Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction 21 September 2025

    📢 What twist will the game between Independiente and San Lorenzo take in the 9th round of the Primera? Independiente are currently going through a rough patch, struggling like a student during finals, desperately trying to climb out of the basement of the standings. In contrast, San Lorenzo are looking strong on the pitch and aim to exploit their opponent's weaknesses in attack to solidify their position among the leaders. One thing is certain-the tactical duel promises to be thrilling!

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 08 March 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - San Lorenzo):

    • ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
    • fouls: 7 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente and San Lorenzo:

    • played 34 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 13, draws - 12;
    • number of goals - 32 against 35;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.94, in the 2nd half - 1.03;
    • average total goals in the match - 1.97.

    Head-to-head statistics Independiente - San Lorenzo

    27%
    10 Wins
    38%
    14 Draws
    35%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    37
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    51%
    0.97
    Total average
    1.03
    Last matches
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1.16
    0.49
    8
    6
    12
    17
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.16
    0.49
    8
    6
    12
    17
    2
    3
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    2.77
    1.76
    7
    4
    13
    19
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.77
    1.76
    7
    4
    13
    19
    2
    4
    21.09.25
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    0.15
    0.86
    1
    3
    17
    23
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.15
    0.86
    1
    3
    17
    23
    1
    1
    08.03.25
    PRI
    CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
    CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
    CA Independiente Avellaneda
    CA Independiente Avellaneda
    1.56
    0.35
    3
    6
    7
    15
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.56
    0.35
    3
    6
    7
    15
    1
    2
    03.08.24
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    -
    -
    2
    7
    18
    13
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    7
    18
    13
    4
    3
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    Independiente Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Independiente, away team - Banfield). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Independiente vs Banfield):

    • ball possession: 68% vs 32%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
    • fouls: 10 vs 23;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    Independiente can't boast about their consistency, having secured just one win in their last ten matches (1 win, 6 losses, 3 draws). They face numerous challenges: averaging only 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.2 over the same period. This has left the team at the bottom of the standings. The "Reds" aim to dominate on the pitch by controlling possession. However, their success often hinges on maintaining focus, and any lapse in concentration proves costly.

    Match Results: Independiente

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1.25
    0.33
    6
    1
    11
    12
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.25
    0.33
    6
    1
    11
    12
    2
    4
    W
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1.16
    0.49
    8
    6
    12
    17
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.16
    0.49
    8
    6
    12
    17
    2
    3
    D
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Central Cordoba
    Central Cordoba
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1.67
    1.64
    11
    3
    9
    8
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.67
    1.64
    11
    3
    9
    8
    0
    1
    W
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    Gimnasia Y Esgrima Mendoza
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.98
    0.9
    7
    4
    7
    15
    1
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Independiente Rivadavia
    Independiente Rivadavia
    0.91
    0.74
    11
    3
    8
    12
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.91
    0.74
    11
    3
    8
    12
    2
    3
    D
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    San Lorenzo Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Racing Club Avellaneda, away - San Lorenzo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

    Here are the match stats (San Lorenzo vs Racing Club Avellaneda):

    • ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
    • fouls: 12 vs 21;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    San Lorenzo approach their upcoming match riding a wave of solid performances, having secured four wins in their last ten outings (4 wins, 3 losses, 3 draws). They rely on a robust defense, conceding just 0.6 goals per game recently, while utilizing swift counterattacks to achieve their objectives. Historically, in head-to-head encounters against Independiente, the "Blues" have consistently managed to secure positive outcomes.

    Match Results: San Lorenzo

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Primera Division
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    0.15
    2.04
    2
    8
    15
    13
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.15
    2.04
    2
    8
    15
    13
    2
    3
    L
    13.09.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1.16
    0.49
    8
    6
    12
    17
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.16
    0.49
    8
    6
    12
    17
    2
    3
    D
    05.09.26
    Primera Division
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1
    1.89
    1.22
    6
    4
    12
    14
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.89
    1.22
    6
    4
    12
    14
    2
    1
    W
    01.09.26
    Primera Division
    Instituto AC Cordoba
    Instituto AC Cordoba
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1.87
    0.39
    11
    1
    8
    11
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.87
    0.39
    11
    1
    8
    11
    2
    5
    L
    21.08.26
    Primera Division
    Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
    Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    0.35
    0.66
    0
    1
    18
    4
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.35
    0.66
    0
    1
    18
    4
    3
    1
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 34;
    • home team wins - 9, away team wins - 13, draws - 12.
    👉Prediction: San Lorenzo Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.26)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.94, the guests - 1.03;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.97;
    • both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 6.

    Statistics: Independiente vs San Lorenzo

    • average total in the tournament: 1.88 vs 1.48;
    • average total goals scored: 1.12 vs 0.81;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.46 vs 0.3;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.52;
    • Independiente: average total at home in the tournament -  1.38;
    • San Lorenzo: average total away in the tournament - 0.69;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.6 (home - 0.33) vs 0.5 (away - 0.75).
    Trends
    • Independiente have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against San Lorenzo.
    👉Prediction: San Lorenzo will score goal(odds: 1.87)

    Prediction on corners

    Independiente: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.58; at home field - 5.23;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; at home field - 3.33.

    San Lorenzo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.3, away - 4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 4.
    Trends
    • San Lorenzo have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Independiente (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - San Lorenzo Total Over (3,5)(odds: 1.77)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.94 (1.47 for home team and 1.47 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.13 (1.33 for home team and 1.8 for away team).

    Independiente: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.88; at home - 2.15;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home - 2.33.

    San Lorenzo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.93, away - 2.85;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 34;
    • both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 6 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No)(odds: 1.46)

    Editor's Prediction

    Independiente enter the match as favorites, but the current form of the teams differs: the hosts have been inconsistent, while San Lorenzo are playing more cohesive football. Adding to this is the head-to-head record-Independiente have conceded in seven of the last eight matches on their home turf against San Lorenzo. This trend increases the likelihood of the visitors' attack succeeding this time as well, making a bet on a San Lorenzo goal a reasonable choice.

    San Lorenzo will score goal
    Odds-123
    Published: 19/09/2025, 18:24

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    Betting Tips: Independiente - San Lorenzo

    Independiente have drawn in the 2nd half:
    ca-independienteca-san-lorenzoin 7 of last 8 games against San Lorenzo (Primera Division).
    ca-independienteca-san-lorenzoin last 6 home games against San Lorenzo.
    ca-independienteca-san-lorenzoin last 5 home games against San Lorenzo (Primera Division).
    ca-independientein last 6 games (Primera Division).
    ca-independientein last 5 games.
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +100
    Independiente have not won:
    ca-independienteca-san-lorenzoin 12 of last 13 home games against San Lorenzo (Primera Division).
    ca-independientein last 9 games.
    ca-independientein last 8 games (Primera Division).
    San Lorenzo will not lose
    Everygame
    -159
    Independiente have not lost:
    ca-independienteca-san-lorenzoin 7 of last 8 games against San Lorenzo.
    ca-independienteca-san-lorenzoin last 6 games against San Lorenzo (Primera Division).
    ca-independientein 22 of last 24 home games.
    ca-independientein 18 of last 20 home games (Primera Division).
    Independiente will not lose
    Everygame
    -455
    Under 2.5 goals scored:
    ca-independienteca-san-lorenzoin 12 of last 14 Independiente home games against San Lorenzo.
    ca-independientein 6 of last 7 Independiente games.
    ca-san-lorenzoin 18 of last 20 San Lorenzo away games (Primera Division).
    ca-san-lorenzoin 7 of last 8 San Lorenzo games.
    ca-san-lorenzoin 6 of last 7 San Lorenzo games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -333
    View more facts

    Independiente - San Lorenzo Table position

    Apertura Group B
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    16105122-835
    2.
    River Plate
    River Plate
    1687121-931
    3.
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1685323-1229
    4.
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1676314-1027
    5.
    Deportivo Riestra
    Deportivo Riestra
    1659213-724

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 12
    -4
    -4
    4 - Scored
    8 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    4
    12
    Conceded
    8
    2
    Match goals average
    1.2
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.4
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.8
    3
    Both teams scored
    1
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    225'
    View all stats