Vasco Da Gama vs Fluminense Prediction 1 August 2026
🔊 The first leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 goes to São Januário, where Vasco da Gama host Fluminense. The two-legged format gives both sides reason to be cautious - every mistake carries extra weight. Last year's Copa do Brasil finalists will want to build an advantage before the return leg, while the visitors will likely keep things tight and pragmatic.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the sides took place on 19 March 2026 and ended 3-2. Here's how the stats looked that day (Vasco da Gama were the home side):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Vasco da Gama and Fluminense:
- 59 matches played;
- home wins - 25, away wins - 15, draws - 19;
- goals - 73 vs 68;
- average first-half total - 0.86, second-half - 1.53;
- average match total - 2.39.
Head-to-head statistics Vasco Da Gama - Fluminense
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
Their last official match was played on in the South American Cup (Vasco da Gama at home, Independiente Medellín away). The match ended 1-0.
Match stats (Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 0.
In the previous round, Vasco beat Paisandu from Série C on aggregate (2-0, 2-2). Despite playing at home, Pedro Emanuel's side are slight underdogs for the first leg according to the bookmakers. Since reaching the Round of 16, the Giants of the Hill have played nine matches - two wins, two draws, five defeats. That said, they arrive at this match in decent shape: three games unbeaten. After back-to-back draws, Vasco picked up an important win over Independiente Medellín in the Copa Sudamericana, booking their place in the Round of 16 of that competition.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Fluminense Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the Série A (Fluminense at home, Bahia away). It ended 0-0.
Match stats (Fluminense vs Bahia):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 8 vs 1;
- fouls: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 11 vs 0.
Fluminense beat Operário from Série B in the previous round (0-0, 2-1), then played eight more matches - three wins, one defeat, and four draws in a row. All four of those draws finished with two goals or fewer. Overall, they've gone unbeaten in 10 of their last 11, but the away form tells a different story. Seven road games, four draws, three defeats. On top of that, in the first half of the league season they lost 2-3 to Vasco at São Januário. Fluminense have conceded in 13 of their last 14 matches across all competitions, so keeping a clean sheet against a local rival won't be easy.
Match Results: Fluminense
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.24, away side - 1.15;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.39;
- both teams scored: all time - 35 times; at the home team's ground - 17 times.
- Fluminense have conceded in 13 of their last 14 matches.
Corners Prediction
Vasco da Gama: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 7.5; at home - 6;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; at home - 5.67.
Fluminense: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament - 3; away - 1;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; away - 3.67.
- Vasco da Gama have taken over 4.5 corners in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches between these two sides.
- Vasco da Gama have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 matches in a row (Copa do Brasil).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results this season:
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (20/126, 15.9%);
- Vasco da Gama at home most often finish matches: 2:2 (1/1, 100%);
- Fluminense away most often play: 0:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm's top 3 predicted outcomes:
0:1 - 13.7% (odds 6)
1:1 - 12.81% (odds 5)
0:0 - 11.86% (odds 8.3)
- Fluminense have drawn 1:1 in 3 of their last 4 matches.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The first leg rarely turns into an open attacking battle, especially when two fierce rivals from the same city meet and know each other's strengths and weaknesses so well. Vasco da Gama will try to make the most of their home advantage, while Fluminense are expected to focus on controlling the tempo and avoiding defeat before the return leg.
Although both teams have been conceding goals regularly in recent matches, the knockout format and the high cost of mistakes should lead to a more cautious contest. Our main prediction is Under 2.5 Goals. The most likely scoreline is 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Fluminense
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in last 14 Ramon Abatti Abel games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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