Palmeiras vs Fortaleza Prediction
🔊 This weekend at Allianz Parque in São Paulo, Palmeiras host Fortaleza for the 24th round of Serie A. The hosts are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last eight matches, and currently sit third in the standings after 21 games. Fortaleza, on the other hand, are struggling significantly with just 4 wins in 22 matches, placing them 19th in the table. The head-to-head history also favors Palmeiras, who defeated their opponents 2-1 away in the first round. We predict that the hosts will capitalize on their home advantage and consistent form to continue their push for the top spot in the league.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 April 2025 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (with Fortaleza as the home side):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Palmeiras and Fortaleza:
- 14 matches played;
- home victories - 6, away victories - 5, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 23 to 16;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.36, in the 2nd half - 1.43;
- average total goals per match - 2.79.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Palmeiras Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals, first leg (River Plate hosted Palmeiras). The match ended with a score of 1-2.
Here are the match statistics (Palmeiras vs River Plate):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 11 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
🟢 Palmeiras are confidently maintaining their form. On September 14, Abel Ferreira's team thrashed Internacional 4-1 at the Allianz Parque, with Vitor Roque playing a pivotal role by scoring a hat-trick.
🏆 Midweek, the "Verdão" played the first leg of the Copa Libertadores quarterfinal in Argentina against River Plate and secured a crucial 2-1 away victory, with Vitor Roque again netting the winning goal. This success has significantly bolstered their chances of reaching the semifinals.
⚪ In Serie A, Palmeiras sit in 3rd place with 46 points after 21 rounds, and they are unbeaten in 8 consecutive matches across all competitions, including the national league and the Copa Libertadores. The team shows consistency and is poised to continue their pursuit of leadership on all fronts.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Fortaleza Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in Serie A, Round 23, where Fortaleza hosted Vitória. The game concluded with a 2-0 victory for the home team.
Here are the match statistics (Fortaleza vs Vitória):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
⭐ Fortaleza ended their winless streak in Serie A by defeating Vitoria at home in the 23rd round (2-0). This was their first victory in the last seven rounds, boosting the players' confidence and earning them crucial points. Breno Lopes and Bruno Pacheco scored the goals that secured the "Lions" three points at their home stadium.
🦁 Following this win, Fortaleza remain in 19th place in the league with 18 points from 22 matches, as they continue their fight to stay in the top division. The team trails the safety of 16th place by 5 points, and while closing this gap at Allianz Parque will be extremely challenging, anything is possible in football.
Match Results: Fortaleza
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 14;
- First-half wins for the hosts (at home) - 3; for the visitors (away) - 0; draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.36;
- Today's hosts average 0.71 goals, while the visitors average 0.64.
First-Half Stats: Palmeiras (home) vs Fortaleza (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 10;
- Wins: 4 (36.36%) vs 2 (20%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 5 (50%);
- Draws: 7 (63.64%) vs 3 (30%);
- Average goals scored: 0.91 vs 1.1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.09 vs 0.7.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 2 vs 5;
- Draws: 3 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 1).
- Palmeiras have scored in the first half at home in six consecutive head-to-head matches against Fortaleza.
- Palmeiras have scored in the first half at home in five consecutive head-to-head matches in Serie A.
- Palmeiras have scored in the first half in six of their last seven matches.
- Fortaleza have conceded in the first half away in six of their last seven matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Number of encounters - 14;
- Home wins - 6, Away wins - 5, Draws - 3.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Fortaleza
- Matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 22;
- Victories: 14 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 67% vs 18%;
- Losses: 3 vs 12;
- Draws: 4 vs 6.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 2;
- Losses: 1 vs 6;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- Palmeiras have won their last 5 home matches (Serie A).
- Fortaleza have lost 8 of their last 9 away matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- The home team scores on average - 1.64, the away team - 1.14;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.79;
- Both teams scored: overall - 5 times; at the home team's venue - 3 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Fortaleza
- Average tournament total: 2.33 vs 2.55;
- Average goals scored: 1.52 vs 1;
- Average first half goals: 0.67 vs 0.5;
- Average second half goals: 0.86 vs 0.5;
- Palmeiras: average home total in the tournament - 1.55;
- Fortaleza: average away total in the tournament - 0.6;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 1.8) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
- Palmeiras have scored more than 1.5 goals at home in the last 6 head-to-head matches against this opponent.
- Palmeiras have scored more than 1.5 goals at home in their last 5 Serie A head-to-head matches against this opponent.
Corners Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average corners in head-to-head matches - 8.64 (5.14 for the home team and 3.5 for the away team);
- Average corners at the home venue - 7.34 (4.67 for the home team and 2.67 for the away team).
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.76; at home - 5.09;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; at home - 5.6.
Fortaleza: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 6.18, away - 5.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; away - 4.6.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.28 (2.14 for the home team and 2.14 for the away team);
- Average yellow cards at the home venue - 5.34 (2.17 for the home team and 3.17 for the away team).
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.24; at home - 2.18;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; at home - 1.2.
Fortaleza: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.91, away - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.6; away - 3.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 14;
- Both teams scored overall - 5 times;
- At the home team's venue - 3 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Fortaleza
- Total matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 22;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 10;
- BTTS for Palmeiras at home - 4 (36%);
- BTTS for Fortaleza away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS for Palmeiras at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS for Fortaleza away - 4 (80%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Palmeiras are in excellent form leading up to this match: the team are unbeaten in their last 8 matches across all competitions, comfortably sitting in 3rd place in Serie A, and recently secured an important victory in the Copa Libertadores. Fortaleza, on the other hand, are facing significant challenges: they've won just one match in their last seven league outings, currently sit 19th, and are fighting to avoid relegation.
The head-to-head record also favors the hosts: in the first round of the season, the "green and whites" claimed a 2-1 away victory. Considering the difference in quality, current form, and home advantage, a convincing Palmeiras win with a -1 handicap is expected.
Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Fortaleza
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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