Guimaraes vs Sporting Prediction
🔊 The clash between Vitória Guimarães and Sporting promises to be a true test for both sides. The hosts are showing mixed form, with a blend of wins and losses in recent matches. The visitors, on the other hand, are riding an impressive streak with seven victories in their last ten games, averaging 2.8 goals per match. Both line-ups appear balanced: the hosts have the potential to surprise with their counter-attacks, while the visitors are known for their attacking prowess and desire to dominate on the pitch.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 17 May 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here is the comparative statistics from that encounter (Sporting were the home side):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 14 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 7 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Vitória Guimarães and Sporting:
- 38 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 24, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 37 for Vitória, 83 for Sporting;
- average goals in the first half - 1.21, in the second half - 1.95;
- average total goals per match - 3.16.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Portuguese Cup, featuring Vitória Guimarães at home against ABC. The match concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Vitória Guimarães vs ABC):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 1.
Vitória Guimarães, currently sitting 8th in the standings, are showing promising form. Their last five matches have resulted in three wins and one loss, indicating progress. The team can surprise opponents on home turf with their ability to organize counterattacks. Vitória average 1.07 goals per game but also concede 1.21 goals, which makes them vulnerable defensively. In their most recent encounter against Sporting, they suffered a 0-2 defeat away from home. This result might serve as motivation to improve their performance.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
The visitors' last official match was on in the Portuguese Cup, where they faced Santa Clara away. Sporting came out on top with a 3-2 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Sporting vs Santa Clara):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Sporting, currently sitting second in the table, impress with their attacking prowess. Over their last five matches, they have secured three wins and suffered just one defeat, highlighting their consistency on the pitch. The "Lions" average 2.71 goals per game, making them one of the most prolific sides in the league. Their recent encounter with Vitoria ended in a convincing 2-0 victory, boosting their confidence ahead of the upcoming match. Sporting's ability to dominate away from home and their strong motivation to maintain their current standing make them a formidable opponent for any team.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Latest news
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
📝 Guimarães are playing decent football, though they can be a bit inconsistent. Their impressive attack might overshadow some defensive issues. This was evident in their recent match against ABC, where they unexpectedly lost 1-0. Should this be a cause for concern? Probably not, but it's worth considering.
❌ Oscar Rios and Gustavo will be absent. The defender and forward, respectively, are both key starters.
Sporting Lisbon
🎙 The 18-year-old João Simões scored Sporting's opening goal, securing a 3-2 victory over Santa Clara in the Cup. After the match, the midfielder shared his thoughts: “Santa Clara defended well and capitalized on their only chance to score... After that, we tried to fight back, gave everything to win and advance to the next round... We weren't particularly inspired, but our attitude didn't let us down... We gave it our all and allowed the game to go into extra time, even though we could have settled it earlier... Now we're focused on Tuesday's game because the championship is our main goal!!!”
❌ Zeno Debast remains unavailable, and Pedro Gonçalves will also be missing. Both are regular starters. Nuno Santos has been sidelined for a while as well.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 7; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.21;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.21, while the visitors net 1.
First-Half Stats: Vitoria SC Guimaraes (home) vs Sporting Lisbon (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- draws: 5 (71.43%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Average goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.43;
- Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 0.57.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 5 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.8 (scored - 1.5, conceded - 0.3).
- Sporting Lisbon have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 away games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 24, draws - 9.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 6 vs 11;
- win percentage: 43% vs 79%;
- losses: 5 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 7;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Sporting Lisbon have won in 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.97, the guests - 2.18;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.16;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon
- average total in the tournament: 2.29 vs 3.21;
- average total goals scored: 1.07 vs 2.71;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 1.14;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 1.57;
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes: average total at home in the tournament - 1.57;
- Sporting Lisbon: average total away in the tournament - 2.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.6) vs 2.8 (away - 1.25).
- Sporting Lisbon have scored over 1.5 goals in last 6 away games against Vitoria SC Guimaraes (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Vitoria SC Guimaraes: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.86; at home field - 5.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; at home field - 7.
Sporting Lisbon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.14, away - 8.43;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; away - 4.25.
- Sporting Lisbon have taken under 6.5 corners in last 6 away games against Vitoria SC Guimaraes (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 4 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 1 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home - 0 (0%);
- BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon away - 4 (100%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/129, 12.4%);
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Sporting Lisbon away most often play: 1:2 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 11.87% (odds 6)
1:2 - 10.41% (odds 8)
1:1 - 9.97% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given Sporting's impressive form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches while averaging 2.8 goals per game, it's reasonable to expect them to continue their successful run. Vitória Guimarães also perform well at home, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be crucial against the attacking prowess of the visitors. The head-to-head stats highlight Sporting's strong scoring record away from home. Therefore, the most logical bet seems to be over 1.5 goals for the visitors, considering their ability to score at least two goals on the road.