Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction 13 July 2025

    ❓ The new season of the Mexican football championship (Liga MX) kicks off this week. In the opening round, Toluca will host Necaxa on their home turf. Recent encounters between these clubs have been highly entertaining and full of goals. Will they deliver another football spectacle for the fans? Check out the prediction from the Scores24 editorial team!

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on March 9 and ended with Toluca claiming a 5-2 victory. Here's a breakdown of the comparative statistics from that encounter (Toluca were the home side):

    • possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
    • fouls: 10 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 10 vs 3.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Necaxa:

    • 35 matches played;
    • home victories: 16, away victories: 6, draws: 13;
    • goals scored: 59 for Toluca, 36 for Necaxa;
    • average goals in the first half: 1.2, in the second half: 1.51;
    • average total goals per match: 2.71.

    Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Necaxa

    50%
    19 Wins
    34%
    13 Draws
    16%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    38
    Total Goals Avg
    2.79
    Both teams scored
    58%
    1.79
    Total average
    1
    1.53
    Yellow cards
    1.66
    Last matches
    03.08.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2
    2.19
    1.26
    6
    2
    15
    10
    1
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    2.19
    1.26
    6
    2
    15
    10
    1
    2
    22.02.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Toluca
    Toluca
    0.59
    2.76
    3
    7
    8
    15
    4
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0.59
    2.76
    3
    7
    8
    15
    4
    3
    13.07.25
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2.95
    1.47
    7
    4
    11
    13
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    2.95
    1.47
    7
    4
    11
    13
    2
    2
    08.03.25
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Toluca
    Deportivo Toluca
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2.69
    0.91
    5
    2
    10
    14
    4
    5
    5
    2
    1
    2
    4
    0
    2.69
    0.91
    5
    2
    10
    14
    4
    5
    28.10.24
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Toluca
    Toluca
    0.84
    1.95
    13
    3
    13
    17
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0.84
    1.95
    13
    3
    13
    17
    1
    0
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    Toluca Team Overview

    The team's last official match was on May 26 against América, ending in a 2-0 victory for the "Red Devils".

    Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs América):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
    • fouls: 13 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 0.

    Toluca are known for their dynamic interplay across all lines and high pressing. One of the team's standout traits is their rapid transitions from defense to attack. By the end of last season in the Mexican championship, the "Red Devils" accumulated 35 points, clinched the top spot in the standings, and went on to dominate in the playoffs.

    Match Results: Toluca

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Queretaro
    Queretaro
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    1.81
    1.56
    7
    6
    15
    8
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.81
    1.56
    7
    6
    15
    8
    3
    3
    W
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Atlante
    Atlante
    Toluca
    Toluca
    0.78
    1.02
    8
    7
    9
    7
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.78
    1.02
    8
    7
    9
    7
    2
    0
    D
    13.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Dallas
    Dallas
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    20
    1
    4
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    20
    1
    4
    W
    09.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    -
    -
    5
    2
    16
    12
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    16
    12
    2
    1
    L
    06.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Seattle Sounders
    Seattle Sounders
    -
    -
    12
    1
    10
    6
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    12
    1
    10
    6
    0
    0
    W
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    Necaxa Team Overview

    The visitors played their last match in early July against Guadalajara. The encounter ended with a 2-3 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Necaxa vs Guadalajara):

    • possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corners: 4 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 7.

    Necaxa are known for their creative style, focusing on ball control and combination play. The team's core principle is maintaining total possession. However, they face significant challenges defensively. Last season in Liga MX, the "Rayos" accumulated 15 points, finishing 13th in the standings and missing out on the playoffs.

    Match Results: Necaxa

    Last matches
    24.08.26
    Primera Division
    Pumas UNAM
    Pumas UNAM
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1.5
    1.54
    8
    4
    10
    12
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.5
    1.54
    8
    4
    10
    12
    2
    2
    D
    18.08.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Leon
    Leon
    1
    1.44
    0.88
    7
    3
    15
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.44
    0.88
    7
    3
    15
    14
    2
    1
    L
    13.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    New-York City
    New-York City
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    -
    -
    2
    5
    4
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    4
    2
    1
    4
    W
    09.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Philadelphia Union
    Philadelphia Union
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    -
    -
    4
    7
    1
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    1
    2
    3
    2
    L
    07.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Chicago Fire
    Chicago Fire
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    9
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    13
    9
    0
    3
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-head:

    • Total encounters - 35;
    • First-half wins for the home team (at home) - 7; for the away team (on the road) - 3; number of draws - 7;
    • Average first-half total: 1.2;
    • Today's home side scores an average of 0.74 goals, while the visitors score 0.46.
    Trends
    • Toluca have scored in the first half in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches against this team (Primera).
    • Toluca have found the net in the first half at home in 8 of their last 9 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Toluca to score goal (odds: 1.55)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 35;
    • Home wins - 16, Away wins - 6, Draws - 13.
    Trends
    • Nekaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 away matches (Primera).
    • Nekaxa have covered a +1.5 handicap in 7 of their last 8 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Necaxa Handicap (+1,5)(Odds: 1.42)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average goals scored by home team - 1.69, away team - 1.03;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.71;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 20 times; at the home ground - 9 times.
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Toluca's last 9 home matches (Primera).
    • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of Nekaxa's last 7 away matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2,5)(Odds: 1.49)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Toluca have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Toluca Total Under (6,5)(Odds: 1.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 35;
    • Both teams scored overall - 20 times;
    • At the home ground - 9 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(Odds: 1.56)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    In the last three encounters between these clubs, the total has consistently exceeded 3.5 goals. Moreover, each team has managed to find the net at least once in those matches. Considering the attacking styles of Toluca and Necaxa, we can reasonably predict that their upcoming clash will be a high-scoring affair. Both clubs are likely to kick off the new season with goals.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 10/07/2025, 08:10

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    Betting Tips: Toluca - Necaxa

    Toluca have won:
    deportivo-toluca-1in 9 of last 10 home games (Liga MX).
    Toluca Win
    Bovada
    -185
    Necaxa have not lost:
    necaxa-1in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga MX).
    Necaxa will not lose
    Everygame
    +141
    Toluca have not lost:
    deportivo-toluca-1necaxa-1in last 9 games against Necaxa (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1necaxa-1in 8 of last 9 home games against Necaxa (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1in 21 of last 22 home games (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1in 18 of last 19 home games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 12 of last 13 games (Liga MX).
    Toluca will not lose
    Everygame
    -667
    Toluca have scored:
    deportivo-toluca-1necaxa-1in 13 of last 14 games against Necaxa (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1in 23 of last 24 home games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 20 of last 21 home games (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1in 12 of last 13 games (Liga MX).
    Toluca will score goal
    -1250
    View more facts

    Toluca - Necaxa Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Toluca
    Toluca
    17114243-1837
    2.
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    17106135-1636
    3.
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    17105232-2035
    12.
    Queretaro
    Queretaro
    1762919-2920
    13.
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1745824-3217
    14.
    Atlas
    Atlas
    1745824-3517

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 10
    +6
    -7
    11 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    11
    10
    Conceded
    18
    2.6
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    8
    58'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats