Necaxa vs Toluca Prediction 22 February 2026
📣 The match between Necaxa and Toluca promises to be a spectacle. Both teams showcase different approaches to the game. Necaxa, sitting in ninth place on the table, are striving to improve their form after a string of disappointing matches. In their last five encounters, they have secured two wins but suffered three losses. Meanwhile, Toluca confidently hold the fourth position and boast an impressive unbeaten streak. Read the prediction for their clash below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams ended with a 3-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Toluca):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 7 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Necaxa and Toluca:
- 36 matches played;
- home team victories - 6, away team wins - 17, draws - 13;
- goals scored - 37 for Necaxa, 62 for Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.25, second half - 1.5;
- average total goals per match - 2.75.
Head-to-head statistics Necaxa - Toluca

Necaxa Team Overview
The latest official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring Juárez as the home team against Necaxa. The game concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Necaxa vs Juárez):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Necaxa are in search of consistency this season. The team has delivered mixed results: out of their last five matches, they've secured two wins and suffered three losses. On average, they score 1.43 goals per game, indicating some struggles in their attacking play. However, at home, Necaxa often shows offensive prowess, though they also concede quite a bit, averaging 1.74 goals allowed per match.
Match Results: Necaxa

Toluca Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament, with Toluca as the home team and Tijuana as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Toluca vs Tijuana):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Toluca sit fourth in the standings, bolstered by their solid defense and efficient attack. Over their last ten matches, they have secured five wins and three draws, suffering just two losses, which underscores the team's high level of consistency. Toluca's strength lies in their balanced play: they concede only 0.9 goals per match while averaging nearly two goals scored.
Match Results: Toluca
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 36;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 17, draws - 13.
- Necaxta have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 12 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings.
- Necaxta have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 12 of their last 13 matches.
- Necaxta have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in 11 of their last 12 Liga MX matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- home team - 1.03, away team - 1.72;
- overall - 2.75;
- both teams scored: all-time - 21 times; at home ground - 11 times.
Average Total Statistics: Necaxa vs Toluca
- in the tournament: 3.17 vs 2.83;
- goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.93;
- 1st half: 0.65 vs 0.93;
- 2nd half: 0.78 vs 1;
- Necaxa: home in tournament - 1.36;
- Toluca: away in tournament - 1.36;
- last 10 matches: 1.9 (home - 1.8) vs 1.1 (away - 0.2).
- Toluca have scored more than 1.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters (Liga MX).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- average total - 3.12 (1.56 for home team and 1.56 for away team);
- average total at home ground - 2.67 (1.28 for home team and 1.39 for away team).
Necaxa: Statistics
- season: average total in tournament - 2.3; at home - 2.18;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.5; at home - 1.4.
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average total in tournament - 2.31, away - 2.79;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; away - 3.4.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 36;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- at home ground - 11 times.
- Necaxa have both scored and conceded at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters (Liga MX).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Toluca consistently generates scoring opportunities and boasts a potent attack, while Necaxa tends to play offensively at home. Therefore, goals from both sides seem likely, especially given the teams' average scoring records. Consequently, betting on both teams to score appears to be a reasonable choice for the upcoming clash.