Necaxa vs Toluca Prediction 22 February 2026

    📣 The match between Necaxa and Toluca promises to be a spectacle. Both teams showcase different approaches to the game. Necaxa, sitting in ninth place on the table, are striving to improve their form after a string of disappointing matches. In their last five encounters, they have secured two wins but suffered three losses. Meanwhile, Toluca confidently hold the fourth position and boast an impressive unbeaten streak. Read the prediction for their clash below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Toluca):

    • possession: 56% vs 44%;
    • corners: 7 vs 4;
    • fouls: 11 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Necaxa and Toluca:

    • 36 matches played;
    • home team victories - 6, away team wins - 17, draws - 13;
    • goals scored - 37 for Necaxa, 62 for Toluca;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.25, second half - 1.5;
    • average total goals per match - 2.75.

    Head-to-head statistics Necaxa - Toluca

    16%
    6 Wins
    34%
    13 Draws
    50%
    19 Wins
    Total games
    38
    Total Goals Avg
    2.79
    Both teams scored
    58%
    1
    Total average
    1.79
    1.66
    Yellow cards
    1.53
    Last matches
    03.08.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2
    2.19
    1.26
    6
    2
    15
    10
    1
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    2.19
    1.26
    6
    2
    15
    10
    1
    2
    22.02.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Toluca
    Toluca
    0.59
    2.76
    3
    7
    8
    15
    4
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0.59
    2.76
    3
    7
    8
    15
    4
    3
    13.07.25
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2.95
    1.47
    7
    4
    11
    13
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    2.95
    1.47
    7
    4
    11
    13
    2
    2
    08.03.25
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Toluca
    Deportivo Toluca
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2.69
    0.91
    5
    2
    10
    14
    4
    5
    5
    2
    1
    2
    4
    0
    2.69
    0.91
    5
    2
    10
    14
    4
    5
    28.10.24
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Toluca
    Toluca
    0.84
    1.95
    13
    3
    13
    17
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0.84
    1.95
    13
    3
    13
    17
    1
    0
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    Necaxa Team Overview

    The latest official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring Juárez as the home team against Necaxa. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Necaxa vs Juárez):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 6 vs 7;
    • fouls: 10 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    Necaxa are in search of consistency this season. The team has delivered mixed results: out of their last five matches, they've secured two wins and suffered three losses. On average, they score 1.43 goals per game, indicating some struggles in their attacking play. However, at home, Necaxa often shows offensive prowess, though they also concede quite a bit, averaging 1.74 goals allowed per match.

    Match Results: Necaxa

    Last matches
    24.08.26
    Primera Division
    Pumas UNAM
    Pumas UNAM
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1.5
    1.54
    8
    4
    10
    12
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.5
    1.54
    8
    4
    10
    12
    2
    2
    D
    18.08.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Leon
    Leon
    1
    1.44
    0.88
    7
    3
    15
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.44
    0.88
    7
    3
    15
    14
    2
    1
    L
    13.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    New-York City
    New-York City
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    -
    -
    2
    5
    4
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    4
    2
    1
    4
    W
    09.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    -
    -
    4
    7
    1
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    1
    2
    3
    2
    L
    07.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Chicago Fire
    Chicago Fire
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    9
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    9
    0
    3
    L
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    Toluca Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament, with Toluca as the home team and Tijuana as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here's the game statistics (Toluca vs Tijuana):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corners: 4 vs 4;
    • fouls: 8 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    Toluca sit fourth in the standings, bolstered by their solid defense and efficient attack. Over their last ten matches, they have secured five wins and three draws, suffering just two losses, which underscores the team's high level of consistency. Toluca's strength lies in their balanced play: they concede only 0.9 goals per match while averaging nearly two goals scored.

    Match Results: Toluca

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Queretaro
    Queretaro
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    1.81
    1.56
    7
    6
    15
    8
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.81
    1.56
    7
    6
    15
    8
    3
    3
    W
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Atlante
    Atlante
    Toluca
    Toluca
    0.78
    1.02
    8
    7
    9
    7
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.78
    1.02
    8
    7
    9
    7
    2
    0
    D
    13.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Dallas
    Dallas
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    20
    1
    4
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    20
    1
    4
    W
    09.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    -
    -
    5
    2
    16
    12
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    16
    12
    2
    1
    L
    06.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Seattle Sounders
    Seattle Sounders
    -
    -
    12
    1
    10
    6
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    12
    1
    10
    6
    0
    0
    W
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • played - 36;
    • home wins - 6, away wins - 17, draws - 13.
    Trends
    • Necaxta have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 12 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings.
    • Necaxta have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 12 of their last 13 matches.
    • Necaxta have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 11 of their last 12 Liga MX matches.
    👉Prediction: Necaxa Handicap (+1,5) (odds: 1.43)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches (average total):

    • home team - 1.03, away team - 1.72;
    • overall - 2.75;
    • both teams scored: all-time - 21 times; at home ground - 11 times.

    Average Total Statistics: Necaxa vs Toluca

    • in the tournament: 3.17 vs 2.83;
    • goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.93;
    • 1st half: 0.65 vs 0.93;
    • 2nd half: 0.78 vs 1;
    • Necaxa: home in tournament - 1.36;
    • Toluca: away in tournament - 1.36;
    • last 10 matches: 1.9 (home - 1.8) vs 1.1 (away - 0.2).
    Trends
    • Toluca have scored more than 1.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Toluca Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.77)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • average total - 3.12 (1.56 for home team and 1.56 for away team);
    • average total at home ground - 2.67 (1.28 for home team and 1.39 for away team).

    Necaxa: Statistics

    • season: average total in tournament - 2.3; at home - 2.18;
    • last 10 matches: average total - 1.5; at home - 1.4.

    Toluca: Statistics

    • season: average total in tournament - 2.31, away - 2.79;
    • last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; away - 3.4.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4,5) (odds: 2.02)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • played - 36;
    • both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
    • at home ground - 11 times.
    Trends
    • Necaxa have both scored and conceded at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.72)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Toluca consistently generates scoring opportunities and boasts a potent attack, while Necaxa tends to play offensively at home. Therefore, goals from both sides seem likely, especially given the teams' average scoring records. Consequently, betting on both teams to score appears to be a reasonable choice for the upcoming clash.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    MyBookie
    Place a bet-145
    Published: 20/02/2026, 18:31

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    Betting Tips: Necaxa - Toluca

    Necaxa have not won:
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in last 10 games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in 6 of last 7 home games against Toluca.
    Toluca have not lost:
    deportivo-toluca-1in last 7 games (Liga MX).
    Toluca will not lose
    MyBookie
    -625
    Necaxa have conceded:
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in 14 of last 15 games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in 12 of last 13 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in last 7 home games against Toluca.
    necaxa-1in 26 of last 27 games.
    necaxa-1in 23 of last 24 games (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1in 11 of last 12 home games.
    necaxa-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Liga MX).
    Toluca will score goal
    MyBookie
    -222
    Necaxa conceded in the 1st half:
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in 7 of last 8 games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in last 6 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
    1st half, Toluca will score goal
    MyBookie
    -154
    Necaxa conceded in the 2nd half:
    necaxa-1deportivo-toluca-1in 6 of last 7 games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    2nd half, Toluca will score goal
    -
    View more facts

    Necaxa - Toluca Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Toluca
    Toluca
    17114243-1837
    2.
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    17106135-1636
    3.
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    17105232-2035
    12.
    Queretaro
    Queretaro
    1762919-2920
    13.
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1745824-3217
    14.
    Atlas
    Atlas
    1745824-3517

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 18
    -7
    +6
    16 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    16
    18
    Conceded
    10
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    58'
    View all stats