports the case for the higher-scoring outcome. The average figures for both teams make Total Goals - Over 2.5 a risky but justifiable option at odds of 2.46*.

    Reliable Bet

    Nacional have scored at least one goal in 14 of their last 15 matches, which points to a high level of attacking consistency. Their seasonal average is 1.5 goals per game, and over their last 10 matches that figure rises to 1.8. This makes Total Goals - Over 1 at odds of 1.17* a very confident selection.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (14.57%), 1-0 (11.92%) and 0-0 (11.62%). All three options have similar probabilities, but a scoring draw comes out on top. This points to an evenly contested match with a moderate number of goals.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The pattern of this match is largely shaped by Nacional's confident attacking play - they rarely leave the pitch without scoring, thanks to a high conversion rate maintained throughout the season. Even without any particular pressure on either side in the table, it is the visitors who have been playing the more open football: a run of goals in almost every consecutive match backs up a strong trend running through this edition of the championship. Given the consistency of their attack, the main bet is built around Nacional finding the net at least once, regardless of the result. The bet is Nacional Team Total - Over 0.5.
    Nacional will score goal
    Odds-204
    Published: 05/09/2026, 13:48
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    44
    0
    33
    77 predictions
    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Cerro Porteno - Nacional

    Cerro Porteno have not lost:
    cerro-porteno-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Primera Division).
    Cerro Porteno will not lose
    Everygame
    -345
    Nacional have not lost:
    nacional-fcin 15 of last 16 games.
    nacional-fcin 14 of last 15 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 7 of last 8 away games.
    nacional-fcin 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    Nacional will not lose
    Everygame
    -179
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    nacional-fcin 11 of last 12 Nacional games.
    nacional-fcin 10 of last 11 Nacional games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 9 of last 10 Nacional away games.
    nacional-fcin 8 of last 9 Nacional away games (Primera Division).
    in 9 of last 10 Juan Gabriel Benitez games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -200
    Nacional have scored:
    nacional-fcin 14 of last 15 games.
    nacional-fcin 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin last 8 away games.
    nacional-fcin last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    Nacional will score goal
    Everygame
    -189
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 12
    +3
    +3
    13 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    13
    12
    Conceded
    10
    2.7
    Average total per match
    2.3
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats