Roma vs Lazio Prediction

Details
The main thing

    📢 The Rome derby headlines Matchday 37 of Serie A. Clashes between these rivals are almost always fiery affairs, but this season the two clubs head into the fixture with very different agendas: Roma are pushing for a Champions League spot, while Lazio sit mid-table with little left to play for. Still, the Biancocelesti will be eager to throw a wrench in their arch-rivals’ plans. As always, the match takes place at the Stadio Olimpico, with the Giallorossi officially listed as the home side.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In recent years, the Roman derby has tilted slightly in Roma's favor: out of 44 head-to-head clashes, the Giallorossi have claimed 22 victories, with 8 matches ending in draws, while Lazio have come out on top 14 times. Earlier this season, Roma also emerged victorious in the first meeting, edging out their rivals with a narrow 1-0 win.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    51%
    23 Wins
    18%
    8 Draws
    31%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    45
    Total Goals Avg
    2.51
    Both teams scored
    47%
    1.42
    Total average
    1.09
    2.91
    Yellow cards
    3
    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    1
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    21.09.25
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    2
    Roma
    Roma
    0.67
    1.23
    3
    6
    14
    22
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.67
    1.23
    3
    6
    14
    22
    1
    1
    13.04.25
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    Roma
    Roma
    1.34
    0.24
    10
    5
    12
    12
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.34
    0.24
    10
    5
    12
    12
    4
    2
    05.01.25
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    1.23
    1.32
    3
    10
    12
    19
    4
    5
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.23
    1.32
    3
    10
    12
    19
    4
    5
    06.04.24
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    -
    -
    3
    6
    13
    14
    5
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    6
    13
    14
    5
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Roma Team Overview

    🔴 Roma head into their upcoming clash riding a wave of confidence. Over the last five matchdays, the Giallorossi have collected 13 points, dropping points only in a 1-1 draw with Atalanta, and have significantly strengthened their bid for a Champions League spot. After 36 rounds, Roma sit fifth on 67 points, trailing Milan-who occupy fourth-only on goal difference. Roma are still capable of finishing second in Serie A, sitting just three points behind, and several betting sites have already shortened the odds on the Giallorossi climbing even higher before the end of the season.

    🟡 In the previous round, Roma secured a dramatic and crucial victory over Parma (3-2), despite appearing destined to leave empty-handed. Trailing 2-1 in the 94th minute, the Giallorossi staged a remarkable late comeback, netting twice in stoppage time to snatch all three points. Once again, Donyell Malen was the standout performer, bagging a brace to seal the win.

    Match Results: Roma

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    1
    Roma
    Roma
    0.45
    2.66
    6
    6
    12
    10
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.45
    2.66
    6
    6
    12
    10
    2
    1
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    1
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Parma
    Parma
    1
    Roma
    Roma
    1.07
    2.53
    3
    7
    14
    8
    3
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    1.07
    2.53
    3
    7
    14
    8
    3
    0
    W
    04.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    W
    25.04.26
    Serie A
    Bologna
    Bologna
    Roma
    Roma
    0.71
    1.47
    7
    7
    10
    16
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0.71
    1.47
    7
    7
    10
    16
    0
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Lazio Rome Team Overview

    🔵 Unlike Roma, Lazio have struggled to deliver results this season. The capital club sit ninth in the Serie A table with 51 points, and their hopes of European football next season are already over-even a theoretical climb to seventh is out of reach for the Biancocelesti.

    ⚪ Lazio head into the upcoming clash in low spirits after suffering a defeat to Inter in the Coppa Italia final on Wednesday (0-2). The Eagles were second best throughout, but what stings most is that they played a direct role in both goals conceded: first, Marušić put the ball into his own net, and then Tavares lost possession in his own box, gifting Inter their second. With such a backdrop, it will be a tall order for Lazio to produce quality football in the derby.

    Match Results: Lazio Rome

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    Pisa
    Pisa
    1.2
    1.54
    5
    1
    9
    8
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.2
    1.54
    5
    1
    9
    8
    2
    1
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    1
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.55
    0.64
    9
    3
    15
    17
    2
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    Coppa Italia
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1.31
    1.09
    1
    3
    9
    11
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1.31
    1.09
    1
    3
    9
    11
    3
    4
    L
    09.05.26
    Serie A
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    1
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    0.71
    1.37
    5
    1
    10
    8
    2
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.71
    1.37
    5
    1
    10
    8
    2
    1
    L
    04.05.26
    Serie A
    Cremonese
    Cremonese
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    0.85
    1.04
    3
    3
    16
    13
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0.85
    1.04
    3
    3
    16
    13
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Roma

    🚫 The hosts have only minor squad concerns: Brian Zaragoza and Evan Ferguson are sidelined with injuries, with the latter ruled out for the rest of the season. However, these absences are unlikely to have a significant impact.

    Lazio Rome

    🚫 The visitors also have a relatively short injury list: Ivan Provedel is sidelined for the rest of the season, while Alessio Romagnoli will miss this match after picking up a red card in the previous round.

    📌 While Provedel’s absence no longer seems like a major blow to their goalkeeping options, Romagnoli could be a significant miss. A closer look at the Roman club’s recent matches shows that he is an experienced centre-back who consistently plays the full 90 minutes.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Roma have been strong starters, scoring at least once before halftime in each of their last six Serie A fixtures. It's also worth noting that the Giallorossi have found a way past Lazio's defence in the opening 45 minutes in six of their previous seven home league derbies. Given these trends, backing Roma to score in the first half at odds of 1.66* looks like a well-founded prediction.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    For those who prefer betting on set pieces, the over 8.5 total corners market is worth considering. This bet has landed in seven of Roma's last eight matches. In the reverse fixture, the two sides combined for exactly nine corners. The odds are also attractive at 1.62*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Editor’s Prediction

    According to the bookmakers, Roma are clear favourites heading into this clash-and with good reason, given the current league standings. Lazio have endured a disappointing campaign, and their defeat in the Coppa Italia final has only dented the Eagles’ confidence further. For Roma, three points are absolutely vital as they chase a Champions League spot, leaving them with no room for error in a fixture like this. Our main bet is on a Roma win. Predicted score: 2-0.
    Our choice
    Roma Win at odds of -196*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (14 May 2026, 23:26)

    Betting Tips: Roma - Lazio Rome

    Roma have drawn in the 2nd half
    as-roma-2lazio-roma-1in 8 of last 9 games against Lazio Rome (Serie A).
    2nd Half Draw
    MyBookie
    +165
    Roma have not lost
    as-roma-2lazio-roma-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Lazio Rome (Serie A).
    as-roma-2in last 11 home games (Serie A).
    as-roma-2in 9 of last 10 home games.
    Roma will not lose
    Everygame
    -833
    Roma have scored
    as-roma-2lazio-roma-1in 17 of last 18 home games against Lazio Rome (Serie A).
    as-roma-2lazio-roma-1in 12 of last 13 home games against Lazio Rome.
    as-roma-2in last 15 games.
    as-roma-2in last 14 home games.
    as-roma-2in last 13 games (Serie A).
    as-roma-2in last 11 home games (Serie A).
    Roma will score goal
    -833
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    as-roma-2lazio-roma-1in last 6 Roma home games against Lazio Rome (Serie A).
    lazio-roma-1in 17 of last 18 Lazio Rome away games (Serie A).
    lazio-roma-1in 11 of last 12 Lazio Rome games (Serie A).
    lazio-roma-1in 10 of last 11 Lazio Rome games.
    lazio-roma-1in last 8 Lazio Rome away games.
    in 13 of last 15 Fabio Maresca games (in the Serie A).
    in last 5 Fabio Maresca games.
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Roma - Lazio Table position

    Serie A 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Napoli
    Napoli
    38237858-3676
    3.
    Roma
    Roma
    382341159-3173
    4.
    Como 1907
    Como 1907
    382011765-2971
    8.
    Bologna
    Bologna
    381681449-4656
    9.
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    3814121241-4054
    10.
    Udinese Calcio
    Udinese Calcio
    381481645-4850

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 23
    Conceded - 12
    +11
    -4
    11 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    23
    Scored
    11
    12
    Conceded
    15
    3.5
    Match goals average
    2.6
    2.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    40'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    85'
    View all stats