Lazio vs Roma Prediction

Details
The main thing

    📢 What to expect from the Rome derby between Lazio and Roma, the highlight of the fourth round in the Italian championship? The clash at the Stadio Olimpico is traditionally a sell-out and captures the attention of football fans across Europe. Regardless of the teams' current form, the derby's atmosphere and intensity elevate the game to a unique level. Both the "Eagles" and the "Wolves" have had a shaky start to the season, but in such encounters, statistics often take a back seat.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The recent head-to-head history between Lazio and Roma shows a slight edge for the "Giallorossi": out of 43 matches, they have claimed victory in 21, while the "Biancocelesti" have secured 14 wins, with 8 draws. Last season's Rome derby was tense and fiercely contested: in the first leg, where Roma were the designated hosts, the "Giallorossi" triumphed 2-0, while the second leg ended in a 1-1 draw.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    31%
    14 Wins
    18%
    8 Draws
    51%
    23 Wins
    Total games
    45
    Total Goals Avg
    2.51
    Both teams scored
    47%
    1.09
    Total average
    1.42
    3
    Yellow cards
    2.91
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    1
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    21.09.25
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    2
    Roma
    Roma
    0.67
    1.23
    3
    6
    14
    22
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.67
    1.23
    3
    6
    14
    22
    1
    1
    13.04.25
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    Roma
    Roma
    1.34
    0.24
    10
    5
    12
    12
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.34
    0.24
    10
    5
    12
    12
    4
    2
    05.01.25
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    1.23
    1.32
    3
    10
    12
    19
    4
    5
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.23
    1.32
    3
    10
    12
    19
    4
    5
    06.04.24
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    -
    -
    3
    6
    13
    14
    5
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    13
    14
    5
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Lazio Rome Team Overview

    🔵 Before the season kicked off, many experts foresaw significant challenges for Lazio due to their transfer ban: the club was unable to bring in new players and had to rely on their existing squad. These predictions largely came true, as the Eagles had a rocky start.

    ❌ After three rounds, the team has only secured three out of a possible nine points, which is far from enough for a side aiming for European competition. The previous round was particularly telling, as Lazio fell to Sassuolo (0-1), a team that had just returned to the top flight. Moreover, the Eagles looked unconvincing on the pitch; according to key statistical metrics, including xG (0.86-1.22), they were outperformed by their opponents and deservedly suffered defeat.

    Match Results: Lazio Rome

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    Pisa
    Pisa
    1.2
    1.54
    5
    1
    9
    8
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.2
    1.54
    5
    1
    9
    8
    2
    1
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    1
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    Coppa Italia
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1.31
    1.09
    1
    3
    9
    11
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1.31
    1.09
    1
    3
    9
    11
    3
    4
    L
    09.05.26
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    0.71
    1.37
    5
    1
    10
    8
    2
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.71
    1.37
    5
    1
    10
    8
    2
    1
    L
    04.05.26
    Serie A
    Cremonese
    Cremonese
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    0.85
    1.04
    3
    3
    16
    13
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0.85
    1.04
    3
    3
    16
    13
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Roma Team Overview

    🔴 Roma are still searching for their rhythm following significant changes in their coaching staff. Gian Piero Gasperini, known for his attacking football philosophy, is trying to instill it within the team, but it's proving challenging in the early stages. All three of their opening matches ended with the same scoreline of 1-0, and not always in favor of the Giallorossi.

    ❓ After two narrow victories, the Romans suffered a home defeat to Torino (0-1) in the third round. Despite appearing quite aggressive in this match, Roma controlled 73% of the possession and took numerous shots, yet struggled with accuracy and finishing in the final third. This remains the primary issue for Roma at the start of the season.

    Match Results: Roma

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    1
    Roma
    Roma
    0.45
    2.66
    6
    6
    12
    10
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.45
    2.66
    6
    6
    12
    10
    2
    1
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    1
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Parma
    Parma
    1
    Roma
    Roma
    1.07
    2.53
    3
    7
    14
    8
    3
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    1.07
    2.53
    3
    7
    14
    8
    3
    0
    W
    04.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    W
    25.04.26
    Serie A
    Bologna
    Bologna
    Roma
    Roma
    0.71
    1.47
    7
    7
    10
    16
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.71
    1.47
    7
    7
    10
    16
    0
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Lazio Rome

    📣 Marco Ianni, assistant to Maurizio Sarri, admitted after Lazio's 1-0 defeat to Sassuolo that the team did too little to secure a victory: "We did too little to win. At certain moments, we controlled the game but played too slowly." According to Ianni, Lazio failed to display the necessary sharpness: "We created very few chances. Lazio need to be more aggressive in attack. It's a shame we disappointed the fans who came out in large numbers."

    🚫 Lazio are facing significant squad issues. Patric, Samuel Gigot, and Matias Vecino are dealing with muscle injuries, casting doubt on their participation in the upcoming match. Manuel Lazzari will also be unavailable to support his teammates, with his return expected only at the beginning of October.

    Roma

    📣 Gian Piero Gasperini, the Roma manager, noted that overall the team performed decently: "In some ways, we played correctly, but we lacked pace. In such evenly matched games, you can't allow the opponent to take the lead." Gasperini added that Roma struggled to create chances: "The team confidently controlled possession, but we weren't dangerous. When you hit a wall and can't break through with passes in attack, it becomes very difficult."

    🚫 Roma are also dealing with significant absences. Edoardo Bove remains sidelined due to heart issues, with no clear timeline for his return. Leon Bailey is dealing with a muscle injury, making his participation in the match uncertain. Paulo Dybala is recovering from a leg injury and is expected to return only by early October.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    The Rome derby has long been known for its cautious nature: in the last seven head-to-head encounters between Lazio and Roma, the total goals under 2.5 bet has consistently come through. Interestingly, both teams generally favor attacking football and often deliver high-scoring matches in other fixtures. However, in the derby, their style shifts - the rivals play with utmost caution, value every moment, and strive to minimize mistakes.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In the Rome derby, Roma rarely wins many corners - in the last seven matches against Lazio, the "Giallorossi" have managed no more than five corners. This statistic highlights the nature of the derby: both teams play carefully, invest a lot of effort in midfield battles, and rarely reach the corner flag. Therefore, our pick is Roma total under 5.5 corners.

    Editor's Prediction

    Bookmakers aren't marking a clear favorite in this upcoming clash, and rightly so. The Rome derby is traditionally a tight and tense affair, with neither team holding a significant edge in head-to-head encounters. These matches often unfold with caution and yield few goals; outcomes are frequently decided by a single moment or even a half-chance. Considering both Lazio and Roma are far from their peak form at the start of the season, a goal-fest seems unlikely. Under these circumstances, the most reasonable bet appears to be on under 2.5 goals. We anticipate seeing a scoreline of 0-0 on the board.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -161*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 September 2025, 20:00)

    Betting Tips: Lazio Rome - Roma

    Lazio Rome have drawn in the 2nd half
    lazio-roma-1as-roma-2in 7 of last 8 games against Roma (Serie A).
    2nd Half Draw
    MyBookie
    +130
    Lazio Rome have not won
    lazio-roma-1in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Roma have not lost
    as-roma-2in 23 of last 25 games (Serie A).
    as-roma-2in 11 of last 12 away games (Serie A).
    Roma will not lose
    MyBookie
    -244
    Lazio Rome have not lost
    lazio-roma-1as-roma-2in last 10 home games against Roma.
    lazio-roma-1as-roma-2in last 8 home games against Roma (Serie A).
    lazio-roma-1in 10 of last 11 home games.
    lazio-roma-1in 8 of last 9 home games (Serie A).
    Lazio Rome will not lose
    Everygame
    -208
    Lazio Rome have conceded
    lazio-roma-1in 16 of last 17 home games.
    lazio-roma-1in 12 of last 13 home games (Serie A).
    Roma have scored
    as-roma-2in 25 of last 26 games.
    as-roma-2in 24 of last 25 games (Serie A).
    as-roma-2in last 13 away games.
    as-roma-2in last 12 away games (Serie A).
    Roma will score goal
    -270
    View more facts

    Lazio - Roma Table position

    Serie A 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Napoli
    Napoli
    38237858-3676
    3.
    Roma
    Roma
    382341159-3173
    4.
    Como 1907
    Como 1907
    382011765-2971
    8.
    Bologna
    Bologna
    381681449-4656
    9.
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    3814121241-4054
    10.
    Udinese Calcio
    Udinese Calcio
    381481645-4850

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 15
    -4
    +11
    23 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    7
    2
    Draws
    1
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    23
    15
    Conceded
    12
    2.6
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.3
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    85'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    40'
    View all stats