Rodez vs Montpellier Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 19 October 2026
🔊 Rodez's eight Ligue 2 matches have produced 32 goals. Montpellier's eight have produced just 13. The hosts have failed to keep a single clean sheet. The visitors have conceded fewer goals than anyone else in the league - just five. On Monday, one of these extremes will have to give. Which one?
Head-to-Head
Rodez beat Montpellier 1-0 in their most recent Ligue 2 head-to-head meeting, despite having just 40% possession and being outshot in dangerous attacks 68 to 38. Montpellier had eight shots on target to Rodez's three.
Montpellier have won two of their three meetings with Rodez, though the most recent went to the opposition. In all three matches, only one team scored. The aggregate score across those games is 4-1 in Montpellier's favour.
Head-to-head statistics Rodez - Montpellier
Rodez Team Overview
Rodez lost their previous Ligue 2 match away at Saint-Étienne, going down 2-0. Both sides had ten shots and four on target each, but the expected goals favoured the hosts - 1.60 to 0.74.
Rodez's problem is their defence: 18 goals conceded. Only bottom side Laval have let in more. Didier Santini's team have lost four Ligue 2 matches in a row and sit 17th out of 18. After a home defeat to Nancy, the manager admitted: "I'm a little ashamed to have conceded four goals." That said, in their most recent match away at leaders Saint-Étienne, Rodez looked more alive than the scoreline suggests. They lost 0-2, yet hit the woodwork twice. One header was tipped onto the crossbar by the home goalkeeper, and another struck the post. Santini said after the game: "We have improved."
Match Results: Rodez
Montpellier Team Overview
In their last match, Montpellier beat Grenoble 2-0. The expected goals figures were close - 1.44 and 1.38 - but the hosts had more shots (19 to 15), and their goalkeeper made five saves.
Montpellier have the best defence in Ligue 2, while their opponents have scored just eight goals in total. Zoumaná Camara's side sit fifth with 15 points and are unbeaten in their last three matches. Montpellier have more possession than any other team in the league, though converting that control into goals has been a struggle. Ahead of the match against Grenoble, the manager called for patience: "We need to make the opposition run, wear them down and be ruthless." That is more or less how it played out: Montpellier won 2-0, though they only broke the deadlock from open play in stoppage time. Nicolas Peï scored directly from a corner, and Mamadou Camara added a second from a counter-attack - his first goal for the club.
Match Results: Montpellier
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Montpellier's Ligue 2 matches are rarely high-scoring: seven of their last eight have had fewer than three goals. The visitors have scored in six consecutive away matches, though they have not managed more than one goal in their last five. Rodez have conceded in eight consecutive home Ligue 2 matches, yet they have only failed to score at home once in their last 17 matches. An exchange of goals therefore looks the most likely outcome. The risk lies in Rodez's home matches, where six of the last seven have featured at least three goals. However, Montpellier have conceded just five goals all season, so scoring twice against their defence will not be straightforward for the hosts. We are expecting a draw in which each side scores once. The bet is Total Goals - Under 2.3. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Rodez - Montpellier
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