Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction 13 July 2025
❓ The new season of the Mexican football championship (Liga MX) kicks off this week. In the opening round, Toluca will host Necaxa on their home turf. Recent encounters between these clubs have been highly entertaining and full of goals. Will they deliver another football spectacle for the fans? Check out the prediction from the Scores24 editorial team!
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on March 9 and ended with Toluca claiming a 5-2 victory. Here's a breakdown of the comparative statistics from that encounter (Toluca were the home side):
- possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
- shots on target: 10 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Necaxa:
- 35 matches played;
- home victories: 16, away victories: 6, draws: 13;
- goals scored: 59 for Toluca, 36 for Necaxa;
- average goals in the first half: 1.2, in the second half: 1.51;
- average total goals per match: 2.71.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Necaxa

Toluca Team Overview
The team's last official match was on May 26 against América, ending in a 2-0 victory for the "Red Devils".
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs América):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 0.
Toluca are known for their dynamic interplay across all lines and high pressing. One of the team's standout traits is their rapid transitions from defense to attack. By the end of last season in the Mexican championship, the "Red Devils" accumulated 35 points, clinched the top spot in the standings, and went on to dominate in the playoffs.
Match Results: Toluca

Necaxa Team Overview
The visitors played their last match in early July against Guadalajara. The encounter ended with a 2-3 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Necaxa vs Guadalajara):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
Necaxa are known for their creative style, focusing on ball control and combination play. The team's core principle is maintaining total possession. However, they face significant challenges defensively. Last season in Liga MX, the "Rayos" accumulated 15 points, finishing 13th in the standings and missing out on the playoffs.
Match Results: Necaxa
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- Total encounters - 35;
- First-half wins for the home team (at home) - 7; for the away team (on the road) - 3; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.2;
- Today's home side scores an average of 0.74 goals, while the visitors score 0.46.
- Toluca have scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches against this team (Primera).
- Toluca have found the net in the first half at home in 8 of their last 9 matches (Primera).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- Home wins - 16, Away wins - 6, Draws - 13.
- Nekaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 away matches (Primera).
- Nekaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap in 7 of their last 8 matches (Primera).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average goals scored by home team - 1.69, away team - 1.03;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.71;
- Both teams scored: overall - 20 times; at the home ground - 9 times.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Toluca's last 9 home matches (Primera).
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of Nekaxa's last 7 away matches (Primera).
Corners Prediction
Trends- Toluca have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Primera).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 35;
- Both teams scored overall - 20 times;
- At the home ground - 9 times.