Vasco Da Gama vs Fluminense Prediction

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Vasco da Gama and Fluminense. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 21:00 22 February. The tournament match will take place at the São Januario stadium in the city of Rio de Janeiro. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 14 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Fluminense):

    • ball possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 9;
    • fouls: 17 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 6.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Vasco da Gama and Fluminense:

    • played 56 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 24, for the away team - 14, draws - 18;
    • number of goals - 69 against 64;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.86, in the 2nd half - 1.52;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.38.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    42%
    25 Wins
    32%
    19 Draws
    25%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    59
    Total Goals Avg
    2.39
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.24
    Total average
    1.15
    2.29
    Yellow cards
    1.71
    Last matches
    19.03.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.00
    0.94
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1.00
    0.94
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    0
    01.03.26
    Carioca
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    -
    -
    1
    6
    24
    14
    6
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    6
    24
    14
    6
    3
    22.02.26
    Carioca
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    2
    -
    -
    6
    3
    11
    22
    3
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    11
    22
    3
    5
    14.12.25
    Copa Brasil
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    0.84
    0.69
    2
    9
    17
    12
    5
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    3
    4
    0.84
    0.69
    2
    9
    17
    12
    5
    3
    11.12.25
    Copa Brasil
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.38
    0.47
    8
    6
    3
    7
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.38
    0.47
    8
    6
    3
    7
    2
    0
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    Vasco da Gama Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 15 February 2026 as part of the Carioca tournament (home team - Vasco da Gama, away team - Volta Redonda). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Volta Redonda):

    • ball possession: 75% vs 25%;
    • corner kicks: 14 vs 2;
    • fouls: 11 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 2.
    🏆Throughout the Carioca season, the team Vasco da Gama has engaged in 6 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 3 wins,
    • 1 losses,
    • 2 draws.

    📈Currently, Vasco da Gama stands at a mid-tier position within the Carioca standings, with a win percentage of 57% and a loss percentage of 14%.

    ⚽️Vasco da Gama has scored a total of 9 goals. On the defensive end, Vasco da Gama has allowed 4 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Vasco da Gama

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    L
    27.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Barracas Central
    Barracas Central
    1
    3.21
    0.64
    7
    1
    11
    8
    2
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    3.21
    0.64
    7
    1
    11
    8
    2
    4
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    1.88
    2.59
    6
    6
    13
    14
    1
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.88
    2.59
    6
    6
    13
    14
    1
    3
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    2.46
    0.46
    13
    3
    3
    5
    2
    4
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2.46
    0.46
    13
    3
    3
    5
    2
    4
    L
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Internacional
    Internacional
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1
    1.29
    0.53
    3
    4
    17
    11
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1.29
    0.53
    3
    4
    17
    11
    2
    2
    L
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    Fluminense Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 16 February 2026 as part of the Carioca tournament (home team - Fluminense, away - Bangu). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.

    Here are the match stats (Fluminense vs Bangu):

    • ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 0;
    • fouls: 15 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 1.
    🏆Throughout the Carioca season, the team Fluminense has engaged in 6 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 5 wins,
    • 1 losses,
    • 0 draws.

    📈Currently, Fluminense stands at a mid-tier position within the Carioca standings, with a win percentage of 86% and a loss percentage of 14%.

    ⚽Fluminense has scored a total of 9 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 6 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Fluminense

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1.06
    0.26
    5
    4
    5
    9
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.06
    0.26
    5
    4
    5
    9
    2
    2
    D
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Deportivo La Guaira
    Deportivo La Guaira
    1.5
    0.79
    2
    1
    11
    7
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.5
    0.79
    2
    1
    11
    7
    0
    0
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    0.55
    0.7
    4
    5
    12
    14
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.55
    0.7
    4
    5
    12
    14
    2
    3
    L
    19.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Club Bolivar
    Club Bolivar
    2.66
    0.35
    5
    1
    14
    9
    5
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.66
    0.35
    5
    1
    14
    9
    5
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 56;
    • home team wins - 24, away team wins - 14, draws - 18.

    Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 4 vs 6;
    • win percentage: 57% vs 86%;
    • losses: 1 vs 1;
    • draws: 2 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 8;
    • losses: 3 vs 1;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Vasco da Gama won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 games.
    • Vasco da Gama won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 home games.
    • Vasco da Gama won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games (Carioca).
    👉Prediction: Vasco da Gama Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.17)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.23, the guests - 1.14;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.38;
    • both teams scored: overall - 33; at the home team's field - 16.

    Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense

    • average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.57;
    • average total goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.71;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 0.43;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1.29;
    • Vasco da Gama: average total at home in the tournament -  1.75;
    • Fluminense: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.33) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Vasco da Gama home games against Fluminense.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Vasco da Gama games against Fluminense.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 24 of last 26 Vasco da Gama home games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5) (odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    Vasco da Gama: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.43; at home field - 8.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; at home field - 9.17.

    Fluminense: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6, away - 5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 4.75.
    Trends
    • Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Fluminense away games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (8.5) (odds: 1.47)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.54 (2.27 for home team and 2.27 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.68 (2.12 for home team and 1.56 for away team).

    Vasco da Gama: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1; at home - 1;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.3; at home - 1.5.

    Fluminense: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.86, away - 2.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.5.
    Trends
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in 9 of last 10 Vasco da Gama games.
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in last 7 Vasco da Gama games (Carioca).
    • Under 5.5 yellow cards in 6 of last 7 Fluminense away games.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5) (odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 56;
    • both teams scored all-time - 33 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 16 times.

    Statistics: Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 4;
    • number of BTTS matches for Vasco da Gama at home - 2 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Fluminense away - 1 (33%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Vasco da Gama at home - 3 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Fluminense away - 2 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.74)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (7/45, 15.6%);
    • Vasco da Gama at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 4:2 (1/4, 25%);
    • Fluminense away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 , 2:3 (1/3, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 14.34% (odds 5)
    0:1 - 11.3% (odds 6.9)
    0:0 - 11.03% (odds 6.4)

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -141*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 February 2026, 21:24)

    Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Fluminense

    Fluminense have won
    fluminense-rj-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    fluminense-rj-1in last 5 games (Carioca).
    Fluminense Win
    Everygame
    +125
    Vasco da Gama have not won
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1fluminense-rj-1in last 6 games against Fluminense (Carioca).
    Fluminense have not lost
    fluminense-rj-1in last 8 games.
    Fluminense will not lose
    Everygame
    -312
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1fluminense-rj-1in last 8 Vasco da Gama home games against Fluminense.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1fluminense-rj-1in 6 of last 7 Vasco da Gama games against Fluminense.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in 24 of last 26 Vasco da Gama home games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1fluminense-rj-1in 21 of last 22 Vasco da Gama games against Fluminense.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1fluminense-rj-1in 11 of last 12 Vasco da Gama home games against Fluminense.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1fluminense-rj-1in last 7 Vasco da Gama games against Fluminense (Carioca).
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1fluminense-rj-1in last 5 Vasco da Gama home games against Fluminense (Carioca).
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in 13 of last 14 Vasco da Gama games.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in 8 of last 9 Vasco da Gama home games.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in last 6 Vasco da Gama games (Carioca).
    fluminense-rj-1in 10 of last 11 Fluminense away games.
    fluminense-rj-1in 6 of last 7 Fluminense games.
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Vasco Da Gama - Fluminense Table position

    Group stage Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    65019-515
    2.
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    63219-311
    3.
    Volta Redonda
    Volta Redonda
    63219-511
    4.
    Bangu
    Bangu
    63127-710
    5.
    Portuguesa
    Portuguesa
    62136-77
    6.
    Sampaio Correa
    Sampaio Correa
    62137-147

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 16
    -1
    0
    13 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    13
    16
    Conceded
    13
    3.1
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats