Lazio vs Roma Prediction
πThe clash between Lazio and Roma promises to be a highlight of Serie A's 32nd round. Both teams are in decent form, but the key factor will be their tournament motivation, as they sit mid-table and aim to solidify their standings. Recent match statistics indicate that both sides tend to play cautiously with a focus on defense, which is reflected in their scoring records. It will be intriguing to see the tactical decisions from the coaches: will they opt for an attacking approach or prioritize a solid defense? Team line-ups will also play a significant role, as injuries could impact the outcome.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical preview of the official encounters between Lazio and Roma:
- 42 matches played;
- home victories - 14, away victories - 21, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 48 by the hosts, 60 by the visitors;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.05, in the 2nd half - 1.52;
- average total goals per match - 2.57.
The latest clash took place on 05 January 2025 at Roma's ground and ended with a 2-0 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Lazio Rome Team Overview
Lazio are still searching for their rhythm this season, currently sitting sixth in the standings. The Eagles are struggling with finishing, averaging 1.68 goals per match, and have secured only three wins in their last ten games, alongside four draws and three losses. Their style is built on ball control and quick wing attacks. However, they concede an average of 1.35 goals per game, placing additional pressure on their defenders and goalkeeper.
Recently, Lazio endured a disappointing match in the Europa League quarterfinals, losing 0-2 away to Norwegian side BodΓΈ/Glimt. Marco Baroni was outspoken about the team's lack of commitment. This result not only intensified criticism towards the club but also added tension in the Roman camp ahead of the derby against Roma. The coaching staff is expected to make adjustments to the lineup and field a different set of players.
It's worth noting that the Eagles will be without several key players. Nuno Tavares and Arion Ibrahimovic are sidelined until the end of April due to muscle injuries, while defender Patric is out with an ankle injury until mid-June. These absences reduce their defensive options and limit the team's wing play.
Match Results: Lazio Rome
Roma Team Overview
Roma are just one spot behind Lazio in the league standings and have no intention of backing down against their fierce rivals. The "Giallorossi" have put together an impressive run of eight wins in their last ten matches, showcasing remarkable defensive stability by conceding just 0.8 goals per game. At the same time, the team is known for exploiting open spaces on counterattacks, thanks to their swift transitions from defense to offense. Their most recent head-to-head clash ended with a 2-0 victory for Roma, which boosts their confidence heading into the upcoming derby.
Head coach Claudio Ranieri, despite his age, continues to lead the team successfully, earning the respect of fans. The club has not tasted defeat in the league since mid-December last year. In the 31st round, they were just a bit unlucky not to secure a home win against Juventus, finishing 1-1.
Regarding the squad, Roma have suffered two significant losses. Saud Abdulhamid is still recovering from a thigh injury and will not be able to assist his teammates until the end of April. More serious is the loss of Paulo Dybala-the Argentine playmaker is out for the season with a hamstring injury, depriving the "Giallorossi" of one of their key creative forces in attack.
Match Results: Roma
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 21, draws - 7.
Statistics: Lazio Rome vs Roma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of wins: 16 vs 15;
- win percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- number of losses: 8 vs 8;
- number of draws: 7 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 3 vs 8;
- number of losses: 3 vs 1;
- number of draws: 4 vs 1.
- Lazio Rome have drawn in their last 4 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 1.43;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.57;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Lazio Rome vs Roma
- average total in the tournament: 3.03 vs 2.48;
- average total goals scored: 1.68 vs 1.48;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.97 vs 0.97;
- Lazio Rome: average total at home in the tournament - 1.93;
- Roma: average total away in the tournament - 0.93;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1) vs 1.7 (away - 1).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Lazio Rome games against Roma.
Prediction on corners
Lazio Rome: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.77; at home field - 5.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; at home field - 7.
Roma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.48, away - 4.73;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 6.75.
- Roma have taken under 4.5 corners in their last 5 games against Lazio Rome (Serie A).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.8 (2.9 for home team and 2.9 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.95 (3 for home team and 2.95 for away team).
Lazio Rome: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.06; at home - 1.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.33.
Roma: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.61, away - 1.8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.6; away - 2.5.
- Over 5.5 yellow cards in last 5 Lazio Rome games against Roma.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 10 times.
Statistics: Lazio Rome vs Roma
- number of matches played in the tournament: 31 vs 31;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 20 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Lazio Rome at home - 12 (80%);
- number of BTTS matches for Roma away - 7 (47%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Lazio Rome at home - 3 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Roma away - 1 (25%).
Editorial Prediction
The match between Lazio and Roma, like most recent derbies, is likely to be a tense and cautious affair. These encounters are traditionally high on intensity but low on scoring opportunities - the under 2.5 goals bet has come through in the last six head-to-heads in a row. Both teams strive to play with utmost discipline to deny their opponent any chance - the focus on results often outweighs entertainment value here. Considering this consistent trend, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be a reasonable and justified choice.
Betting Tips: Lazio Rome - Roma
in 6 of last 7 games against Roma (Serie A).in last 4 home games..svg)
in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).in last 5 away games (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).in last 15 games (Serie A).in 11 of last 12 games.in last 7 away games (Serie A).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
