Fluminense vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction 6 August 2026
🔊 The second leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama takes place at the Maracanã in Rio de Janeiro. The first match ended goalless, so the quarter-final spot will be decided here with nothing to separate the sides on aggregate. Fluminense now have home advantage, while Vasco will need to be braver going forward. For both clubs this is a big one - not just because of what's at stake in the competition, but because it's a derby. The first leg was cautious from both sides. One goal in this one changes everything.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the sides took place on 01 August 2026 and ended 0-0. Here's how the stats looked in that game (Vasco da Gama were the home side):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 20 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama:
- 60 matches played;
- home wins - 15, away wins - 25, draws - 20;
- goals scored - 68 vs 73;
- average first-half total - 0.85, second-half - 1.5;
- average total goals per match - 2.35.
Head-to-head statistics Fluminense - Vasco Da Gama
Fluminense Team Overview
Fluminense can be satisfied with keeping a clean sheet at San Januário. They had slightly less of the ball - 49% possession - but looked more dangerous in terms of chances created. The xG figures backed that up: 0.66 for the Rio tricolores against 0.33 for Vasco. The main issue for Luis Zubeldía's side was finishing. Fluminense had 12 shots but only two on target. Corners also went slightly in the visitors' favour - 3-2.
Now the picture shifts. At the Maracanã, Fluminense will be expected to take the game to their opponents and make home advantage count. They haven't lost at home in eight matches this season, and Vasco have won just one of the last 12 meetings at this ground.
That said, Vasco are the runners-up from the previous Copa do Brasil, and Fluminense arrive here off the back of five draws in a row. Favourites they may be - but they'll need to prove it on the pitch.
Match Results: Fluminense
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
Vasco came away from the first leg with a result that doesn't make life easy. They kept a clean sheet, but created almost nothing going forward - six shots, one on target - and now have to go through on the road.
The main job for Pedro Emanuel's side is to be more of a threat in attack. In Rio, Vasco can't just sit back and defend, because a draw sends it to penalties. They'll need to find ways through on the counter and exploit the space behind Fluminense's defensive line.
There's reason to think they can score, though. Fluminense have conceded in 10 of their last 11 home matches. The question is whether Vasco can make their chances count when they come.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Prediction on Total Goals
Head-to-head matches (average total goals):
- home team - 1.13, away team - 1.22;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.35;
- both teams scored: all-time - 35 times; at the home team's stadium - 16 times.
- Fluminense have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these teams.
- Fluminense have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 5 consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
Fluminense: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament: 3; at home: 5;
- last 10 matches: average total: 4.8; at home: 5.67.
Vasco da Gama: Stats
- season: average total in the tournament: 5.67; away: 9;
- last 10 matches: average total: 4.5; away: 3.75.
Prediction of Exact Score
Statistics of the most frequent results (current season):
- the most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/134, 15.7%);
- Fluminense most often finishes home matches with: 2:1 (1/1, 100%);
- Vasco da Gama most often plays away matches with: 0:2 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 15.69% (odds 3.5)
0:0 - 12.54% (odds 2.4)
1:1 - 11.32% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
At the Maracanã, Fluminense look the more likely winners - better possession, home support, and more quality in attack. That said, don't expect an open game from the off: the stakes are too high, and a single goal can change everything.
Both sides already showed in the first leg that they prefer a cautious approach in matches like this. The most logical bet, then, is on low scoring.
Editor's Prediction - total goals under 2.5. Fluminense have a strong home record against Vasco, while the visitors have conceded in each of their last seven away matches across all competitions. Predicted score - 1:0 to Fluminense.
No comments
Betting Tips: Fluminense - Vasco da Gama
in last 5 games..svg)
in last 11 home games against Vasco da Gama.in 11 of last 12 games.in last 8 home games.in last 12 away games against Fluminense.
in 9 of last 10 home games against Vasco da Gama.in 12 of last 13 home games.in last 7 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
