Independiente vs San Lorenzo Prediction 13 September 2026
📢 Independiente and San Lorenzo are sitting close together in mid-table and both are still in the hunt for a play-off place. The hosts are eighth, the visitors tenth, so the points here matter to both sides. Neither team has been particularly prolific, and San Lorenzo have found it especially hard to score away from home.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across 36 official meetings between Independiente and San Lorenzo, the hosts have won 10, the visitors 13, with 13 draws. Independiente have scored 35 goals and San Lorenzo 37. On average, the two sides score 0.94 goals in the first half and 1.06 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente - San Lorenzo
Independiente Team Overview
Independiente have 13 points from eight rounds and sit eighth. Over their last ten matches, the team have won five and lost four. During that period they are averaging 0.9 goals scored and around one conceded per game, which points to a fairly cautious style. With those numbers, the team rarely build a big lead during a match, so a lot depends on defensive solidity and converting the few chances they create.
Match Results: Independiente
San Lorenzo Team Overview
San Lorenzo have picked up ten points from eight matches and sit tenth, three points behind Independiente. Over their last ten matches, they have won just three, drawn one and lost six. During that run they have averaged only 0.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, so their weak attack remains the main problem. Away from home it has been particularly difficult - they have failed to score in each of their last four away matches.
Match Results: San Lorenzo
Total Goals Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 away matches, San Lorenzo have seen Total Goals - Under 1.5 land, which is consistent with their extremely low scoring rate on the road - just 0.46 goals per game on average this season and 0 goals in their last 10 away fixtures. Independiente have also been far from prolific at home in their last 10 matches, averaging 0.25 goals. Total Goals - Under 1.5 therefore looks justified at odds of 2.37*.
Reliable Bet
San Lorenzo have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 14 of their last 15 away head-to-head meetings with Independiente. Their season stats back up that low scoring rate on the road - averaging 0.46 goals per game away from home. The pick is San Lorenzo Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.18*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (19.49%), 0-0 (18.04%) and 0-1 (12.69%). A narrow Independiente win is the most probable outcome, though the chance of a goalless draw is also high. All three scenarios reflect the generally low-scoring nature of the match.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Independiente are considered clear favourites for this match thanks to home advantage and a higher overall level. San Lorenzo have serious problems scoring away from home and have failed to find the net in four consecutive away matches. Against a motivated opponent who has their own reasons to stay in the play-off places, it will be particularly difficult for the visitors to end that run. Our pick is San Lorenzo Team Total - Under 0.5.
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Betting Tips: Independiente - San Lorenzo
in 6 of last 7 home games against San Lorenzo.
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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