Shinnik vs SKA-Khabarovsk Prediction 27 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔉 Shinnik come into this match on a run of three draws, one win and one defeat from their last five games. The team sit in mid-table in the First League and have not been picking up points consistently at home. SKA-Khabarovsk are bottom of the table and in the relegation zone, which means the visitors need to be focused and will be looking to take at least a point. Neither side has been playing with any real confidence in recent weeks, and the gap between them is reflected more in the visitors' motivation to avoid another defeat than anything else.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In official matches between Shinnik and SKA-Khabarovsk, the two sides have met 34 times. The hosts have won 14 of those meetings, the visitors 12, with 8 draws. Shinnik have a slight edge in goals scored - 47 against 42. On average, 1.21 goals have been scored in the first half and 1.41 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.62 goals.

    Head-to-head statistics Shinnik - SKA-Khabarovsk

    40%
    14 Wins
    26%
    9 Draws
    34%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    35
    Total Goals Avg
    2.54
    Both teams scored
    46%
    1.34
    Total average
    1.2
    Last matches
    27.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    4
    26.04.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    16
    0
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    16
    0
    2
    05.10.25
    FNL
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    -
    -
    0
    14
    -
    -
    2
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    0
    14
    -
    -
    2
    0
    09.03.25
    FNL
    FC Shinnik Yaroslavl
    FC Shinnik Yaroslavl
    FC Ska-Khabarovsk
    FC Ska-Khabarovsk
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10.08.24
    FNL
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    2
    Empty
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    Shinnik Yaroslavl Team Overview

    Shinnik have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten matches, which means they cannot be considered a clear favourite even at home. On average the club score 1.3 goals per game and concede 1.1, though their home scoring has only occasionally been above that level: just one win from their last seven home attempts reflects a pattern of regularly dropping points in front of their own supporters. Their league objective - closing the gap to the automatic promotion places - remains theoretical for now: nine points off the required position, with motivation appearing low at this stage of the season, makes for an unimpressive run of results.

    Match Results: Shinnik Yaroslavl

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    4
    D
    18.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Kamaz
    Kamaz
    -
    -
    10
    1
    15
    13
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    15
    13
    3
    3
    L
    14.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    Ural Yekaterinburg
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    5
    4
    D
    10.09.26
    Russian Cup
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Torpedo Moscow
    Torpedo Moscow
    -
    -
    1
    2
    10
    14
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    2
    10
    14
    2
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Rotor Volgograd
    Rotor Volgograd
    -
    -
    6
    2
    13
    17
    4
    6
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    2
    13
    17
    4
    6
    D
    Empty
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    SKA-Khabarovsk Team Overview

    SKA-Khabarovsk are having an extremely difficult season: two draws and one win against seven defeats in their last ten matches point to problems across all areas of the pitch. Their average of 1.9 goals conceded per game is a concern, though their attacking potential gives them a reasonable chance of scoring around one goal per match even with the clear defensive issues. The visitors do have motivation: the club are in the relegation zone, five points adrift of safety, so every point they pick up now has real practical value for their survival chances.

    Match Results: SKA-Khabarovsk

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    FNL
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    1
    4
    D
    18.09.26
    FNL
    Sochi
    Sochi
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    2
    D
    13.09.26
    FNL
    Arsenal Tula
    Arsenal Tula
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    2
    -
    -
    1
    1
    D
    09.09.26
    Russian Cup
    Znamya Noginsk
    Znamya Noginsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    0
    10
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    0
    10
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    05.09.26
    FNL
    Leningradets
    Leningradets
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    -
    -
    9
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    9
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    SKA-Khabarovsk have conceded in the first half in five consecutive away matches, which points to systemic problems for the side at the start of games. Shinnik, meanwhile, have averaged 1.4 goals per home match over their last 10 home games, which increases the likelihood of the hosts scoring in the first half. Shinnik to Score in the First Half is priced at 1.83*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11.13%), 1-0 (10.17%), 2-1 (9.15%). The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, though the chances of the other options are fairly close. This reflects an overall cautious match scenario.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The picture is shaped by Shinnik's inconsistency at home and SKA-Khabarovsk's pressing need to avoid defeat in their fight against relegation. Shinnik's recent home record points to regular slip-ups - they rarely win on their own ground, as evidenced by the trend of going without a win in six of their seven home matches this season. Even accounting for the visitors' poor form, their motivation to take at least a point could be decisive against an unpredictable home side in front of their own supporters. The main prediction is Double Chance - X2 (the visitors not to lose).
    SKA-Khabarovsk will not lose
    Odds-114
    Published: 25/09/2026, 08:54
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    123
    4
    108
    235 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Shinnik Yaroslavl - SKA-Khabarovsk

    SKA-Khabarovsk have drawn in the 2nd half:
    ska-khabarovskin last 5 away games (Football National League).
    2nd Half Draw
    +136
    Shinnik Yaroslavl have not won:
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 6 of last 7 home games (Football National League).
    SKA-Khabarovsk will not lose
    -122
    Shinnik Yaroslavl have not lost:
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 21 of last 23 games (Football National League).
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 17 of last 18 home games.
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 15 of last 16 home games (Football National League).
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 7 of last 8 games.
    SKA-Khabarovsk have not won:
    ska-khabarovskin 12 of last 13 away games.
    ska-khabarovskin 10 of last 11 games (Football National League).
    Shinnik Yaroslavl will not lose
    -435
    Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored under 2.5 goals:
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlska-khabarovskin 25 of last 26 games against SKA-Khabarovsk.
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlska-khabarovskin 24 of last 25 games against SKA-Khabarovsk (Football National League).
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlska-khabarovskin 11 of last 12 home games against SKA-Khabarovsk (Football National League).
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 14 of last 15 games.
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 13 of last 14 games (Football National League).
    fc-shinnik-yaroslavlin 12 of last 13 home games (Football National League).
    Shinnik Yaroslavl Total goals Under (2,5)
    -526
    View more facts

    Shinnik - SKA-Khabarovsk Table position

    Football National League 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Rotor Volgograd
    Rotor Volgograd
    1252520-1417
    9.
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    Shinnik Yaroslavl
    1237215-1316
    10.
    Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
    Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
    1235415-2014
    16.
    Kamaz
    Kamaz
    1223711-199
    17.
    Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
    Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
    121478-197
    18.
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    SKA-Khabarovsk
    1213811-236

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    5 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 10
    +2
    -4
    14 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    5
    Draws
    3
    2
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    14
    10
    Conceded
    18
    2.2
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats