Santos vs Sao Paulo Prediction
🔊 At the Vila Belmiro Stadium, Santos are set to host São Paulo in the 24th round of Serie A. This match carries significant weight for the hosts, who are fighting for points to climb out of the lower part of the table. Meanwhile, São Paulo find themselves in the top half, aiming to solidify their position in the Libertadores zone. The head-to-head history suggests a balanced rivalry: in their last five encounters, each team has secured two victories, with one match ending in a draw. The game promises to be a hard-fought and crucial contest for both sides.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 20 April 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (São Paulo were the home team):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 17 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 7 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Santos and São Paulo:
- 54 matches played;
- home team victories - 19, away team wins - 22, draws - 13;
- goals scored - 70 vs. 71;
- average goals in the first half - 1.22, in the second half - 1.39;
- average total goals per match - 2.61.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Santos Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in a Serie A fixture where Atletico Mineiro hosted Santos. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Santos vs Atletico Mineiro):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 15 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
⚪ In the 23rd round of Serie A, Santos held Atletico Mineiro to a 1-1 draw away from home. This marks their second consecutive draw following a goalless stalemate at home against Fluminense. Santos' central defender Jose Ivaldo was sent off in the 55th minute, and the team conceded immediately after. Santos managed to equalize in the 87th minute with a precise penalty from Tiquinho, setting the final score. With this result, Santos remain in 16th place in the standings with 23 points, maintaining a narrow one-point lead over the 17th position. The team continues their battle for survival, and every point dropped is critically significant at this stage.
Match Results: Santos

Sao Paulo Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Libertadores, facing LDU Quito away. The game ended 2-0.
Here are the match stats (São Paulo vs LDU Quito):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
⭐ In the 23rd round of Serie A, São Paulo secured a crucial 1-0 victory over Botafogo at the Morumbi. The only goal came from Juan Dinenno in the 7th minute, providing the team with redemption after their 0-1 defeat to Cruzeiro in the 22nd round. São Paulo currently sit in 7th place in the Serie A standings with 35 points, trailing the Copa Libertadores spots and Bahia by just one point. Following this match, the team traveled to Ecuador for the first leg of the Copa Libertadores quarterfinal against LDU Quito, but suffered a 0-2 defeat, leaving the outcome to be decided in the return leg at Morumbi.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Number of encounters - 54;
- Home wins - 19, Away wins - 22, Draws - 13.
Statistics: Santos vs São Paulo
- Matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 23;
- Wins: 6 vs 9;
- Win percentage: 27% vs 39%;
- Losses: 11 vs 6;
- Draws: 5 vs 8.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 5;
- Losses: 4 vs 3;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- São Paulo remain unbeaten in 9 out of their last 10 matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home team average goals - 1.3, away team - 1.31;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.61;
- Both teams scored: overall - 28 times; at home ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Santos vs São Paulo
- Average total in the tournament: 2.41 vs 2.17;
- Average goals scored: 0.95 vs 1.17;
- Average first-half total: 0.41 vs 0.57;
- Average second-half total: 0.55 vs 0.61;
- Santos: average home total in the tournament - 1;
- São Paulo: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): Home - 1, Away - 0.67.
- Santos have conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches (Serie A).
- São Paulo have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.14; at home - 5.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.4; at home - 4.6.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.96, away - 4.64;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; away - 5.67.
- Santos have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.04 (2.02 for home and away teams each);
- Average total yellow cards at home ground - 4.12 (2.12 for home team and 2 for away team).
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.59; at home - 2.8;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; at home - 2.8.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3, away - 2.64;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; away - 2.17.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 54;
- Both teams scored overall - 28 times;
- At home ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Santos vs São Paulo
- Total matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 23;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): Santos - 10, São Paulo - 11;
- Santos BTTS at home - 4 (40%);
- São Paulo BTTS away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Santos - 5, São Paulo - 3;
- Santos BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- São Paulo BTTS away - 2 (33%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Taking into account the current form of the teams, their standings, and head-to-head history, the upcoming match promises to be intriguing. São Paulo are in good form, consistently holding a spot in the upper half of the table and fighting for a Libertadores place. Santos, on the other hand, are battling for survival, remaining in the lower part of the standings and showing inconsistent performances.
The head-to-head history also favors the visitors: in the first round at Morumbi, São Paulo defeated Santos 2-1, with all three goals scored in the first half, showcasing early activity and control from the hosts. Overall, the "Tricolor" have secured more wins (22) than the "Fish" (19). Our prediction for the "San-San" derby: São Paulo will not lose.
